Will Empire Petroleum stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Empire Petroleum has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.87%) is -2.95% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Empire Petroleum stock?

The Empire Petroleum target price is $2.68 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Empire Petroleum stock right now?

Empire Petroleum has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.87%) is -2.95% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Empire Petroleum stock is a good buy .

Is Empire Petroleum undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Empire Petroleum is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Empire Petroleum has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Empire Petroleum stock over the past 12 months?

The Empire Petroleum stock price range over the past 12 months has been $2.44 - $6.13.

What is going on with Empire Petroleum stock in the last 3 months?

The Empire Petroleum stock performance in the last quarter has been -6.62%.

Does Empire Petroleum offer dividend payments?

No, Empire Petroleum does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Empire Petroleum?

Empire Petroleum's market cap is $106.24M, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) AI Stock Analysis

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EP AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Empire Petroleum Corp today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 48% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 3% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). Among the top positive contributors, the Industry (GICS) classification as Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels boosts the probability by +1.49%, while the Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail) adds +1.15% and Alpha 1Y contributes +0.85% despite being in the bottom 20%. On the negative side, the Chart Pattern (504d) detracts -1.21%, Beginning Cash (Millions) in the bottom 10% reduces probability by -0.91%, and the Chart Pattern (90d) subtracts -0.78%. Notable data points include Gross Profit at -$0.057M (bottom 10%), Operating Profit Margin at -109.37% (bottom 20%), and Total Common Equity of $3.69M (bottom 20%), all signaling weak profitability and low equity base. Additionally, Maximum Volatility ranks in the top 30% at 7.46%, indicating higher risk. While the industry tailwind and some technical patterns provide modest support, the combination of poor fundamentals, low cash reserves, and elevated volatility weighs heavily on the stock's outlook, resulting in a below-average probability and a Hold rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Sentiment+0.94%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Volatility+0.17%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

Profitability-1.34%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics
Size & Liquidity-0.91%
Company size and trading liquidity
Financial Strength-0.65%
Balance sheet strength and financial resilience
Momentum-0.60%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation-0.56%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals

EP probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-2.95%

AI Score

Hold

Empire Petroleum (EP) has an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -2.95% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of EP (47.87%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
EP probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-2.95%
EP probability of beating the market (3M)47.87%

EP probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -2.95%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Empire Petroleum (EP) is based on the 25 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of EP:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels	N/A	+1.49%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_50	N/A	-1.21%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.15%
Fundamental	Beginning Cash (Millions)	1.19	N/A	-0.91%
Technical	Alpha 1Y	-0.70%		+0.85%
Technical	Chart Pattern (90d)	figure_15	N/A	-0.78%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.73%
Fundamental	Total Common Equity	3.69		-0.65%
Fundamental	Gross Profit	-0.06	N/A	-0.63%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_170	N/A	+0.56%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.55%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.50%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.48%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.46%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.46%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -1.66%

EP probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-2.95%
EP AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

EP Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$2.68
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

EP Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for EP from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 49 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

EP Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 146 Hold signals since July 2026, EP had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

146 Past EP Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-38.97%
Average Alpha				-54.32%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				0.00%
% Positive Alpha				0.00%

EP Frequently Asked Questions

Will Empire Petroleum stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Empire Petroleum has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.87%) is -2.95% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Empire Petroleum stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Empire Petroleum stock right now?
Is Empire Petroleum undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Empire Petroleum stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Empire Petroleum stock in the last 3 months?
Does Empire Petroleum offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Empire Petroleum?

Empire Petroleum Corp Company Profile

Specializing in the procurement, exploration, and enhancement of oil and gas interests, Empire Petroleum Corporation operates across several states including Louisiana, New Mexico, Montana, North Dakota, and Texas. In its earlier years - dating back to its incorporation in 1983 - the company was known as Americomm Resources Corporation. However, in the August of 2001, a corporate rebranding saw it adopt its current name: Empire Petroleum Corporation. The wheels of this vibrant energy behemoth spin tirelessly from their command center situated in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:2200 S. Utica Place, Suite 150, Tulsa
Employees:61
Website:empirepetroleumcorp.com

Pros

Operating leverage from fixed asset base

Inelastic demand for hydrocarbon energy

Depletion allowance tax benefits

Established distribution channels for crude

Potential for reserve appreciation with commodity prices

Cons

High capital intensity for reserve replacement

Commodity price cyclicality and volatility

Increasing environmental compliance costs

Geopolitical risks to global energy supply

Long-term demand erosion from energy transition

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EP Stock AI Analysis