Will Fossil stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Fossil has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.98%) is -1.83% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Fossil stock?

The Fossil target price is $6.82 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Fossil stock right now?

Fossil has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.98%) is -1.83% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Fossil stock is a good buy .

Is Fossil undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Fossil is +60.55% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Fossil has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Fossil stock over the past 12 months?

The Fossil stock price range over the past 12 months has been $1.3 - $5.61.

What is going on with Fossil stock in the last 3 months?

The Fossil stock performance in the last quarter has been -1.39%.

Does Fossil offer dividend payments?

No, Fossil does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Fossil?

Fossil's market cap is $250M, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next FOSL earnings report date?

FOSL will publish its next earnings report on 2026-05-13.

Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) AI Stock Analysis

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FOSL AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+1.04%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Earnings Quality+0.50%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Growth+0.19%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Size & Liquidity+0.17%
Company size and trading liquidity

Momentum-1.75%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Sentiment-1.25%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Profitability-0.44%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics
Volatility-0.28%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

FOSL probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-1.83%

AI Score

Hold

Fossil (FOSL) has an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -1.83% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of FOSL (48.98%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
FOSL probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-1.83%
FOSL probability of beating the market (3M)48.98%

FOSL probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -1.83%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Fossil (FOSL) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of FOSL:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.70%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-1.06%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_18	N/A	-1.03%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_171	N/A	-0.89%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.68%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_59	N/A	+0.64%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.63%
Fundamental	Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete)	-22.17		+0.50%
Fundamental	Operating Profit Margin	-8.02%		-0.44%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	32.5		-0.44%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.42%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.42%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.28%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.28%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.26%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.30%

FOSL probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-1.83%
FOSL AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

FOSL Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$4.25
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

FOSL Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for FOSL from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 49 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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6 Months
1 Year

FOSL Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1447 Hold signals since July 2026, FOSL had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1447 Past FOSL Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+17.38%
Average Alpha				+3.71%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				42.75%
% Positive Alpha				38.73%

FOSL Frequently Asked Questions

Will Fossil stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Fossil has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.98%) is -1.83% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Fossil stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Fossil stock right now?
Is Fossil undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Fossil stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Fossil stock in the last 3 months?
Does Fossil offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Fossil?
When is the next FOSL earnings report date?

Fossil Group Inc Company Profile

Fossil Group, Inc., with its diverse subsidiaries, boasts a dynamic portfolio of designing, development, and distribution of fashion-forward consumer accessories not just domestically in the United States but also across Europe, Asia, and other international locations globally. The product range encompasses traditional timepieces and smartwatches, fine jewelry items, stylish handbags, small yet exquisite leather goods along with belts and sunglasses.

Adding to this versatility is their remarkable capability to manufacture private label brands as well as engaging in distributing purchased branded products for the purpose of resale at other branded retail stores. The company proudly offers its product suite under several proprietary labels that include the likes of FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE RELIC and ZODIAC. They also extend their presence under the flagship of multiple licensed brands such as ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, DKNY EMPORIO ARMANI KATE SPADE NEW YORK MICHAEL KORS TORY BURCH and Skechers.

Diversity transfers from their product line into sales channels as well. Fossil Group sells its merchandise via multiple means which include company-owned retail and outlet stores departmental stores specialty retail hubs mass-market facilities e-commerce websites licensed or franchised fossil retail outlets retail concessions with even airlines showcasing their products to global travelers.

Incorporated in 1984 as Fossil Inc., they rebranded themselves as Fossil Group Inc., in May 2013 reflecting evolved business dimensions. Currently headquartered at Richardson Texas; they continue forging ahead on their path of delivering style through innovation.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:901 S Central Expressway, Richardson
Employees:4,500
Website:fossilgroup.com

Pros

Diversified brand portfolio across price points

Established global multi-channel distribution network

Leverage from shared design and supply chain infrastructure

Access to licensed brand equity and customer bases

Customer affinity for fashion accessory brands

Cons

High demand cyclicality in discretionary accessories

Secular decline in traditional watch segment demand

Dependency on renewal of key brand licensing agreements

Intense competition from diverse fashion and tech players

Exposure to fashion trend shifts and product obsolescence

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FOSL Stock AI Analysis

Fossil Group Inc

FOSL Stock AI Analysis

Fossil Group Inc

FOSL AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

FOSL probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -1.83%

FOSL Trading Parameters

FOSL Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

FOSL Average Past Performance & Win Rate

FOSL Frequently Asked Questions

Will Fossil stock go up?

What is the target price for Fossil stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Fossil stock right now?

Is Fossil undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Fossil stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Fossil stock in the last 3 months?

Does Fossil offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Fossil?

When is the next FOSL earnings report date?

Fossil Group Inc Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

FOSL Company Profile Summary

FOSL Related Investment Themes

FOSL Related Stocks

FOSL Top 10 Industry Stocks

Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods

FOSL Top 10 Sector Stocks

Consumer Discretionary

FOSL Stock AI Analysis

Fossil Group Inc

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

Will Fossil stock go up?

What is the target price for Fossil stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Fossil stock right now?

Is Fossil undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Fossil stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Fossil stock in the last 3 months?

Does Fossil offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Fossil?

When is the next FOSL earnings report date?

Pros

Cons

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

FOSL Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast