Will Academy Sports and Outdoors stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Academy Sports and Outdoors has today an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (53.88%) is +3.06% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Academy Sports and Outdoors stock?

The Academy Sports and Outdoors target price is $47.86 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Academy Sports and Outdoors stock right now?

Academy Sports and Outdoors has today a Hold rating (AI Score 5/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (53.88%) is +3.06% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Academy Sports and Outdoors stock is a good buy .

Is Academy Sports and Outdoors undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Academy Sports and Outdoors is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Academy Sports and Outdoors has today an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Academy Sports and Outdoors stock over the past 12 months?

The Academy Sports and Outdoors stock price range over the past 12 months has been $41.73 - $61.19.

What is going on with Academy Sports and Outdoors stock in the last 3 months?

The Academy Sports and Outdoors stock performance in the last quarter has been -17.03%.

Does Academy Sports and Outdoors offer dividend payments?

Yes, Academy Sports and Outdoors stock dividend yield is 1.17%.

What is the current market capitalization of Academy Sports and Outdoors?

Academy Sports and Outdoors's market cap is $2.97B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc (ASO) AI Stock Analysis

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ASO AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc today receives an AI Score of 5/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 54% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 3% higher than the average probability of any stock (51%). Key positive contributors include the long tail of fundamentals impact (+1.30%), long tail of technicals impact (+1.22%), and Net PP&E in the top 30% (+1.00%). On the negative side, the 252-day chart pattern (-1.22%), the Specialty Retail industry (-1.22%), and the long tail of sentiment impact (-0.65%) are the top detractors. Notable data points include a Short Float of 13.09% in the top 10%, which typically signals bearish sentiment and detracts -0.54% from the probability. The Analyst Lowest Price Upside is -16.65% (bottom 40%), indicating a bearish analyst outlook, reducing probability by -0.64%. Conversely, Tangible Shareholders' Equity of $679.19M ranks in the top 30% and adds +0.50%. The Fear & Greed Index at 31 (extreme fear) also weighs on the stock (-0.49%). Overall, the stock’s probability is slightly above average, supported by fundamental and technical long-tail signals, but held back by industry headwinds, high short interest, and bearish analyst views, justifying the neutral HOLD rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+3.40%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Momentum+2.40%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Growth+0.32%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Size & Liquidity+0.28%
Company size and trading liquidity

Sentiment-2.51%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Volatility-0.50%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Earnings Quality-0.34%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings

ASO probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+3.06%

AI Score

Hold

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) has an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +3.06% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of ASO (53.88%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
ASO probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+3.06%
ASO probability of beating the market (3M)53.88%

ASO probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +3.06%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of ASO:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.30%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_11	N/A	-1.22%
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Specialty Retail	N/A	-1.22%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.22%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	602.77		+1.00%
Sentiment	Earnings Countdown	-17		+0.79%
Technical	Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_18	N/A	+0.67%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.65%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	-0.17%		-0.64%
Sentiment	Short Float (%)	13.09%		-0.54%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.50%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.50%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.49%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.44%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.41%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +2.01%

ASO probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+3.06%
ASO AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

ASO Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$47.86
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

ASO Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for ASO from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 78 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

ASO Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 870 Hold signals since July 2026, ASO had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

870 Past ASO Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+25.13%
Average Alpha				+9.50%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				64.17%
% Positive Alpha				41.86%

ASO Frequently Asked Questions

Will Academy Sports and Outdoors stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Academy Sports and Outdoors has today an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (53.88%) is +3.06% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Academy Sports and Outdoors stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Academy Sports and Outdoors stock right now?
Is Academy Sports and Outdoors undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Academy Sports and Outdoors stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Academy Sports and Outdoors stock in the last 3 months?
Does Academy Sports and Outdoors offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Academy Sports and Outdoors?

Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc Company Profile

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc., backed by its subsidiaries, functions as a premier retailer of sports goods and outdoor recreation products across the United States. The company's outdoor-focused division offers an extensive range of camping products encompassing coolers, drinkware, alongside various camping accessories and equipment. It also provides a myriad of fishing merchandise that includes marine apparatus as well as assorted fishing rods, reels, baits, and their associated gears. Catering to hunting enthusiasts, the company supplies firearms, ammunition, archery equipment, camouflage clothing along with diverse hunting paraphernalia.

The company's sports and recreation domain specializes in fitness apparatuses accompanied by related accessories and dietary supplements. It stocks competitive sports equipment for baseball, football, basketball amongst other popular games along with recreational staples like patio furniture, backyard playsets or trampolines. A collection of versatile electronics form part of its inventory too completed by requisite items like batteries.

Academy Sports extends its retail selection to apparel boasting seasonally-curated outdoor wear as well as professional league-affiliated sportswear. The footwear division spans across everything from casual shoes to work boots showcasing a variety including athletic shoes designed for different sporting events.

Their product lines are sold under known brands such as Academy Sports + Outdoors itself and Magellan Outdoors as well as BCG or O'rageous among others. Originating back in 1938, the company is currently headquartered in Katy Texas dictating their operations from there.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:1800 North Mason Road, Katy
Employees:16,675
Website:corporate.academy.com

Pros

Broad product assortment across multiple categories

Value-oriented pricing strategy attracting diverse customers

Development of proprietary brands for margin enhancement

Geographic concentration in favorable demographic regions

Integrated omnichannel retail distribution network

Cons

Intense competition from diverse retail formats

Demand cyclicality linked to consumer discretionary income

Supply chain vulnerability to global logistics disruptions

Inventory management complexity for seasonal merchandise

Limited pricing power for commoditized sporting goods

ASO Stock AI Analysis