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GPK AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score Alpha Factors

These AI Factors group the most impactful alpha signals used by Danelfin's AI to calculate the stock’s probability advantage. Positive factors (green) increase the probability of beating the market, while negative factors (red) reduce it.

  • Momentum+0.12%
    Direction and strength of recent price movements
  • Valuation+0.11%
    How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
  • Volatility+0.10%
    How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
  • Earnings Quality-0.03%
    Stability and reliability of reported earnings
  • Sentiment-0.02%
    How analysts and the market view the stock

GPK probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+0.26%

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

Alpha Signals show the individual signals used by Danelfin's AI to calculate a stock's probability of beating the market over the next 3 months. Each signal highlights its positive or negative impact on the probability advantage and helps explain what is driving the AI Score.

AI Score
Hold

Graphic Packaging (GPK) has an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +0.26% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of GPK (51.09%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

  • Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
  • GPK probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+0.26%
  • GPK probability of beating the market (3M)51.09%

GPK probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +0.26%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Graphic Packaging (GPK) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of GPK:

Type
Alpha Signal
Current Value
Value Decile Position
Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Fundamental
Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)
5.58K
+-
+0.08%
Technical
Performance (YTD)
-0.28%
+-
+0.08%
Sentiment
Industry (GICS)
Containers & Packaging
N/A
-0.07%
Technical
Chart Pattern (180d)
figure_83
N/A
+0.05%
Technical
Alpha 1Y
-0.71%
+-
+0.05%
Sentiment
Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)
-
N/A
+0.05%
Sentiment
Analyst Lowest Price Upside
-0.23%
+-
-0.04%
Sentiment
Analyst Mean Price Target Upside
0.30%
+-
+0.04%
Sentiment
Short Float (%)
9.71%
+-
-0.04%
Technical
Chart Pattern (252d)
figure_30
N/A
-0.04%
Technical
-0.03%
Technical
-0.03%
Sentiment
+0.03%
Fundamental
-0.03%
Technical
+0.03%
Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.14%
  • GPK probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+0.26%
  • GPK AI Score
Significant changes Vs previous day

GPK Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

  • Entry:$10.86
  • Horizon: 3 months
  • Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
  • Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX) or AI Score < 4/10

GPK Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1587 Hold signals since July 2026, GPK had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1587 Past GPK Hold Signals
1 Month Later
3 Months Later
6 Months Later
1 Year Later
Average Performance
+6.28%
Average Alpha
-5.96%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)
63.82%
% Positive Alpha
36.33%

GPK Frequently Asked Questions

Graphic Packaging Holding Co Company Profile

Pros

Cons

  • GPK / US3886891015US Flag
  • Market Cap$3.21B
  • Short Float-
  • Volume3.94M
  • Dividend %4.06%
Performance
  • Perf Week-0.45%
  • Perf Quarter+13.24%
  • Perf Year-50.29%
  • Perf YTD-27.88%
Technical Indicators
  • 52W High23.53 -53.85%
  • 52W Low8.91 21.89%
  • Avg Volume-
  • Beta-
  • ATR0.43
  • Volatility-

GPK Company Profile Summary

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