Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) offers exposure to the U.S. energy sector, tracking the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index. It provides diversified investment in integrated oil & gas, oil & gas exploration & production, and oil & gas storage & transportation companies.

Will the VDE ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the VDE ETF has today an AI Score of 7/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (64.52%) is +1.93% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the VDE ETF right now?

The VDE ETF has today a Buy rating (AI Score 7/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (64.52%) is +1.93% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the VDE ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for VDE ETF is 5/10, which is a Hold based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the VDE ETF over the past 12 months?

The VDE ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $118.37 - $176.95.

What is going on with the VDE ETF in the last 3 months?

The VDE ETF performance in the last quarter has been -9.79%.

Does the VDE ETF offer dividend payments?

Yes, the VDE ETF dividend yield is 2.68%.

What is the AUM of the VDE ETF?

The VDE ETF has 9.16B in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the VDE ETF?

The VDE ETF total expense ratio is 0.09%.

Vanguard Energy ETF VDE ETF AI-powered analysis

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VDE AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score

Buy

Vanguard Energy (VDE) has a AI Score of 7/10 (Buy) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +1.93% of beating the ETF universe (an equal-weight index of all US-listed ETFs) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed ETF (62.59%) and the probability of VDE (64.52%) of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI's comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed ETF of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.59%
VDE probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)+1.93%
VDE probability of beating the ETF universe (3M)64.52%

VDE probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M): +1.93%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Vanguard Energy (VDE) is based on the 33 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on ETF performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of VDE:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	ETF Investment Segment	-	N/A	+0.74%
Fundamental	Flows to AUM YTD	9.39%		+0.36%
Technical	Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_187	N/A	+0.21%
Fundamental	ETF Expense Ratio	0.09	N/A	+0.20%
Sentiment	Buy Success Rate (Past 12 Months)	0.41%	N/A	+0.19%
Technical	Deca-Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_6	N/A	+0.19%
Fundamental	Price/Book (MRQ)	2.35		+0.18%
Sentiment	ETF Brand	-	N/A	-0.16%
Sentiment	ETF Focus	-	N/A	-0.15%
Sentiment	ETF Issuer	-	N/A	+0.15%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.12%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.12%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.11%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.11%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.10%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.13%

VDE probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)Total:+1.93%
VDE AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

VDE Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$150.47
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

VDE Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for VDE from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 67 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

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VDE Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 899 Buy signals since June 2026, VDE had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

899 Past VDE Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+5.68%
Average Alpha				-6.53%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				60.32%
% Positive Alpha				28.31%

VDE Past Buy Signals Performance

Performance and alpha after 1, 3, 6 months, and 1 year, for each of the 883 days that VDE was rated a Strong Buy/Buy (AI Score 7 to 10) since June 2026.

Date	AI Score	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y

VDE Frequently Asked Questions

What is the VDE ETF?
Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) offers exposure to the U.S. energy sector, tracking the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index. It provides diversified investment in integrated oil & gas, oil & gas exploration & production, and oil & gas storage & transportation companies.
Will the VDE ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the VDE ETF right now?
Is the VDE ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the VDE ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the VDE ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the VDE ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the VDE ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the VDE ETF?

VDE ETF Profile

VANGUARD ENERGY ETF (VDE) seeks to track the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index, a benchmark representing the U.S. energy sector. This ETF offers investors diversified exposure to companies involved in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and gas, as well as those in the energy equipment and services industry. By investing in VDE, shareholders gain access to a broad range of energy companies, from integrated oil giants to specialized service providers, all within a single, low-cost investment vehicle. The fund's strategy is to provide a cost-effective way to invest in the energy sector, aiming to mirror the returns of its underlying index. This approach allows for efficient portfolio management and reduces the need for individual stock selection, making it an attractive option for investors seeking to capitalize on potential growth in the energy markets. VDE's holdings are weighted according to the index, ensuring a representative allocation across various market capitalizations and sub-sectors within the energy industry. The ETF's expense ratio is among the lowest in its category, further enhancing its appeal to long-term investors.

Asset ClassEquity
Asset Class StyleValue
FocusEnergy
General RegionNorth America
Specific RegionUnited States

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

VDE Top 10 Focus ETFs

Energy

	ETF	AI Score
1	XESState Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF
2	FXNFirst Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund
3	IEZiShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF
4	OIHVanEck Oil Services ETF
5	XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
6	XOPState Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
7	FENYFidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
8	VDEVanguard Energy ETF
9	IYEiShares U.S. Energy ETF
10	FCGFirst Trust Natural Gas ETF

	ETF	AI Score

Date	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y
2017-01-18	-3.40%	-9.90%	-12.92%	+1.02%	-6.91%	-12.85%	-21.85%	-22.08%
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VDE ETF AI Analysis