Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Bain Capital Specialty Finance has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.25%) is -4.58% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock?

The Bain Capital Specialty Finance target price is $12.65 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock right now?

Bain Capital Specialty Finance has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.25%) is -4.58% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock is a good buy .

Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Bain Capital Specialty Finance is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Bain Capital Specialty Finance has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock over the past 12 months?

The Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock price range over the past 12 months has been $11.98 - $15.82.

What is going on with Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock in the last 3 months?

The Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock performance in the last quarter has been +2.84%.

Does Bain Capital Specialty Finance offer dividend payments?

Yes, Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock dividend yield is 13.21%.

What is the current market capitalization of Bain Capital Specialty Finance?

Bain Capital Specialty Finance's market cap is $819.94M, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc (BCSF) AI Stock Analysis

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BCSF AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 46% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 5% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). Among the top positive contributors, the Chart Pattern (90d) adds +0.79% to the probability, while the Technicals Impact (Long Tail) contributes +0.74%. On the negative side, the Industry (GICS) being Capital Markets detracts -4.12%, the Chart Pattern (120d) reduces probability by -1.10%, and the Chart Pattern (504d) subtracts -0.88%. Notable data points include a Forward Price-to-Earnings ratio of 8.27 (bottom 20%), which positively influences the probability, and Tangible Shareholders' Equity of $1,093.56M (top 30%), also a positive factor. However, the Analyst Lowest Price Upside is -1.06% (top 50%), detracting from the outlook, and Cash per Share is $0.53 (bottom 30%), a negative. The stock's Alpha 1Y of -35.97% (bottom 40%) and ATR (14d Volatility) of 0.31 (bottom 30%) are positive contributors, but the overall net effect of signals is negative, consistent with the Sell rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Volatility+0.92%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Valuation+0.57%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Earnings Quality+0.31%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Growth+0.30%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Sentiment-5.41%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum-0.99%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Profitability-0.27%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics

BCSF probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-4.58%

AI Score

Sell

Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -4.58% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of BCSF (46.25%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
BCSF probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-4.58%
BCSF probability of beating the market (3M)46.25%

BCSF probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -4.58%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) is based on the 26 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of BCSF:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Capital Markets	N/A	-4.12%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_199	N/A	-1.10%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_29	N/A	-0.88%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.86%
Technical	Chart Pattern (90d)	figure_99	N/A	+0.79%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.74%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	-0.01%		-0.70%
Fundamental	Forward Price-to-Earnings	8.27%		+0.68%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	14.00%		-0.55%
Sentiment	Earnings in Next 15 Days	NO	N/A	-0.50%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.46%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.44%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.39%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.35%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.33%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +1.30%

BCSF probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-4.58%
BCSF AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

BCSF Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$12.65
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

BCSF Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for BCSF from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 80 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

BCSF Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 407 Sell signals since July 2026, BCSF had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

407 Past BCSF Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+5.16%
Average Alpha				-7.49%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				42.05%
% Negative Alpha				56.29%

BCSF Frequently Asked Questions

Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Bain Capital Specialty Finance has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.25%) is -4.58% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock right now?
Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock in the last 3 months?
Does Bain Capital Specialty Finance offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Bain Capital Specialty Finance?

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc Company Profile

Specializing in direct loans for middle-market companies, Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. operates as a business development enterprise. The firm's funding strategy is determined by substantial investments in collateral-secured senior debts, where the claim falls either on first or second lien basis. Further markings of its investment approach include stretch senior lending, second-lien senior credits and unitranche debt that combine multiple lending tiers into one tranche.

In addition to these secured loan provisions, the firm also has allocations for mezzanine financing - a hybrid debt issue that gives holders the rights to convert into an equity interest. The company also deals with junior securities; various other junior investments; as well as secondary acquisitions of assets or portfolios with a predominant constituent ratio of middle-market corporate debt.

The investment canvas it operates on typically includes companies showcasing an EBITDA ranging between $10 million and $150 million, thereby carving it's niche within the mid-scale spectrum of enterprises.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:200 Clarendon Street, Boston
Employees:0
Website:baincapitalspecialtyfinance.com

Pros

Focus on senior secured debt positions

Portfolio diversification across multiple borrowers

Predominant exposure to floating-rate debt

Access to private credit market opportunities

BDC tax structure facilitating income distribution

Cons

Inherent credit risk of middle-market loan portfolios

Sensitivity to sustained declines in benchmark interest rates

Regulatory leverage limits on investment capacity

Illiquidity of private debt investments

Impact of management and incentive fee structures

BCSF Stock AI Analysis