Will Magnolia Oil & Gas stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Magnolia Oil & Gas has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (62.18%) is +11.36% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Magnolia Oil & Gas stock?

The Magnolia Oil & Gas target price is $31.1 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Magnolia Oil & Gas stock right now?

Magnolia Oil & Gas has today a Buy rating (AI Score 8/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (62.18%) is +11.36% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Magnolia Oil & Gas stock is a good buy .

Is Magnolia Oil & Gas undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Magnolia Oil & Gas is +24.46% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Magnolia Oil & Gas has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy Rating).

What was the price range of Magnolia Oil & Gas stock over the past 12 months?

The Magnolia Oil & Gas stock price range over the past 12 months has been $21.24 - $32.36.

What is going on with Magnolia Oil & Gas stock in the last 3 months?

The Magnolia Oil & Gas stock performance in the last quarter has been -20.84%.

Does Magnolia Oil & Gas offer dividend payments?

Yes, Magnolia Oil & Gas stock dividend yield is 2.52%.

What is the current market capitalization of Magnolia Oil & Gas?

Magnolia Oil & Gas's market cap is $4.76B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next MGY earnings report date?

MGY will publish its next earnings report on 2026-05-06.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) AI Stock Analysis

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MGY AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Buy

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp today receives an AI Score of 8/10, which translates to a Buy rating. The stock has a 62% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 11% higher than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the long tail of fundamentals impact (+4.59%), the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry (+2.49%), and the 180-day chart pattern (+0.89%). Additionally, Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E) in the top 20% adds +0.85%, while Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete) in the top 20% contributes +0.63%. On the detractor side, the 120-day chart pattern reduces probability by -0.99%, the Analyst Lowest Price Upside in the bottom 30% detracts -0.40%, and Cash per Share (MRQ) in the bottom 30% subtracts -0.32%. Notable data points include Net PP&E at 2,586.48 (top 20%), Operating Cash Flow at 197.62 (top 20%), and Tangible Shareholders' Equity at 2,035.88 (top 20%), all indicating strong asset and cash generation fundamentals. However, the stock's Distance from KAMA (20d) is in the bottom 20% at -10.57%, suggesting a short-term oversold condition that actually boosts the probability. The Analyst Lowest Price Upside is in the bottom 30% at -28.85%, reflecting bearish analyst sentiment, while Cash per Share is low at 0.65 (bottom 30%). Overall, the strong fundamental signals and industry tailwinds outweigh the technical and sentiment detractors, supporting the Buy rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+5.98%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Sentiment+2.97%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum+1.36%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Earnings Quality+0.64%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Size & Liquidity+0.24%
Company size and trading liquidity
Volatility+0.18%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

MGY probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+11.36%

AI Score

Buy

Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) has an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +11.36% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of MGY (62.18%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
MGY probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+11.36%
MGY probability of beating the market (3M)62.18%

MGY probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +11.36%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of MGY:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+4.59%
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels	N/A	+2.49%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_65	N/A	-0.99%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_71	N/A	+0.89%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	2.59K		+0.85%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.64%
Fundamental	Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete)	197.62		+0.63%
Technical	Distance from KAMA (20d)	-0.11%		+0.55%
Fundamental	Tangible Shareholders' Equity	2.04K		+0.45%
Technical	Alpha 1Y	-0.10%		+0.45%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.41%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.40%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.32%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.32%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.32%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.49%

MGY probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+11.36%
MGY AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

MGY Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$24.99
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

MGY Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for MGY from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 14 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Buy signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

MGY Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 445 Buy signals since June 2025, MGY had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

445 Past MGY Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+4.13%
Average Alpha				-10.49%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				56.22%
% Positive Alpha				20.97%

MGY Past Buy Signals Performance

Performance and alpha after 1, 3, 6 months, and 1 year, for each of the 435 days that MGY was rated a Strong Buy/Buy (AI Score 7 to 10) since June 2025.

Date	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y
2021-06-30	-10.43%	+12.16%	+24.12%	+34.29%	-12.87%	+10.66%	+12.58%	+46.16%
2021-07-09				-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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Showing 1 to 10 of 435 days 1 2 3 4 5 ... 44
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Date	AI Score	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y

MGY Frequently Asked Questions

Will Magnolia Oil & Gas stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Magnolia Oil & Gas has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (62.18%) is +11.36% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Magnolia Oil & Gas stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Magnolia Oil & Gas stock right now?
Is Magnolia Oil & Gas undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Magnolia Oil & Gas stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Magnolia Oil & Gas stock in the last 3 months?
Does Magnolia Oil & Gas offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Magnolia Oil & Gas?
When is the next MGY earnings report date?

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp Company Profile

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation stands as a self-reliant entity within the oil and natural gas industry, focusing on the procurement, enhancement, exploration and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid derivatives throughout the United States. Key territories for operations predominantly lie within Karnes County along with the Giddings area in South Texas-- primarily encompassing formations such as the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk. Starting its corporate journey back in 2017, Magnolia maintains its strategic hub based in Houston, Texas.

Sector:Energy
Country:United States
Industry:Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Address:9 Greenway Plz Ste 1300, Houston
Employees:262
Website:magnoliaoilgas.com

Pros

Low-cost production in established basins

Capital discipline leading to free cash flow

Long-lived reserves in developed shale plays

Access to integrated midstream infrastructure

Operating leverage to commodity price increases

Cons

Exposure to volatile global commodity prices

Depleting asset base requiring continuous investment

Increasing environmental regulatory compliance costs

Geopolitical risks impacting supply chain costs

High capital intensity for reserve replacement

Pros

Cons

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MGY Stock AI Analysis