What is the DFNL ETF?

DFNL is an actively managed ETF that invests primarily in financial companies globally. It seeks long-term growth by selecting high-quality businesses in the financial sector.

Will the DFNL ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the DFNL ETF has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (60.32%) is -2.27% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the DFNL ETF right now?

The DFNL ETF has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (60.32%) is -2.27% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the DFNL ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for DFNL ETF is 4/10, which is a Hold based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the DFNL ETF over the past 12 months?

The DFNL ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $41.24 - $50.62.

What is going on with the DFNL ETF in the last 3 months?

The DFNL ETF performance in the last quarter has been +12.11%.

Does the DFNL ETF offer dividend payments?

Yes, the DFNL ETF dividend yield is 1.30%.

What is the AUM of the DFNL ETF?

The DFNL ETF has 456.94M in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the DFNL ETF?

The DFNL ETF total expense ratio is 0.61%.

Davis Select Financial ETF DFNL ETF AI-powered analysis

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DFNL AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Davis Select Financial ETF today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The ETF has a 60% probability of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, which is 3% lower than the average probability of any US-listed ETF (63%). The top positive contributor is the ETF Focus on Financials, which adds +0.31% to the probability. Other positive signals include Flows to AUM YTD (top 40%, +0.23%), Sentiment Impact (Long Tail) (bottom 10%, +0.17%), Dividend Yield (TTM) (bottom 40%, +0.15%), Buy Success Rate (Past 12 Months) (+0.13%), and Price/Book (MRQ) (bottom 30%, +0.12%). On the negative side, the top detractors are ETF Investment Segment (Financials, -0.78%), Deca-Chart Pattern (60d) (-0.40%), Technicals Impact (Long Tail) (bottom 10%, -0.37%), Chart Pattern (60d) (-0.36%), ETF Brand (Davis, -0.32%), Chart Pattern (120d) (-0.31%), RSI 180 (top 20%, -0.19%), Minus Directional Indicator (90d) (bottom 20%, -0.17%), Chart Pattern (180d) (-0.12%), and Minus Directional Indicator (18d) (bottom 10%, -0.11%). Notable data points include a Flows to AUM YTD of 11.1% (top 40%), indicating strong investor inflows, and a Buy Success Rate of 70.3%, suggesting historical effectiveness of buy signals. However, the RSI 180 at 55.3 (top 20%) is relatively high, which may indicate overbought conditions and detracts from the probability. The Minus Directional Indicator (90d) at 21.9 (bottom 20%) and Minus Directional Indicator (18d) at 8.5 (bottom 10%) are low, suggesting weak downward momentum, but their negative edge factors indicate they still reduce the probability. Overall, the ETF's probability is slightly below average, weighed down by multiple technical and segment-related factors, resulting in a Sell rating.

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score

Sell

DAVIS SELECT FINANCIAL (DFNL) has a AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -2.27% of beating the ETF universe (an equal-weight index of all US-listed ETFs) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed ETF (62.59%) and the probability of DFNL (60.32%) of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI's comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed ETF of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.59%
DFNL probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)-2.27%
DFNL probability of beating the ETF universe (3M)60.32%

DFNL probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M): -2.27%

The AI-powered overall analysis of DAVIS SELECT FINANCIAL (DFNL) is based on the 33 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on ETF performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of DFNL:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	ETF Investment Segment	-	N/A	-0.78%
Technical	Deca-Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_4	N/A	-0.40%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.37%
Technical	Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_86	N/A	-0.36%
Sentiment	ETF Brand	-	N/A	-0.32%
Sentiment	ETF Focus	-	N/A	+0.31%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_36	N/A	-0.31%
Fundamental	Flows to AUM YTD	11.10%		+0.23%
Technical	RSI 180	55.3		-0.19%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.17%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.17%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.15%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.13%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.12%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.12%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.38%

DFNL probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)Total:-2.27%
DFNL AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

DFNL Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$50.62
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

DFNL Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for DFNL from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 2 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

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1 Year

DFNL Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 342 Sell signals since July 2026, DFNL had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

342 Past DFNL Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+5.24%
Average Alpha				-9.32%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				46.31%
% Negative Alpha				74.93%

DFNL Frequently Asked Questions

What is the DFNL ETF?
DFNL is an actively managed ETF that invests primarily in financial companies globally. It seeks long-term growth by selecting high-quality businesses in the financial sector.
Will the DFNL ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the DFNL ETF right now?
Is the DFNL ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the DFNL ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the DFNL ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the DFNL ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the DFNL ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the DFNL ETF?

DFNL ETF Profile

DAVIS SELECT FINANCIAL ETF (DFNL) offers investors a focused, actively managed approach to investing in the global financial sector. This ETF seeks long-term growth of capital by primarily investing in a select group of financial companies worldwide. The portfolio encompasses a broad spectrum of services, including banking, insurance, asset management, and other specialized financial service providers. The investment strategy employs a disciplined, value-oriented philosophy, aiming to identify well-managed businesses that are trading at attractive valuations relative to their intrinsic worth. This approach emphasizes a patient, long-term perspective, seeking to capitalize on the compounding power of quality financial enterprises across various market conditions. DFNL leverages the "Davis Advantage," a proprietary research-intensive investment process developed over five decades by Davis Advisors. This process involves rigorous fundamental analysis to identify companies possessing durable competitive advantages, robust balance sheets, and experienced management teams whose interests are closely aligned with those of shareholders. The investment team conducts deep dives into company financials, industry trends, and competitive landscapes. This thorough examination aims to uncover businesses poised for sustainable growth and profitability, often looking beyond current market sentiment to assess true underlying value and long-term potential. The portfolio is typically concentrated, reflecting high conviction in each holding, and is designed to navigate various market cycles by focusing on intrinsic value rather than short-term market fluctuations. This active management approach allows for flexibility to adjust holdings based on evolving economic conditions and company-specific developments. The objective is to mitigate risks and capitalize on emerging opportunities. The emphasis remains on owning high-quality businesses for the long term, allowing their fundamental strengths to drive investment performance and capital appreciation. For investors seeking exposure to the financial sector through a carefully curated and actively managed portfolio, DFNL provides a compelling option. It aims to deliver superior long-term returns by investing in what the managers believe are the best financial companies globally, offering potential for capital appreciation and diversification within a critical segment of the global economy. The ETF's investment universe spans diverse financial services, including commercial banking, property and casualty insurance, and global asset management. Its revenue mix is diversified across these financial sub-sectors, and its shares are available through major brokerage platforms and financial advisors, reflecting a global investment mandate.

Asset ClassEquity
Asset Class StyleBlend
FocusFinancials
General RegionNorth America
Specific RegionUnited States

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

DFNL Top 10 Focus ETFs

Financials

	ETF	AI Score
1	SOFXDefiance Daily Target 2X Long SOFI ETF
2	CONYYieldMax COIN Option Income Strategy ETF
3	MORTVanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF
4	KBWDInvesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF
5	FNCLFidelity MSCI Financials Index ETF
6	VFHVanguard Financials ETF
7	XLFState Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
8	IAKiShares U.S. Insurance ETF
9	IYFiShares U.S. Financials ETF
10	KBWBInvesco KBW Bank ETF

	ETF	AI Score

DFNL ETF AI Analysis