What is the MSTX ETF?

Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF provides leveraged exposure to MicroStrategy stock. It offers daily investment returns tied to the company's performance.

Will the MSTX ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the MSTX ETF has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (61.15%) is -1.44% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the MSTX ETF right now?

The MSTX ETF has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (61.15%) is -1.44% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the MSTX ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for MSTX ETF is 4/10, which is a Hold based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the MSTX ETF over the past 12 months?

The MSTX ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $6.76 - $494.3.

What is going on with the MSTX ETF in the last 3 months?

The MSTX ETF performance in the last quarter has been -47.74%.

Does the MSTX ETF offer dividend payments?

No, the MSTX ETF does not currently pay dividends.

What is the AUM of the MSTX ETF?

The MSTX ETF has 172.4M in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the MSTX ETF?

The MSTX ETF total expense ratio is 1.31%.

Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF MSTX ETF AI-powered analysis

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MSTX AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The ETF has a 61% probability of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, which is 2% lower than the average probability of any US-listed ETF (63%). The top positive contributors include the Chart Pattern (120d) (impact +0.56%), Technicals Impact (Long Tail) (impact +0.55%), and Performance (YTD) (impact +0.38%), despite the latter being in the bottom 10%. On the negative side, the strongest detractors are Chart Pattern (180d) (impact -1.11%), Chart Pattern (60d) (impact -0.87%), and Alpha 6M (impact -0.82%, bottom 10%). Notable data points include the ETF Expense Ratio in the top 10% at 1.31%, which detracts from the probability (impact -0.37%). The 52-Week Low vs Close (%) is in the top 20% and positively influences the probability (impact +0.20%). However, several signals are in the bottom 10%, such as Alpha 6M, Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail), Performance (YTD), Net Asset Value (NAV), Rate of Change Ratio (180d), Performance (Year), and Last Close. Overall, the negative impacts from technical patterns and weak risk-adjusted returns outweigh the positive contributions, resulting in a HOLD rating with a probability slightly below the average ETF.

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score

Hold

Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR (MSTX) has a AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -1.44% of beating the ETF universe (an equal-weight index of all US-listed ETFs) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed ETF (62.59%) and the probability of MSTX (61.15%) of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI's comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed ETF of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.59%
MSTX probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)-1.44%
MSTX probability of beating the ETF universe (3M)61.15%

MSTX probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M): -1.44%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR (MSTX) is based on the 30 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on ETF performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of MSTX:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_17	N/A	-1.11%
Technical	Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_53	N/A	-0.87%
Technical	Alpha 6M	-0.84%	N/A	-0.82%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.66%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_19	N/A	+0.56%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.55%
Technical	Performance (YTD)	-0.74%	N/A	+0.38%
Fundamental	ETF Expense Ratio	1.31		-0.37%
Technical	Chart Pattern (90d)	figure_104	N/A	+0.35%
Fundamental	Net Asset Value (NAV)	7.43	N/A	-0.31%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.25%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.25%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.20%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.14%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.13%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.16%

MSTX probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)Total:-1.44%
MSTX AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

MSTX Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$9.85
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

MSTX Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for MSTX from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 60 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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1 Year

MSTX Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 171 Hold signals since July 2026, MSTX had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

171 Past MSTX Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-93.21%
Average Alpha				-107.30%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				0.00%
% Positive Alpha				0.00%

MSTX Frequently Asked Questions

What is the MSTX ETF?
Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF provides leveraged exposure to MicroStrategy stock. It offers daily investment returns tied to the company's performance.
Will the MSTX ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the MSTX ETF right now?
Is the MSTX ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the MSTX ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the MSTX ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the MSTX ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the MSTX ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the MSTX ETF?

MSTX ETF Profile

Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) provides leveraged exposure to the daily performance of MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) common stock. The fund aims to deliver investment results corresponding to 200% of the underlying asset's daily return. It offers investors a mechanism to potentially magnify daily gains or losses from MicroStrategy's stock movements. This exchange-traded fund serves as a specialized financial instrument within the broader market. The ETF implements a strategy using various financial instruments to achieve its daily investment objective. These instruments typically include swap agreements, futures contracts, and options linked to MicroStrategy shares. The fund does not directly hold MicroStrategy common stock. Instead, it gains exposure through these derivative contracts. These contracts are reset daily to maintain the target leverage and reflect the intended daily performance. Due to its daily reset mechanism, the fund's performance over periods longer than one day can significantly differ from two times the return of MicroStrategy stock. This compounding effect means the ETF primarily serves short-term tactical trading strategies. It is not designed as a long-term investment vehicle for buy-and-hold investors. Investors typically use this fund for expressing single-day market views on MicroStrategy's stock. MicroStrategy Inc., the underlying company, develops enterprise analytics software and services. It offers business intelligence, mobile software, and cloud-based solutions. These solutions help organizations analyze data and distribute insights across their operations. MicroStrategy also maintains a corporate strategy involving significant holdings of Bitcoin, which influences its stock performance and market valuation. The fund targets sophisticated investors and active traders seeking magnified daily exposure to MicroStrategy's stock. It provides a specialized tool for implementing short-term market views. The fund generates revenue primarily from management fees, is distributed directly to investors through online brokerage platforms, and offers global accessibility via major exchanges.

Asset ClassEquity
Asset Class Style-
FocusInformation Technology
General RegionNorth America
Specific RegionUnited States

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

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MSTX ETF AI Analysis High Risk