What is the SMST ETF?

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF provides daily 2x inverse leveraged exposure to MicroStrategy's stock.

Will the SMST ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the SMST ETF has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (61.23%) is -1.36% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the SMST ETF right now?

The SMST ETF has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (61.23%) is -1.36% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the SMST ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for SMST ETF is 6/10, which is a Hold based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the SMST ETF over the past 12 months?

The SMST ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $17.71 - $149.79.

What is going on with the SMST ETF in the last 3 months?

The SMST ETF performance in the last quarter has been -16.36%.

Does the SMST ETF offer dividend payments?

No, the SMST ETF does not currently pay dividends.

What is the AUM of the SMST ETF?

The SMST ETF has 43.3M in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the SMST ETF?

The SMST ETF total expense ratio is 1.31%.

Defiance Daily Target 2x Short MSTR ETF SMST ETF AI-powered analysis

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SMST AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Defiance Daily Target 2x Short MSTR ETF today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The ETF has a 61% probability of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, which is 2% lower than the average probability of any US-listed ETF (63%). Among the top positive contributors, the ETF Investment Segment (Information Technology) adds +0.20% to the probability, while the 52-Week Low vs Close (%) (in the top 10%) boosts it by +0.19%. On the negative side, the ETF Brand (Defiance) detracts -0.63%, the Chart Pattern (180d) reduces it by -0.39%, and the Performance (YTD) (in the bottom 10%) subtracts -0.38%. Notable data points include a Performance (YTD) in the bottom 10% with a value of -39.08%, and a Beta of -4.85, also in the bottom 10%, indicating extreme inverse volatility. The ETF Expense Ratio is in the top 10% at 1.31%, which is high and negatively impacts returns. Conversely, the 52-Week Low vs Close (%) is in the top 10% at 2.19%, suggesting the price is near its low, and the Performance (Last Market Day) is in the top 10% with a +7.78% gain. Overall, the ETF's probability is slightly below average, weighed down by brand, chart patterns, and high expenses, despite some positive technical signals.

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score

Hold

The AI-powered overall analysis of Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR (SMST) is derived from the inverse AI score of its underlying asset: Strategy Inc (MSTR).

SMST Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$56.53
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

SMST Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for SMST from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 69 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

SMST Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 236 Hold signals since July 2026, SMST had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

236 Past SMST Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-35.31%
Average Alpha				-50.49%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				6.25%
% Positive Alpha				4.17%

SMST Frequently Asked Questions

What is the SMST ETF?
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF provides daily 2x inverse leveraged exposure to MicroStrategy's stock.
Will the SMST ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the SMST ETF right now?
Is the SMST ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the SMST ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the SMST ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the SMST ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the SMST ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the SMST ETF?

SMST ETF Profile

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide 200% of the inverse daily performance of MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) common stock. This investment product offers magnified short exposure to the daily price movements of MSTR shares. It allows investors to potentially benefit from a decline in MicroStrategy's stock value over a single trading day. MicroStrategy operates in business intelligence software and holds significant Bitcoin assets, influencing its stock performance. SMST achieves its investment objective by primarily investing in various financial instruments. These include swap agreements and other derivative contracts. These derivatives are structured to deliver returns corresponding to two times the inverse daily performance of the underlying MSTR common stock. The fund does not directly invest in or hold the common shares of MicroStrategy Inc. Its portfolio is actively managed to maintain the targeted inverse leverage. A key characteristic of SMST's strategy is its daily reset mechanism. The fund rebalances its exposure at the end of each trading day. This process targets the 2x inverse daily performance. Consequently, the fund's performance over periods longer than one day may significantly deviate from two times the inverse performance of MSTR for that same period. Investors should understand the implications of daily rebalancing for holding periods exceeding one day. This specialized investment product targets active traders and short-term investors. These investors typically possess a clear understanding of leveraged and inverse investment strategies. The fund generates revenue through management fees charged as a percentage of its net assets, distributed globally through various financial intermediaries and brokerage platforms.

Asset ClassEquity
Asset Class Style-
FocusInformation Technology
General Region-
Specific Region-

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

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Information Technology

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3	TSMGLeverage Shares 2X Long TSM Daily ETF
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	ETF	AI Score

SMST ETF AI Analysis High Risk