Will Adobe stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Adobe has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (45.56%) is -5.26% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Adobe stock?

The Adobe target price is $281.63 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Adobe stock right now?

Adobe has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (45.56%) is -5.26% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Adobe stock is a good buy .

Is Adobe undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Adobe is +33.46% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Adobe has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Adobe stock over the past 12 months?

The Adobe stock price range over the past 12 months has been $193.41 - $392.1.

What is going on with Adobe stock in the last 3 months?

The Adobe stock performance in the last quarter has been -13.18%.

Does Adobe offer dividend payments?

No, Adobe does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Adobe?

Adobe's market cap is $83.86B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next ADBE earnings report date?

ADBE will publish its next earnings report on 2026-06-11.

Adobe Inc (ADBE) AI Stock Analysis

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ADBE AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Adobe Inc today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 46% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 5% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). Among the top positive contributors, Performance (YTD) (currently in the bottom 20% with a -39.7% return) adds +0.93% to the probability, while Earnings Countdown (15 days past earnings, in the top 50%) adds +0.60%. On the negative side, the Software industry detracts -2.12%, the Chart Pattern (90d) detracts -1.07%, and the Chart Pattern (252d) detracts -0.96%. Notable data points include a Forward Price-to-Earnings ratio of 7.38 (in the bottom 20%), which suggests attractive valuation and contributes +0.60% to the probability. However, high volatility signals weigh heavily: ATR (180d) is in the top 10% (detracting -0.66%), and ATR (14d) is also in the top 10% (detracting -0.59%). The Fear & Greed Index at 31 (extreme fear) detracts -0.73%, and Alpha 6M in the bottom 20% detracts -0.53%. Overall, while valuation and recent performance provide some support, the negative impact from industry, chart patterns, and elevated volatility outweigh the positives, resulting in a below-average probability and a Sell rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+0.54%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Growth+0.23%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Sentiment-3.32%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum-1.81%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Volatility-0.89%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

ADBE probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-5.26%

AI Score

Sell

Adobe (ADBE) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -5.26% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of ADBE (45.56%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
ADBE probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-5.26%
ADBE probability of beating the market (3M)45.56%

ADBE probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -5.26%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Adobe (ADBE) is based on the 23 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of ADBE:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Software	N/A	-2.12%
Technical	Chart Pattern (90d)	figure_179	N/A	-1.07%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_36	N/A	-0.96%
Technical	Performance (YTD)	-0.40%		+0.93%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.76%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.73%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_187	N/A	-0.71%
Technical	ATR (180d Volatility)	9.97		-0.66%
Sentiment	Earnings Countdown	-15		+0.60%
Fundamental	Forward Price-to-Earnings	7.38%		+0.60%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.59%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.53%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.52%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.47%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.41%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.85%

ADBE probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-5.26%
ADBE AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

ADBE Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$211.02
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

ADBE Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for ADBE from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 18 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
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Forecast:

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1 Year

ADBE Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 187 Sell signals since July 2026, ADBE had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

187 Past ADBE Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+28.33%
Average Alpha				+17.35%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				26.74%
% Negative Alpha				42.44%

ADBE Frequently Asked Questions

Will Adobe stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Adobe has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (45.56%) is -5.26% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Adobe stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Adobe stock right now?
Is Adobe undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Adobe stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Adobe stock in the last 3 months?
Does Adobe offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Adobe?
When is the next ADBE earnings report date?

Adobe Inc Company Profile

Adobe Inc., a globally diversified software enterprise, operates through its subsidiaries across three key sectors: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising.

The company's Digital Media segment provides solutions that empower individuals, teams, and larger corporate entities to craft, publish, and publicize content. It features the Document Cloud––a unified platform offering cloud-based document services. The flagship product within this sector is the Creative Cloud—a membership service that gives users complete access to Adobe’s innovative creative array. This segment caters to an expansive clientele including content creators, students, marketing professionals, educators as well as communicators.

Moving on to the Digital Experience division; this provides an integrated suite of applications and services which allow brands and businesses to construct, manage and optimize customer experiences holistically—from analytics right through to commerce. Its customers range from marketers and advertisers to web analysts, data scientists alongside business execs spanning across the C-suite.

Shifting focus towards the Publishing and Advertising sector—they offer high-value products like e-learning solutions; technical document publishing; web conferencing tools; document creation platforms for forms applications; web app developments; high-end print solutions plus offerings related to their distinctive Advertising Cloud. Additionally available are consultative services tackling tech support along with learning programs.

Selling directly to its enterprise customers via local field offices with trained sales personnel or digitally on adobe.com is at the very core of Adobe's approach. Susbsquently targeting end-users through various app stores ramp up their distribution strategies. Furthermore they partner with distributors in collaboration with value-adding resellers including system integrators coupled with software vendors-developers plus retailers running parallelly with Original Equipment Manufacturers for wider coverage.

Adobe Inc., formed in 1982 was previously named ‘Adobe Systems Incorporated’ until October 2018 when it adopted its present name . The corporate headquarters is comfortably nestled in San Jose California.

Sector:Information Technology
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:345 Park Avenue, San Jose
Employees:31,360
Website:adobe.com

Pros

High switching costs in creative and document workflows

Recurring revenue model from subscription services

Extensive product ecosystem for creative professionals

Industry standard file formats facilitating collaboration

Pricing power due to essential software functionality

Cons

Potential for regulatory scrutiny over market position

Disruption risk from AI-native creative tools

High research and development expenditure requirements

Demand cyclicality in enterprise marketing solutions

Dependency on third-party cloud infrastructure providers

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ADBE Stock AI Analysis

Adobe Inc

ADBE Stock AI Analysis

Adobe Inc

ADBE AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

ADBE probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -5.26%

ADBE Short Trading Parameters

ADBE Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

ADBE Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

ADBE Frequently Asked Questions

Will Adobe stock go up?

What is the target price for Adobe stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Adobe stock right now?

Is Adobe undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Adobe stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Adobe stock in the last 3 months?

Does Adobe offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Adobe?

When is the next ADBE earnings report date?

Adobe Inc Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

ADBE Company Profile Summary

ADBE Related Investment Themes

ADBE Related Stocks

ADBE Top 10 Industry Stocks

Software

ADBE Top 10 Sector Stocks

Information Technology

ADBE Stock AI Analysis

Adobe Inc

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

Will Adobe stock go up?

What is the target price for Adobe stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Adobe stock right now?

Is Adobe undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Adobe stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Adobe stock in the last 3 months?

Does Adobe offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Adobe?

When is the next ADBE earnings report date?

Pros

Cons

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

AI Score Explanation

ADBE Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast