Will Etsy stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Etsy has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.58%) is -3.24% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Etsy stock?

The Etsy target price is $68.34 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Etsy stock right now?

Etsy has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.58%) is -3.24% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Etsy stock is a good buy .

Is Etsy undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Etsy is -6.19% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Etsy has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Etsy stock over the past 12 months?

The Etsy stock price range over the past 12 months has been $44.05 - $79.66.

What is going on with Etsy stock in the last 3 months?

The Etsy stock performance in the last quarter has been +45.75%.

Does Etsy offer dividend payments?

No, Etsy does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Etsy?

Etsy's market cap is $6.91B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next ETSY earnings report date?

ETSY will publish its next earnings report on 2026-04-29.

ETSY Inc (ETSY) AI Stock Analysis

Advanced Chart

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

ETSY AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, ETSY Inc today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 47% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 4% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). Among the top positive contributors, the Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail) adds +1.46% to the probability, the Chart Pattern (252d) adds +1.12%, and the Earnings Countdown (currently 58 days past earnings, bottom 20%) adds +0.88%. On the negative side, the Chart Pattern (504d) detracts -3.27%, the Fear & Greed Index (value 31, indicating fear) detracts -1.14%, and the ATR (14d Volatility) (top 20%) detracts -1.09%. Notable data points include Cash per Share (MRQ) in the top 10% at $15.02, which positively influences the probability, while Tangible Shareholders' Equity is in the bottom 10% at -$1,187.64, a significant detractor. The Alpha 1Y is in the top 20% at 24.5%, adding +0.70%, but Performance (YTD) is also in the top 20% at 31.4%, yet it detracts -0.64%, suggesting that recent strong performance may be priced in. Overall, the mix of positive fundamentals and technical patterns is outweighed by negative chart patterns and sentiment, resulting in a below-average probability and a Sell rating.

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

We're getting the explanation ready so you can easily understand what's behind the AI Score. This may take a few seconds.

Valuation+2.21%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Size & Liquidity+0.42%
Company size and trading liquidity

Momentum-2.50%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Sentiment-2.27%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Volatility-0.66%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Earnings Quality-0.43%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings

ETSY probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-3.24%

AI Score

Sell

Etsy (ETSY) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -3.24% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of ETSY (47.58%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
ETSY probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-3.24%
ETSY probability of beating the market (3M)47.58%

ETSY probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -3.24%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Etsy (ETSY) is based on the 25 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of ETSY:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_30	N/A	-3.27%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.46%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-1.14%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_69	N/A	+1.12%
Technical	ATR (14d Volatility)	2.97		-1.09%
Sentiment	Earnings Countdown	-58		+0.88%
Fundamental	Cash per Share (MRQ)	15.02		+0.84%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.79%
Fundamental	Tangible Shareholders' Equity	-1.19K	N/A	-0.78%
Technical	Alpha 1Y	0.25%		+0.70%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.64%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.64%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.54%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.44%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.43%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.82%

ETSY probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-3.24%
ETSY AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

ETSY Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$72.85
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

ETSY Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for ETSY from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 4 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

ETSY Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 217 Sell signals since July 2026, ETSY had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

217 Past ETSY Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+44.26%
Average Alpha				+26.74%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				45.15%
% Negative Alpha				58.74%

ETSY Frequently Asked Questions

Will Etsy stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Etsy has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.58%) is -3.24% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Etsy stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Etsy stock right now?
Is Etsy undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Etsy stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Etsy stock in the last 3 months?
Does Etsy offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Etsy?
When is the next ETSY earnings report date?

ETSY Inc Company Profile

Etsy, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, administers dual-sided virtual marketplaces that join buyers and sellers throughout the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, Australia, and France. Its chief marketplace, Etsy.com is a portal enabling artisans and entrepreneurs to establish connections with a broad variety of consumers.

The company also presides over Reverb - a platform for buying and selling musical instruments; Depop - an online resale spot for fashion items; as well as Elo7 - a Brazil-focused market place committed to handmade crafts and unique products.

Furthering its offering are several seller services such as Etsy Payments (an end-to-end payment handling service), Etsy Ads (a tailored advertising platform), and Shipping Labels (a feature that allows sellers in the US, Canada, UK, Australia, and India to get affordable shipping labels.)

In addition to those benefits for sellers is the Etsy Purchase Protection program devised to support buyers; the Etsy Share and Save scheme which enables sellers to save money on Etsy fees when directing sales towards their shop from personal channels.

On top of this they offer diverse educational resources like blog entries that enlighten sellers about new trends , video tutorials on how to enhance their crafts or businesses , an interactive online forum featuring the Etsy Seller Handbook offering solutions to varied problems faced by creative business owners ; Etsy Teams serving as social hubs where members can build lasting relationships with other sellers on etsy; culminating with the Star Seller program which singles out high performing traders.

This business entity was initially known as Indieco but underwent rebranding in June 2006 when it adopted its current name- Etsy Inc. Born in 2005 into an industry revolutionising e-commerce landscape , the corporate headquarters of Etsy Inc now proudly stands at Brooklyn New York.

Sector:Consumer Discretionary
Country:United States
Industry:Broadline Retail
Address:117 Adams Street, Brooklyn
Employees:2,375
Website:etsy.com

Pros

Two-sided marketplace network effects

High seller switching costs for established shops

Specialized niche market differentiation

Asset-light e-commerce platform model

Global distribution channel for artisans

Cons

Seller fee structure sensitivity

Competition from generalist e-commerce platforms

Dependency on third-party shipping services

Discretionary consumer spending cyclicality

Risk of product commoditization over time

Pros

Cons

Company

AI Score

Compare

EBAYeBay Inc

DIBS1stdibs.Com Inc

TLYSTillys Inc

BBBYBed Bath & Beyond Inc

WWayfair Inc

Company

AI Score

Compare

ETSY Top 10 Industry Stocks

Broadline Retail

	Company	AI Score	Compare
1	DDSDillard's Inc
2	BABAAlibaba Group Holding Ltd
3	PDDPDD Holdings Inc
4	SESea Ltd
5	MELIMercadoLibre Inc
6	VIPSVipshop Holdings Ltd
7	ORBSEightco Holdings Inc
8	AMZNAmazon.com Inc
9	JDJD.Com Inc
10	OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

	Company	AI Score	Compare

	Company	AI Score	Compare
1	GCTGigaCloud Technology Inc

Company

AI Score

Compare

GCTGigaCloud Technology Inc

Company

AI Score

Compare

ETSY Stock AI Analysis

ETSY Inc

ETSY Stock AI Analysis

ETSY Inc

ETSY AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

ETSY probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -3.24%

ETSY Short Trading Parameters

ETSY Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

ETSY Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

ETSY Frequently Asked Questions

Will Etsy stock go up?

What is the target price for Etsy stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Etsy stock right now?

Is Etsy undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Etsy stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Etsy stock in the last 3 months?

Does Etsy offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Etsy?

When is the next ETSY earnings report date?

ETSY Inc Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

ETSY Company Profile Summary

ETSY Related Investment Themes

ETSY Related Stocks

ETSY Top 10 Industry Stocks

Broadline Retail

ETSY Top 10 Sector Stocks

Consumer Discretionary

ETSY Stock AI Analysis

ETSY Inc

NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC.

Will Etsy stock go up?

What is the target price for Etsy stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Etsy stock right now?

Is Etsy undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Etsy stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Etsy stock in the last 3 months?

Does Etsy offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Etsy?

When is the next ETSY earnings report date?

NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC.

Pros

Cons

AI Score Explanation

ETSY Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast