Will Empire State Realty stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Empire State Realty has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.41%) is -2.41% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Empire State Realty stock?

The Empire State Realty target price is $5.2 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Empire State Realty stock right now?

Empire State Realty has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.41%) is -2.41% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Empire State Realty stock is a good buy .

Is Empire State Realty undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Empire State Realty is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Empire State Realty has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Empire State Realty stock over the past 12 months?

The Empire State Realty stock price range over the past 12 months has been $4.82 - $8.64.

What is going on with Empire State Realty stock in the last 3 months?

The Empire State Realty stock performance in the last quarter has been +5.05%.

Does Empire State Realty offer dividend payments?

Yes, Empire State Realty stock dividend yield is 2.69%.

What is the current market capitalization of Empire State Realty?

Empire State Realty's market cap is $1.46B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

EMPIRE STATE REALTY OP LP-ES (ESBA) AI Stock Analysis

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ESBA AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Empire State Realty Op LP-ES today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 48% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 3% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the Chart Pattern (504d) (impact +5.69%), the Technicals Impact (Long Tail) (impact +3.71%), and the Alpha Last Day (impact +1.82%), despite the latter being in the bottom 10% of stocks. On the negative side, the Sentiment Impact (Long Tail) (impact -7.14%), Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail) (impact -3.19%), and the Tickers type (impact -2.75%) are the top detractors. Notable data points include the Performance (Last Market Day) in the top 10% with a value of 4.51%, indicating strong recent momentum, while the Alpha 1Y is in the bottom 20% at -59.24%, reflecting poor long-term risk-adjusted returns. The Short Float (%) is in the bottom 10% at 2%, suggesting low bearish sentiment, but Institutional Ownership is also in the bottom 10% at 67%, which may indicate lower confidence from large investors. Overall, the stock's probability of outperforming is slightly below average, weighed down by negative sentiment and fundamental signals, but supported by technical patterns and recent price strength, resulting in a Hold rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Momentum+10.92%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Volatility+1.32%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Size & Liquidity+1.32%
Company size and trading liquidity

Sentiment-12.21%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Valuation-3.76%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals

ESBA probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-2.41%

Technical

Empire State Realty (ESBA) has a Technical Score of 7/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of +4.16% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.64%) and the probability of ESBA (54.80%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.64%
ESBA probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)+4.16%
ESBA probability of beating the market (3M)54.80%

ESBA probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): +4.16%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Empire State Realty (ESBA) is only based on the 29 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of ESBA:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.30%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.11%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.05%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.88%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.80%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.76%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.68%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.52%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.43%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.41%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.32%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.29%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.29%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.28%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.28%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +2.07%

ESBA probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:+4.16%
ESBA Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

ESBA Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$5.20
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

ESBA Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for ESBA from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 31 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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6 Months
1 Year

ESBA Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 92 Hold signals since July 2026, ESBA had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

92 Past ESBA Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				0.00%
Average Alpha				0.00%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				0.00%
% Positive Alpha				0.00%

ESBA Frequently Asked Questions

Will Empire State Realty stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Empire State Realty has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.41%) is -2.41% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Empire State Realty stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Empire State Realty stock right now?
Is Empire State Realty undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Empire State Realty stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Empire State Realty stock in the last 3 months?
Does Empire State Realty offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Empire State Realty?

EMPIRE STATE REALTY OP LP-ES Company Profile

Embodying a divisional role under the umbrella of Empire State Realty Trust, Inc., Empire State Realty OP, L.P. functions as an integral subsidiary within the corporate family.

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Pros

Iconic landmark property generating tourist revenue

High barriers to entry in Manhattan real estate

Diversified tenant base across multiple sectors

Long-term lease agreements providing revenue stability

Premium pricing power from urban core locations

Cons

Exposure to office market demand cyclicality

Substantial capital expenditure for property upkeep

Regulatory and zoning complexities in New York City

Geographic concentration risk in one metropolitan area

Competition from newer, amenity-rich office developments

ESBA Stock AI Analysis