Will Covenant Logistics stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Covenant Logistics has today an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (52.80%) is +1.98% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Covenant Logistics stock?

The Covenant Logistics target price is $43.95 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Covenant Logistics stock right now?

Covenant Logistics has today a Hold rating (AI Score 5/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (52.80%) is +1.98% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Covenant Logistics stock is a good buy .

Is Covenant Logistics undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Covenant Logistics is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Covenant Logistics has today an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Covenant Logistics stock over the past 12 months?

The Covenant Logistics stock price range over the past 12 months has been $18.07 - $46.32.

What is going on with Covenant Logistics stock in the last 3 months?

The Covenant Logistics stock performance in the last quarter has been +58.89%.

Does Covenant Logistics offer dividend payments?

Yes, Covenant Logistics stock dividend yield is 0.64%.

What is the current market capitalization of Covenant Logistics?

Covenant Logistics's market cap is $1.11B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Covenant Logistics Group Inc (CVLG) AI Stock Analysis

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CVLG AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Covenant Logistics Group Inc today receives an AI Score of 5/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 53% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 2% higher than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the long tail of fundamentals impact (+1.44%), technicals impact (+0.93%), and the 60-day chart pattern (+0.74%). On the detractor side, the Ground Transportation industry (-2.46%) and beginning cash in the bottom 20% (-0.64%) weigh down the probability. Notable data points include a one-year alpha in the top 10% (value 0.54), indicating strong risk-adjusted returns, and operating cash flow in the top 40% (value 28.96). However, beginning cash is in the bottom 20% (value 4.95), and the stock's year-to-date performance is in the top 10% (value 0.99), which surprisingly detracts slightly. Overall, the stock shows a mix of strong technical and fundamental signals, but the industry headwind and low cash position temper the outlook, resulting in a neutral HOLD rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Momentum+2.40%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation+1.83%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Earnings Quality+0.52%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Growth+0.18%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Sentiment-2.12%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Size & Liquidity-0.64%
Company size and trading liquidity
Volatility-0.18%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

CVLG probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+1.98%

Technical

Covenant Logistics (CVLG) has a Technical Score of 8/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of +6.31% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.73%) and the probability of CVLG (57.04%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.73%
CVLG probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)+6.31%
CVLG probability of beating the market (3M)57.04%

CVLG probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): +6.31%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Covenant Logistics (CVLG) is only based on the 29 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of CVLG:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+2.09%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.37%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.89%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.74%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.52%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.50%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.49%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.45%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.45%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.39%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.37%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.29%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.27%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.26%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.23%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.60%

CVLG probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:+6.31%
CVLG Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

CVLG Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$43.95
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

CVLG Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for CVLG from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 67 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

CVLG Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1443 Hold signals since July 2026, CVLG had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1443 Past CVLG Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+11.03%
Average Alpha				-0.65%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				57.90%
% Positive Alpha				43.49%

CVLG Frequently Asked Questions

Will Covenant Logistics stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Covenant Logistics has today an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (52.80%) is +1.98% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Covenant Logistics stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Covenant Logistics stock right now?
Is Covenant Logistics undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Covenant Logistics stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Covenant Logistics stock in the last 3 months?
Does Covenant Logistics offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Covenant Logistics?

Covenant Logistics Group Inc Company Profile

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, offers a dedicated transport and logistics platform operating across the United States. The company is structured around four main divisions - Expedited, Dedicated, Managed Freight, and Warehousing.

The Expedited Division primarily delivers truckload services that comply with stringent freight and delivery criteria - think thresholds like 1,000 miles covered in under 22 hours or exceptionally narrow 15-minute delivery windows.

On the other hand, the Dedicated Division caters to clients seeking long-term engagement by providing committed truckload capacity for contract periods typically ranging between three to five years. This is offered via equipment either maintained in-house or externally leased by the company.

Through its Managed Freight Division, Covenant Logistics extends brokerage services that encompass outsourcing of client's logistics needs through carriage allocation to third parties. Covenant also offers transport management provisions as part of its managed freight Workframe – a preferred solution for companies looking to delegate their comprehensive logistics requirements.

In addition to these transportation-focused segments, the Warehousing Division offers day-to-day warehouse management solutions plus shuttle- and switching-related services that involve transitioning containers and trailers for customers.

Moreover, in line with delivering comprehensive client solutions while generating additional streams of revenue, Covenant holds interest in used equipment sales and leasing operations.

Covenant serves a diverse clientele from parcel freight forwarders to less-than-truck-load carriers plus third-party logistics providers. It’s traditional truckload clients include manufacturers from various sectors – automotive, packaged goods among others - retailers round off this list along with food and beverage shippers.

Formerly recognized as Covenant Transportation Group Inc., the company rebranded itself as Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. in July 2020. Inaugurated in 1986 and presenting over three decades of industry experience, Covenant Logistics has established its headquarters in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:400 Birmingham Hwy, Chattanooga
Employees:3,800
Website:covenantlogistics.com

Pros

Diversified service portfolio across transportation modes

Dedicated contract services provide revenue stability

Asset-light brokerage and intermodal segments

Broad North American operational network

Operational efficiency from logistics technology investments

Cons

Capital intensity of owned truck fleet operations

Exposure to volatile fuel price fluctuations

Industry-wide driver recruitment and retention challenges

Cyclical demand patterns in freight transportation

Fragmented market competition in trucking and logistics

Pros

Cons

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CVLG Stock AI Analysis