Will Commercial Metals stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Commercial Metals has today an AI Score of 6/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (54.38%) is +3.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Commercial Metals stock?

The Commercial Metals target price is $72.56 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Commercial Metals stock right now?

Commercial Metals has today a Hold rating (AI Score 6/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (54.38%) is +3.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Commercial Metals stock is a good buy .

Is Commercial Metals undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Commercial Metals is +18.50% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Commercial Metals has today an AI Score of 6/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Commercial Metals stock over the past 12 months?

The Commercial Metals stock price range over the past 12 months has been $48.68 - $83.21.

What is going on with Commercial Metals stock in the last 3 months?

The Commercial Metals stock performance in the last quarter has been -0.32%.

Does Commercial Metals offer dividend payments?

Yes, Commercial Metals stock dividend yield is 1.21%.

What is the current market capitalization of Commercial Metals?

Commercial Metals's market cap is $6.77B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next CMC earnings report date?

CMC will publish its next earnings report on 2026-06-25.

Commercial Metals Co (CMC) AI Stock Analysis

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CMC AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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Sentiment+5.18%
How analysts and the market view the stock

Momentum-0.89%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation-0.47%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Volatility-0.26%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

CMC probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+3.56%

AI Score

Hold

Commercial Metals (CMC) has an AI Score of 6/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +3.56% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of CMC (54.38%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
CMC probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+3.56%
CMC probability of beating the market (3M)54.38%

CMC probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +3.56%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Commercial Metals (CMC) is based on the 19 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of CMC:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Metals & Mining	N/A	+5.21%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_139	N/A	-1.59%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_84	N/A	-1.06%
Sentiment	Earnings Countdown	-1		+0.70%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.68%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_36	N/A	-0.68%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.63%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_72	N/A	+0.50%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.47%
Technical	ATR (14d Volatility)	2.87		-0.46%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.38%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.27%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.26%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.23%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.20%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.38%

CMC probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+3.56%
CMC AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

CMC Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$61.23
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

CMC Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for CMC from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 56 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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6 Months
1 Year

CMC Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1474 Hold signals since July 2026, CMC had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1474 Past CMC Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+19.15%
Average Alpha				+7.24%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				71.09%
% Positive Alpha				54.36%

CMC Frequently Asked Questions

Will Commercial Metals stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Commercial Metals has today an AI Score of 6/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (54.38%) is +3.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Commercial Metals stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Commercial Metals stock right now?
Is Commercial Metals undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Commercial Metals stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Commercial Metals stock in the last 3 months?
Does Commercial Metals offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Commercial Metals?
When is the next CMC earnings report date?

Commercial Metals Co Company Profile

A specialist in the steel and metal industry, Commercial Metals Company engages in the production, recycling, and crafting of steel and metal-related products. Serving an expansive range of markets including the U.S., Poland, China, among other international territories, it operates through two primary divisions: North America and Europe.

The firm caters to a broad spectrum of consumers by processing and marketing both ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals. Its client portfolio contains steel mills, foundries, aluminum sheet manufacturers, bronze ingot makers, copper refineries and more.

Moreover, it produces and markets a variety of finished long steel products like reinforcing bar, special sections, merchant bar, and light structural elements. It further redefines versatility through its offering of semi-finished billets designed for rerolling and forging applications.

In addition to that breadth of service offerings is the production of fabricated rebar leveraged as concrete reinforcement in a wide array of construction projects--commercial or non-commercial buildings; hospitals; industrial plants; power plants; convention centers; highways; bridges among others.

Complementary to this sector is their provision of construction-related products and equipment available not just for sale but also for rental - targeted towards concrete installers primarily. In service to various industries as well such as transportation & energy sectors—it manufactures strength bars utilized by truck trailer industry & offers special bar steels for the energy market. Proving too its military-grade prowess through armor plates suitable for military vehicles.

Furthermore adding depth to their product roster are rebars; merchant bars; wire rods all fabricated meticulously within their facilities. Sold thereafter as fabricated meshes or assembled rebar cages best suited for fabricators; manufacturers; distributors & construction companies alike seeking quality & durability.

Dating back to 1915 with humble beginnings but now proudly headquartered in Irving Texas—Commercial Metals Company embodies over a century’s worth of legitimacy & global reach within the steel & metal axis.

Sector:Materials
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:6565 N. MacArthur Blvd., Irving
Employees:12,690
Website:cmc.com

Pros

Electric arc furnace cost efficiency from scrap

Vertical integration across steel supply chain

Essential products for infrastructure development

Regional market focus and distribution network

High capital expenditure barrier to entry

Cons

Demand cyclicality from construction sector

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