Will Nova stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Nova has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (62.16%) is +11.34% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Nova stock?

The Nova target price is $470.18 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Nova stock right now?

Nova has today a Buy rating (AI Score 8/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (62.16%) is +11.34% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Nova stock is a good buy .

Is Nova undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Nova is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Nova has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy Rating).

What was the price range of Nova stock over the past 12 months?

The Nova stock price range over the past 12 months has been $231.17 - $605.65.

What is going on with Nova stock in the last 3 months?

The Nova stock performance in the last quarter has been +5.48%.

Does Nova offer dividend payments?

No, Nova does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Nova?

Nova's market cap is $14.94B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Nova Ltd (NVMI) AI Stock Analysis

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NVMI AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Buy

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Nova Ltd today receives an AI Score of 8/10, which translates to a Buy rating. The stock has a 62% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 11% higher than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry (impact: +4.62%), the Chart Pattern (504d) (impact: +1.17%), and Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete) (impact: +0.45%, in the top 40%). On the negative side, the Fear & Greed Index (value: 31) detracts with an impact of -0.64%, and the Analyst Lowest Price Upside (value: -24.8%, in the bottom 30%) reduces probability by -0.51%. Notable data points include a Beta of 1.72 (in the top 20%), indicating higher volatility that positively influences the probability, and Tangible Shareholders' Equity of $1,255.7M (in the top 30%), adding +0.43%. The Earnings Countdown of -43 days (in the bottom 30%) contributes +0.38%, suggesting a post-earnings effect. Overall, the strong industry tailwind and solid fundamentals outweigh the negative sentiment and analyst caution, supporting the Buy rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Sentiment+5.63%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum+2.57%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation+2.46%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Earnings Quality+0.45%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Size & Liquidity+0.36%
Company size and trading liquidity
Growth+0.19%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Profitability-0.19%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics
Volatility-0.12%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

NVMI probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+11.34%

AI Score

Buy

Nova (NVMI) has an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +11.34% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of NVMI (62.16%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
NVMI probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+11.34%
NVMI probability of beating the market (3M)62.16%

NVMI probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +11.34%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Nova (NVMI) is based on the 28 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of NVMI:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment	N/A	+4.62%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+2.40%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_10	N/A	+1.17%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.78%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.64%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	-0.25%		-0.51%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_105	N/A	+0.50%
Fundamental	Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete)	40.08		+0.45%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_71	N/A	+0.43%
Fundamental	Tangible Shareholders' Equity	1.26K		+0.43%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.40%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.39%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.38%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.37%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.36%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.55%

NVMI probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+11.34%
NVMI AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

NVMI Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$470.18
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

NVMI Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for NVMI from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 78 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Buy signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

NVMI Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 836 Buy signals since July 2026, NVMI had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

836 Past NVMI Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+41.06%
Average Alpha				+27.23%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				66.67%
% Positive Alpha				63.13%

NVMI Frequently Asked Questions

Will Nova stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Nova has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (62.16%) is +11.34% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Nova stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Nova stock right now?
Is Nova undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Nova stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Nova stock in the last 3 months?
Does Nova offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Nova?

Nova Ltd Company Profile

Nova Ltd. is renowned for its prowess in crafting, refining, delivering and marketing process control systems utilized in semiconductor production across Israel, Taiwan, the U.S., China, Korea and world over. The company's product suite encompasses a diverse range of metrology platforms that enable dimensional, film-based, material and chemical metrology evaluations. These tools are instrumental in augmenting process control at multiple stages of chip fabrication; right from lithography to etch processing, chemical mechanical planarization, deposition, electrochemical plating and even cutting-edge packaging.

The organization predominantly caters to various subdivisions within the integrated circuit manufacturing industry such as logic producers and foundries as well as memory developers. Correspondingly, process equipment manufacturers also make up a considerable portion of their client base. Initially established under the moniker Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd., it underwent rebranding to adopt its current name - Nova Ltd. in July 2021.

Established back in 1993, today Nova Ltd.'s headquarters stands proudly at Rehovot in Israel.

Sector:
Country:Israel
Industry:
Address:5 David Fikes Street, Rehovot
Employees:1,612
Website:novami.com

Pros

High switching costs in semiconductor process integration

Critical role in advanced node manufacturing yield

Proprietary metrology technology and algorithms

Secular demand growth in semiconductor industry

Diversified customer base across chip manufacturers

Cons

Revenue cyclicality tied to semiconductor capital expenditure

Intense competition in metrology equipment market

Dependency on global fabrication plant expansion

Risk of technological obsolescence in fast-evolving industry

Geopolitical risks impacting global semiconductor supply chain

Pros

Cons

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NVMI Stock AI Analysis

Nova Ltd

NVMI Stock AI Analysis

Nova Ltd

NVMI AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

NVMI probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +11.34%

NVMI Trading Parameters

NVMI Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

NVMI Average Past Performance & Win Rate

NVMI Frequently Asked Questions

Will Nova stock go up?

What is the target price for Nova stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Nova stock right now?

Is Nova undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Nova stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Nova stock in the last 3 months?

Does Nova offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Nova?

Nova Ltd Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

NVMI Company Profile Summary

NVMI Related Investment Themes

NVMI Related Stocks

NVMI Top 10 Industry Stocks

Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment

NVMI Top 10 Sector Stocks

Information Technology

NVMI Stock AI Analysis

Nova Ltd

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

Will Nova stock go up?

What is the target price for Nova stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Nova stock right now?

Is Nova undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Nova stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Nova stock in the last 3 months?

Does Nova offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Nova?

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

NVMI Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

Pros

Cons

AI Score Explanation