Will Medifast stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Medifast has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (49.26%) is -1.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Medifast stock?

The Medifast target price is $12.61 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Medifast stock right now?

Medifast has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (49.26%) is -1.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Medifast stock is a good buy .

Is Medifast undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Medifast is +14.18% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Medifast has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Medifast stock over the past 12 months?

The Medifast stock price range over the past 12 months has been $9.53 - $15.22.

What is going on with Medifast stock in the last 3 months?

The Medifast stock performance in the last quarter has been +8.34%.

Does Medifast offer dividend payments?

No, Medifast does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Medifast?

Medifast's market cap is $122.64M, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next MED earnings report date?

MED will publish its next earnings report on 2026-05-04.

Medifast Inc (MED) AI Stock Analysis

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MED AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Medifast Inc today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 49% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 2% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail) (+1.71%), Chart Pattern (504d) (+0.58%), and Alpha 1Y (+0.49%), which boost the probability. On the other hand, the top detractors are the Industry (GICS) (-2.90%), Chart Pattern (120d) (-0.71%), and Fear & Greed Index (CNN) (-0.69%), which weigh down the probability. Notable data points include Short Float (%) in the top 10% at 20.67%, indicating high bearish sentiment, which detracts from the probability. Conversely, Cash per Share (MRQ) is also in the top 10% at $15.20, a positive contributor. However, Operating Profit Margin is in the bottom 40% at -4.33%, and EPS Estimate (Next Q) is in the bottom 10% at -0.65, both negative signals. Overall, the mixed signals—with negative industry and sentiment impacts outweighing positive fundamentals—result in a below-average probability and a HOLD rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+1.60%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Momentum+0.54%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Growth+0.22%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Earnings Quality+0.18%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Size & Liquidity+0.16%
Company size and trading liquidity
Volatility+0.15%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

Sentiment-4.12%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Profitability-0.30%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics

MED probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-1.56%

Technical

Medifast (MED) has a Technical Score of 5/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of -1.26% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.64%) and the probability of MED (49.37%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.64%
MED probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)-1.26%
MED probability of beating the market (3M)49.37%

MED probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): -1.26%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Medifast (MED) is only based on the 29 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of MED:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.64%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.59%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.48%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.37%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.35%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.31%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.30%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.29%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.28%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.27%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.23%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.22%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.19%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.18%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.18%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.22%

MED probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:-1.26%
MED Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

MED Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$11.04
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

MED Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for MED from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 57 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

MED Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1214 Hold signals since July 2026, MED had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1214 Past MED Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+29.30%
Average Alpha				+14.22%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				41.35%
% Positive Alpha				36.32%

MED Frequently Asked Questions

Will Medifast stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Medifast has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (49.26%) is -1.56% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Medifast stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Medifast stock right now?
Is Medifast undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Medifast stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Medifast stock in the last 3 months?
Does Medifast offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Medifast?
When is the next MED earnings report date?

Medifast Inc Company Profile

Medifast, Inc. operates in the production and distribution of products centered around weight loss, weight management, and promoting healthier lifestyles. Their presence spans across the United States as well as Asia-Pacific. Under the prestigious brands of OPTAVIA, OPTAVIA ACTIVE, and Optimal Health, they offer a myriad of choices to cater to every palate - from bars, cereal, oatmeal, pancakes and puddings to drinks, shakes and smoothies along with hearty options like puffs, crunchers and soups.

Beyond their physical storefronts where immediate transactions take place, this multinational firm also runs an e-commerce platform that expands its market reach. Marking its inception in 1980 and now located in Baltimore Maryland, Medifast Inc. has evolved into a flag-bearer for nutritional wellness over several decades.

Sector:Consumer Staples
Country:United States
Industry:Personal Care Products
Address:100 International Drive, 18th Floor, Baltimore
Employees:380
Website:medifastinc.com

Pros

Personalized coaching model fostering customer retention

Asset-light direct selling distribution network

Recurring revenue stream from product replenishment

Established brand presence in weight management niche

Scalability of independent coach network

Cons

Regulatory risk inherent in direct selling models

Dependence on independent coach recruitment and retention

Demand cyclicality in discretionary health spending

Intense competition in the weight loss industry

Reputational exposure from decentralized coach actions

Pros

Cons

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MED Stock AI Analysis

Medifast Inc

MED Stock AI Analysis

Medifast Inc

MED AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

MED probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): -1.26%

MED Trading Parameters

MED Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

MED Average Past Performance & Win Rate

MED Frequently Asked Questions

Will Medifast stock go up?

What is the target price for Medifast stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Medifast stock right now?

Is Medifast undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Medifast stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Medifast stock in the last 3 months?

Does Medifast offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Medifast?

When is the next MED earnings report date?

Medifast Inc Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

MED Company Profile Summary

MED Related Investment Themes

MED Related Stocks

MED Top 10 Industry Stocks

Personal Care Products

MED Top 10 Sector Stocks

Consumer Staples

MED Stock AI Analysis

Medifast Inc

NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC.

Will Medifast stock go up?

What is the target price for Medifast stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Medifast stock right now?

Is Medifast undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Medifast stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Medifast stock in the last 3 months?

Does Medifast offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Medifast?

When is the next MED earnings report date?

Pros

Cons

NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC.

AI Score Explanation

MED Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast