Will Bridger Aerospace stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Bridger Aerospace has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (49.90%) is -0.93% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Bridger Aerospace stock?

The Bridger Aerospace target price is $1.98 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Bridger Aerospace stock right now?

Bridger Aerospace has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (49.90%) is -0.93% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Bridger Aerospace stock is a good buy .

Is Bridger Aerospace undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Bridger Aerospace is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Bridger Aerospace has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Bridger Aerospace stock over the past 12 months?

The Bridger Aerospace stock price range over the past 12 months has been $1.55 - $3.27.

What is going on with Bridger Aerospace stock in the last 3 months?

The Bridger Aerospace stock performance in the last quarter has been -0.50%.

Does Bridger Aerospace offer dividend payments?

No, Bridger Aerospace does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Bridger Aerospace?

Bridger Aerospace's market cap is $112.97M, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER) AI Stock Analysis

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BAER AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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Earnings Quality+0.51%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Volatility+0.47%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Growth+0.27%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Size & Liquidity+0.16%
Company size and trading liquidity

Sentiment-1.49%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Profitability-0.44%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics
Momentum-0.38%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation-0.02%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals

BAER probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-0.93%

AI Score

Hold

Bridger Aerospace (BAER) has an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -0.93% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of BAER (49.90%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
BAER probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-0.93%
BAER probability of beating the market (3M)49.90%

BAER probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -0.93%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Bridger Aerospace (BAER) is based on the 26 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of BAER:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_56	N/A	-1.20%
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Commercial Services & Supplies	N/A	-0.72%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.62%
Fundamental	Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete)	-21.12		+0.51%
Technical	ATR (90d Volatility)	0.16	N/A	+0.47%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_36	N/A	+0.41%
Technical	Alpha 1Y	-0.15%		+0.36%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_125	N/A	-0.32%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.30%
Fundamental	Operating Profit Margin	-296.83%	N/A	-0.28%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.27%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.24%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.24%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.23%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.22%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.52%

BAER probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-0.93%
BAER AI Score

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BAER Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$1.98
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

BAER Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for BAER from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 50 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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6 Months
1 Year

BAER Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 617 Hold signals since July 2026, BAER had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

617 Past BAER Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-30.07%
Average Alpha				-44.51%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				30.16%
% Positive Alpha				16.10%

BAER Frequently Asked Questions

Will Bridger Aerospace stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Bridger Aerospace has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (49.90%) is -0.93% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Bridger Aerospace stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Bridger Aerospace stock right now?
Is Bridger Aerospace undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Bridger Aerospace stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Bridger Aerospace stock in the last 3 months?
Does Bridger Aerospace offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Bridger Aerospace?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc Company Profile

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. specializes in aerial wildfire management, offering robust mitigation solutions and firefighting services to both federal and state government agencies across America. Their portfolio of fire suppression services is broad, encompassing direct aerial support that enables ground crews to douse wildfires swiftly and accurately with expansive volumes of water.

Additionally, Bridger Aerospace provides highly strategic aerial surveillance offerings. Their capability to position fire suppression aircraft directly over an incident site allows for tactical coordination with on-site commanders, significantly enhancing the potency of firefighting efforts. This synergy between ground control and aerial teams is achieved through a sophisticated fleet of both manned and unmanned aircraft.

Bridger Aerospace operates a considerably diverse aircraft fleet consisting of 18 planes dedicated to these critical services. The company came into being in 2014 under the leadership of like-minded pioneers committed to bolstering wildfire management efforts. Anchored solidly in Belgrade, Montana, Bridger Aerospace continues its operations from this very location till date.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:90 Aviation Lane, Belgrade Montana
Employees:235
Website:bridgeraerospace.com

Pros

Increasing long-term demand for wildfire suppression services

Specialized fleet of purpose-built aerial firefighting aircraft

Stable revenue from multi-year government service contracts

High capital and regulatory barriers to industry entry

Provision of essential public safety and infrastructure protection

Cons

Revenue variability due to wildfire season intensity and weather

Substantial capital expenditure for aircraft acquisition and maintenance

Dependency on government budgets and contract renewal cycles

Scarcity of specialized pilots and aviation maintenance personnel

Complex and evolving aviation safety and environmental regulations

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BAER Stock AI Analysis