What is the SCHQ ETF?

SCHWAB LONG-TERM US TREASURY offers exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds with long maturities, providing investors with potential income and capital appreciation opportunities.

Will the SCHQ ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the SCHQ ETF has today an AI Score of 6/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (63.39%) is +0.72% vs. the average probability (62.67%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the SCHQ ETF right now?

The SCHQ ETF has today a Hold rating (AI Score 6/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (63.39%) is +0.72% vs. the average probability (62.67%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the SCHQ ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for SCHQ ETF is 6/10, which is a Hold based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the SCHQ ETF over the past 12 months?

The SCHQ ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $30.2 - $33.17.

What is going on with the SCHQ ETF in the last 3 months?

The SCHQ ETF performance in the last quarter has been -1.27%.

Does the SCHQ ETF offer dividend payments?

Yes, the SCHQ ETF dividend yield is 4.74%.

What is the AUM of the SCHQ ETF?

The SCHQ ETF has 766.54M in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the SCHQ ETF?

The SCHQ ETF total expense ratio is 0.03%.

Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF SCHQ ETF AI-powered analysis

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SCHQ AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF today receives an AI Score of 6/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The ETF has a 63% probability of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, which is 9% higher than the average probability of any US-listed ETF (54%). The top positive contributors include the Chart Pattern (120d) (impact +0.25%) and Chart Pattern (180d) (impact +0.13%), both indicating favorable technical formations. Additionally, the Rate of Change Ratio (180d) (impact +0.11%) and Alpha 3M (impact +0.09%) boost the probability despite being in the bottom 20% and bottom 10% respectively. On the negative side, the ETF Investment Segment (impact -0.45%) and ETF Focus (impact -0.14%), both labeled as Investment Grade, detract from the probability. The Sell Success Rate (Past 12 Months) (impact -0.07%) and Dominant Cycle Period (Hilbert) (impact -0.07%) also weigh down the outlook. Notable data points include the Flows to AUM YTD at -22.96%, ranking in the bottom 10%, which indicates significant outflows but still contributes positively to the probability. The Performance (Year) is -2.70%, also in the bottom 20%, yet it adds to the probability. The Alpha YTD at -11.48% (bottom 20%) and Alpha 3M at -15.95% (bottom 10%) show negative risk-adjusted returns but are positive contributors. The Rate of Change Ratio (90d) at 0.958 (bottom 20%) and Rate of Change Ratio (180d) at 0.950 (bottom 20%) reflect weak medium-term momentum. Overall, the ETF’s probability is supported by technical patterns and certain momentum signals despite poor recent performance and outflows, resulting in a balanced HOLD rating.

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score

Hold

Schwab Long-Term US Treasury (SCHQ) has a AI Score of 6/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +0.72% of beating the ETF universe (an equal-weight index of all US-listed ETFs) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed ETF (62.67%) and the probability of SCHQ (63.39%) of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI's comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed ETF of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.67%
SCHQ probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)+0.72%
SCHQ probability of beating the ETF universe (3M)63.39%

SCHQ probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M): +0.72%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Schwab Long-Term US Treasury (SCHQ) is based on the 31 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on ETF performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of SCHQ:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	ETF Investment Segment	-	N/A	-0.45%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_7	N/A	+0.25%
Sentiment	ETF Focus	-	N/A	-0.14%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_57	N/A	+0.13%
Technical	Rate of Change Ratio (ROCR, 180d)	0.95%		+0.11%
Technical	Alpha 3M	-0.16%	N/A	+0.09%
Fundamental	Flows to AUM YTD	-22.96%	N/A	+0.09%
Technical	Performance (Year)	-0.03%		+0.09%
Sentiment	ETF Issuer	-	N/A	+0.09%
Technical	Rate of Change Ratio (ROCR, 90d)	0.96%		+0.09%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.08%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.07%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.07%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.07%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.06%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.25%

SCHQ probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)Total:+0.72%
SCHQ AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

SCHQ Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$31.03
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

SCHQ Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for SCHQ from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 103 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Hold signals

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SCHQ Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 598 Hold signals since July 2026, SCHQ had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

598 Past SCHQ Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-9.16%
Average Alpha				-24.21%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				8.09%
% Positive Alpha				0.26%

SCHQ Frequently Asked Questions

What is the SCHQ ETF?
SCHWAB LONG-TERM US TREASURY offers exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds with long maturities, providing investors with potential income and capital appreciation opportunities.
Will the SCHQ ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the SCHQ ETF right now?
Is the SCHQ ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the SCHQ ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the SCHQ ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the SCHQ ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the SCHQ ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the SCHQ ETF?

SCHQ ETF Profile

SCHWAB LONG-TERM US TREASURY (SCHQ) seeks to track the performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. This index is designed to measure the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated, U.S. Treasury, investment-grade, fixed-rate, taxable securities with remaining maturities of greater than or equal to 20 years. SCHQ offers investors exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasury bonds, which are typically considered a safe-haven asset and can provide diversification benefits within a portfolio. SCHQ is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that provides a convenient and cost-effective way to invest in a diversified basket of long-term U.S. Treasury securities. By holding a broad range of these bonds, the ETF aims to reduce the risk associated with investing in individual securities. Investors may consider SCHQ for its potential to generate income through coupon payments and for its role in hedging against deflationary risks or market volatility. The fund's investment objective aligns with investors seeking capital preservation and a stable income stream from high-quality government debt.

Asset ClassFixed Income
Asset Class Style-
FocusInvestment Grade
General RegionNorth America
Specific RegionUnited States

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

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