Will Century Aluminum stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Century Aluminum has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (63.02%) is +12.19% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Century Aluminum stock?

The Century Aluminum target price is $43.78 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Century Aluminum stock right now?

Century Aluminum has today a Buy rating (AI Score 8/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (63.02%) is +12.19% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Century Aluminum stock is a good buy .

Is Century Aluminum undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Century Aluminum is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Century Aluminum has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy Rating).

What was the price range of Century Aluminum stock over the past 12 months?

The Century Aluminum stock price range over the past 12 months has been $16.91 - $68.77.

What is going on with Century Aluminum stock in the last 3 months?

The Century Aluminum stock performance in the last quarter has been -31.06%.

Does Century Aluminum offer dividend payments?

No, Century Aluminum does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Century Aluminum?

Century Aluminum's market cap is $4.33B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Century Aluminum Co (CENX) AI Stock Analysis

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CENX AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Buy

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Century Aluminum Co today receives an AI Score of 8/10, which translates to a Buy rating. The stock has a 63% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 12% higher than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the Metals & Mining industry (+6.63%), the long tail of fundamentals (+4.17%), and sentiment (+1.27%), along with strong Net PP&E (top 30%, +0.88%) and Operating Cash Flow (top 30%, +0.75%). On the detractor side, chart patterns over 504d (-0.83%), 180d (-0.73%), and 252d (-0.58%), high Beta (top 10%, -0.68%), high ATR (top 20%, -0.56%), and elevated Short Float (top 20%, -0.38%) weigh on the probability. Notable data points include a Beta of 2.0 (top 10%), indicating the stock is twice as volatile as the market, and a Short Float of 12.09% (top 20%), suggesting significant bearish sentiment. However, the company’s Net PP&E and Operating Cash Flow rank in the top 30%, reflecting solid asset base and operational efficiency. The Fear & Greed Index at 31 signals fear, which can be a contrarian positive. Overall, the strong industry tailwind and fundamental strength outweigh the technical and volatility headwinds, supporting the Buy rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Sentiment+7.74%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Valuation+5.68%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Earnings Quality+0.75%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Size & Liquidity+0.28%
Company size and trading liquidity
Growth+0.28%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Volatility-1.81%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Momentum-0.72%
Direction and strength of recent price movements

CENX probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+12.19%

AI Score

Buy

Century Aluminum (CENX) has an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +12.19% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of CENX (63.02%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
CENX probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+12.19%
CENX probability of beating the market (3M)63.02%

CENX probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +12.19%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Century Aluminum (CENX) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of CENX:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Metals & Mining	N/A	+6.63%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+4.17%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.27%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	1.21K		+0.88%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_18	N/A	-0.83%
Fundamental	Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete)	68.4		+0.75%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_54	N/A	-0.73%
Technical	Beta	2		-0.68%
Sentiment	Earnings Countdown	-50		+0.60%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_33	N/A	-0.58%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.56%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.50%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.48%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.45%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.42%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +1.30%

CENX probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+12.19%
CENX AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

CENX Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$43.78
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

CENX Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for CENX from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 80 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Buy signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

CENX Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 575 Buy signals since May 2026, CENX had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

575 Past CENX Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+11.31%
Average Alpha				+0.07%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				39.07%
% Positive Alpha				35.87%

CENX Past Buy Signals Performance

Performance and alpha after 1, 3, 6 months, and 1 year, for each of the 559 days that CENX was rated a Strong Buy/Buy (AI Score 7 to 10) since May 2026.

Date	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y
2017-01-11	+75.85%	+34.22%	+82.97%	+133.83%	+73.91%	+31.17%	+75.35%	+112.25%
2017-01-12				-	-	-	-	-
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Showing 1 to 10 of 559 days 1 2 3 4 5 ... 56
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Date	AI Score	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y

CENX Frequently Asked Questions

Will Century Aluminum stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Century Aluminum has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (63.02%) is +12.19% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Century Aluminum stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Century Aluminum stock right now?
Is Century Aluminum undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Century Aluminum stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Century Aluminum stock in the last 3 months?
Does Century Aluminum offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Century Aluminum?

Century Aluminum Co Company Profile

Century Aluminum Company - alongside its subsidiary bodies, spearheads the creation of standard and specialized primary aluminum products. Operating primarily within the United States and Iceland, their expertise extends to an alumina production facility operated in Iceland and a carbon anode production plant situated in the Netherlands. This multi-faceted entity stands as a vanguard in the industry since its establishment in 1995. Today, Century Aluminum has its corporate headquarters nestled in the vibrant cityscape of Chicago, Illinois, shaping the trajectory of aluminum manufacturing from this epicenter.

Sector:Materials
Country:United States
Industry:Metals & Mining
Address:Suite 1000, 1 South Wacker Drive, Chicago
Employees:2,906
Website:centuryaluminum.com

Pros

High capital intensity as a barrier to new market entrants

Broad industrial demand for essential lightweight metal

Operating leverage from fixed cost base in production

Beneficiary of global aluminum price increases

Long-term demand growth from decarbonization trends

Cons

Extreme sensitivity to electricity and raw material input costs

Revenue volatility from global commodity price fluctuations

Substantial ongoing capital expenditure for facility maintenance

Exposure to evolving environmental and carbon emission regulations

Geopolitical risks impacting global supply chains and trade

Pros

Cons

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1	FSMFortuna Mining Corp
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3	AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Ltd
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7	ORLAOrla Mining Ltd
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9	EGOEldorado Gold Corp
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CENX Stock AI Analysis