Will Bowhead Specialty stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Bowhead Specialty has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (50.26%) is -0.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Bowhead Specialty stock?

The Bowhead Specialty target price is $32.95 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Bowhead Specialty stock right now?

Bowhead Specialty has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (50.26%) is -0.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Bowhead Specialty stock is a good buy .

Is Bowhead Specialty undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Bowhead Specialty is +5.58% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Bowhead Specialty has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Bowhead Specialty stock over the past 12 months?

The Bowhead Specialty stock price range over the past 12 months has been $21.44 - $37.53.

What is going on with Bowhead Specialty stock in the last 3 months?

The Bowhead Specialty stock performance in the last quarter has been +39.14%.

Does Bowhead Specialty offer dividend payments?

No, Bowhead Specialty does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Bowhead Specialty?

Bowhead Specialty's market cap is $1.02B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next BOW earnings report date?

BOW will publish its next earnings report on 2026-05-05.

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc (BOW) AI Stock Analysis

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BOW AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 50% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 1% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). This probability is primarily influenced by a mix of positive and negative signals. The most significant positive contributor is the long tail of fundamental signals, which adds +1.53% to the probability. The stock's chart pattern over a 2-year period also provides a positive influence of +0.61%. Conversely, the biggest detractor is its classification in the Insurance industry, which reduces the probability by -1.34%. A long tail of negative sentiment signals further weighs down the outlook by -0.60%. Notable data points include the company's Net Property, Plant & Equipment value, which is in the bottom 30% of the market and detracts from the probability. Despite strong recent performance metrics—such as Alpha Last Day and Distance from KAMA (20d) being in the top 10%—these are currently acting as negative contributors to the 3-month outlook. On a positive note, the company's Tangible Shareholders' Equity and Operating Cash Flow are in the top 40% and top 30% respectively, providing modest positive impacts. Overall, the stock's probability is slightly below average, driven down by its sector and some technical factors, despite pockets of financial strength.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+1.45%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Earnings Quality+0.19%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Growth+0.12%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Size & Liquidity+0.10%
Company size and trading liquidity

Sentiment-1.93%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum-0.39%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Volatility-0.09%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

BOW probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-0.56%

Technical

Bowhead Specialty (BOW) has a Technical Score of 6/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of +1.79% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.64%) and the probability of BOW (52.43%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.64%
BOW probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)+1.79%
BOW probability of beating the market (3M)52.43%

BOW probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): +1.79%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Bowhead Specialty (BOW) is only based on the 31 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of BOW:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+2.12%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-1.60%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.34%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-1.10%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-1.06%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.90%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.81%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.76%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.70%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.69%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.63%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.62%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.56%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.56%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.53%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.58%

BOW probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:+1.79%
BOW Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

BOW Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$31.21
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

BOW Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for BOW from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 108 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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6 Months
1 Year

BOW Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 243 Hold signals since July 2026, BOW had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

243 Past BOW Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+29.13%
Average Alpha				+14.66%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				100.00%
% Positive Alpha				72.55%

BOW Frequently Asked Questions

Will Bowhead Specialty stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Bowhead Specialty has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (50.26%) is -0.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Bowhead Specialty stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Bowhead Specialty stock right now?
Is Bowhead Specialty undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Bowhead Specialty stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Bowhead Specialty stock in the last 3 months?
Does Bowhead Specialty offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Bowhead Specialty?
When is the next BOW earnings report date?

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc Company Profile

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It underwrites casualty insurance solutions for risks in the construction, distribution, heavy manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality segments; professional liability insurance solutions for financial institutions, private and public directors and officers liability insurance, errors and omissions liability insurance, and cyber segments; and healthcare solutions for hospitals, senior care providers, managed care organizations, miscellaneous medical facilities, and healthcare management liability segments. The company distributes its products through distribution partners in wholesale and retail markets. Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. was formerly known as Bowhead Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. in March 2024. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in New York, New York. Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Bowhead Insurance Holdings LP.

Sector:Financials
Country:United States
Industry:Insurance
Address:452 5Th Avenue, 24Th Floor, New York City
Employees:296
Website:ir.bowheadspecialty.com

Pros

Pricing power in underserved niche insurance markets

Specialized underwriting expertise for complex risks

High regulatory and capital barriers to entry

Diversification across multiple specialty insurance lines

Customer retention due to tailored risk solutions

Cons

Exposure to infrequent, high-severity loss events

Intense regulatory oversight and compliance costs

Capital requirements for underwriting capacity

Cyclical demand for certain specialty coverages

Dependency on reinsurance market capacity and pricing

BOW Stock AI Analysis