Will Commvault stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Commvault has today an AI Score of 2/10 (Strong Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (42.90%) is -7.92% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Commvault stock?

The Commvault target price is $150.01 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Commvault stock right now?

Commvault has today a Strong Sell rating (AI Score 2/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (42.90%) is -7.92% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Commvault stock is a good buy .

Is Commvault undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Commvault is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Commvault has today an AI Score of 2/10 (Strong Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Commvault stock over the past 12 months?

The Commvault stock price range over the past 12 months has been $75.18 - $195.41.

What is going on with Commvault stock in the last 3 months?

The Commvault stock performance in the last quarter has been +91.31%.

Does Commvault offer dividend payments?

No, Commvault does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Commvault?

Commvault's market cap is $6.21B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Commvault Systems Inc (CVLT) AI Stock Analysis

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CVLT AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Strong Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Commvault Systems Inc today receives an AI Score of 2/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 43% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 8% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). Among the top impactful features, the positive contributors include Alpha 1Y (risk-adjusted return over the past year, +0.45% impact) and Cash per Share (MRQ) (liquidity per share, +0.36% impact, in the top 10%). However, the detractors are more numerous and stronger: Industry (GICS) – Software detracts -2.79%, Sentiment Impact (Long Tail) detracts -0.96%, Chart Pattern (504d) detracts -0.92%, Fear & Greed Index (CNN) at 31 (fear) detracts -0.91%, Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E) in the bottom 30% detracts -0.78%, Analyst Lowest Price Upside in the bottom 30% detracts -0.51%, and Earnings in Next 15 Days (no earnings scheduled) detracts -0.46%. Notable data points include Cash per Share (MRQ) at $21.73 in the top 10%, indicating strong liquidity, and Alpha 1Y at -33.6% in the bottom 40%, showing poor risk-adjusted returns. On the negative side, Net PP&E is in the bottom 30% at $9.75M, suggesting low fixed asset investment, and Analyst Lowest Price Upside is -30% in the bottom 30%, reflecting bearish analyst sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index at 31 signals fear, which historically weighs on performance. Overall, the stock faces significant headwinds from its industry classification, weak technical patterns, and negative sentiment, outweighing the positive liquidity and alpha signals, resulting in a low AI Score and a Sell rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Sentiment-4.35%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum-1.96%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation-0.81%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Volatility-0.43%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Earnings Quality-0.36%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings

CVLT probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-7.92%

Technical

Commvault (CVLT) has a Technical Score of 6/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of +1.87% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.73%) and the probability of CVLT (52.60%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.73%
CVLT probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)+1.87%
CVLT probability of beating the market (3M)52.60%

CVLT probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): +1.87%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Commvault (CVLT) is only based on the 31 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of CVLT:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.92%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.77%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.76%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.47%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.46%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.43%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.40%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.37%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.35%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.34%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.32%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.31%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.26%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.25%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.23%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.07%

CVLT probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:+1.87%
CVLT Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

CVLT Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$150.01
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

CVLT Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for CVLT from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 19 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

CVLT Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 306 Sell signals since July 2026, CVLT had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

306 Past CVLT Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+18.26%
Average Alpha				+6.18%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				40.55%
% Negative Alpha				54.64%

CVLT Frequently Asked Questions

Will Commvault stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Commvault has today an AI Score of 2/10 (Strong Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (42.90%) is -7.92% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Commvault stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Commvault stock right now?
Is Commvault undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Commvault stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Commvault stock in the last 3 months?
Does Commvault offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Commvault?

Commvault Systems Inc Company Profile

Commvault Systems, Inc. is a specialist in the realm of data protection, offering robust solutions to businesses in the United States and beyond. Its forte lies in fortified data management that steers customers toward optimal security, resilience, and retrieval of data. The company presents an array of products and services engineered to cater all levels of business needs.

Among its distinguished offerings is the Commvault Backup and Recovery tool, designed for comprehensive backup and recovery functions. For disaster preparedness, they introduce Commvault Disaster Recovery which stands as an efficient replication and recovery mechanism against unlikely events.

Meanwhile, Commvault Complete Data Protection delivers a consummate protective layer for your data. Metallic Data Protection as-a-service escalates these protective measures via cloud technology with advanced embedded security controls.

The organization also brings forth Commvault HyperScale X- an effortless-to-implement scale-out solution alongside Metallic Recovery Reserve - devised to adopt secure cloud storage expeditiously while maintaining scalability.

In addition to their ingenious software solutions, Commvault provides specialized consulting services on technology-related issues including ransomware recovery. They extend education services alongside remote-managed assistance to impeccable customer engagement.

To further strengthen its product base, the company combines its ingenious software with hardware to produce integrated appliances intended for a spectrum of business requirements and scenarios.

You will find under the Metallic brand an array of other offerings such as customer support consolations along with design assessment—all geared towards creating value through meticulous product enhancements and superior customer experiences

Commvault sells its innovations directly via its sales representatives or indirectly by way of distributors, value-added resellers (VARs), systems integrators, corporate resellers as well as original equipment manufacturers(OEMs). Their client roster includes SME's along with large corporations across industries like finance- which includes banking & insurance; healthcare; pharmaceuticals; technology; legal; manufacturing; energy utilities among others.

Having commenced operations in 1988 to bring about revolution in the field of data protection, Commvault Systems has its operations strategically positioned in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:1 Commvault Way, Tinton Falls
Employees:3,300
Website:commvault.com

Pros

High switching costs in enterprise data management

Predictable recurring revenue from subscription model

Persistent demand from increasing enterprise data volumes

Regulatory compliance driving data protection adoption

Elevated demand from cyber resilience requirements

Cons

Fragmented market with intense vendor competition

Continuous R&D investment for technology relevance

Potential for customer concentration in large enterprise deals

Complexity of enterprise solution deployment and integration

Pricing pressure from commoditization of core functionalities

CVLT Stock AI Analysis