Will Applied Digital stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Applied Digital has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.59%) is -4.23% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Applied Digital stock?

The Applied Digital target price is $66.25 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Applied Digital stock right now?

Applied Digital has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.59%) is -4.23% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Applied Digital stock is a good buy .

Is Applied Digital undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Applied Digital is +86.41% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Applied Digital has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Applied Digital stock over the past 12 months?

The Applied Digital stock price range over the past 12 months has been $9.18 - $49.65.

What is going on with Applied Digital stock in the last 3 months?

The Applied Digital stock performance in the last quarter has been +49.70%.

Does Applied Digital offer dividend payments?

No, Applied Digital does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Applied Digital?

Applied Digital's market cap is $10.15B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next APLD earnings report date?

APLD will publish its next earnings report on 2026-04-08.

Applied Digital Corp (APLD) AI Stock Analysis

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APLD AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Applied Digital Corporation today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 46% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 5% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributor is the Chart Pattern (252d), which adds +3.62% to the probability, indicating a favorable technical setup. Additionally, Cash per Share (MRQ) in the top 20% boosts the probability by +1.67%, and Earnings Countdown in the bottom 10% adds +1.58%. On the negative side, Maximum Volatility in the top 20% detracts -2.70%, and the Fear & Greed Index (CNN) at a value of 31 (extreme fear) reduces probability by -2.38%. The Industry (GICS) being IT Services also weighs down the outlook by -1.97%. Notable data points include a Beta of 5.65 in the top 10%, indicating extreme volatility relative to the market, which positively influences the probability by +1.13%. However, volatility measures like ATR (14d) and ATR (90d) both in the top 20% detract, suggesting high price swings are a risk. Analyst Mean Price Target Upside in the top 20% adds +1.05%, while Analyst Lowest Price Upside in the bottom 10% detracts -0.75%, reflecting mixed analyst sentiment. Overall, the stock's low AI Score reflects a net negative signal balance, with technical patterns and cash position offering some support, but high volatility, negative sentiment, and industry headwinds dominating the outlook.

AI Score Explanation

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Momentum+5.28%
Direction and strength of recent price movements

Volatility-4.87%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Sentiment-4.01%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Valuation-0.63%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals

APLD probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-4.23%

AI Score

Sell

Applied Digital (APLD) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -4.23% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of APLD (46.59%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
APLD probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-4.23%
APLD probability of beating the market (3M)46.59%

APLD probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -4.23%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Applied Digital (APLD) is based on the 23 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of APLD:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_78	N/A	+3.42%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-2.93%
Technical	Maximum Volatility	9.72%		-2.69%
Technical	ATR (14d Volatility)	3.83		-1.95%
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	IT Services	N/A	-1.77%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-1.60%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-1.55%
Technical	Beta	5.65		+1.46%
Sentiment	Institutional Ownership	70.29%		+1.36%
Sentiment	Earnings Countdown	-79	N/A	+1.06%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.97%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.94%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.88%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.85%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.80%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.84%

APLD probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-4.23%
APLD AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

APLD Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$35.54
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

APLD Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for APLD from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 33 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

APLD Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 549 Sell signals since July 2026, APLD had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

549 Past APLD Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+386.56%
Average Alpha				+372.52%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				31.00%
% Negative Alpha				34.50%

APLD Frequently Asked Questions

Will Applied Digital stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Applied Digital has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.59%) is -4.23% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Applied Digital stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Applied Digital stock right now?
Is Applied Digital undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Applied Digital stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Applied Digital stock in the last 3 months?
Does Applied Digital offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Applied Digital?
When is the next APLD earnings report date?

Applied Digital Corp Company Profile

Applied Digital Corporation, primarily serving North America, expertly designs and effectively administrates modern datacenters. Alongside constructing these sophisticated digital infrastructures, the company caters specific transformative solutions to the high-performance computing arena. Their service offerings span artificial intelligence cloud amenities, top-tier hosting facilities specialized for high performance computing datacenters, as well as hosting for crypto datacenters.

Stepping away from its original identity as Applied Blockchain, Inc., the organization transitioned to its current moniker of Applied Digital Corporation in November 2022, mirroring its evolution towards a broader technological spectrum. The epicenter of all their innovative digital pursuits is Dallas, Texas where they maintain their primary operational base.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:3811 Turtle Creek Blvd., Suite 2100, Dallas
Employees:205
Website:appliedblockchaininc.com

Pros

Fixed asset base provides operating leverage

Structural demand growth for HPC infrastructure

Geographic flexibility for energy sourcing

High switching costs for complex HPC deployments

Modular data center design enables efficient scaling

Cons

High capital expenditure for infrastructure expansion

Exposure to energy price volatility

Rapid technology obsolescence of computing hardware

Customer concentration risk in specialized computing

Intense competition from hyperscale cloud providers

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APLD Stock AI Analysis High Risk