Will NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (45.16%) is -5.65% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock?

The NexPoint Diversified Real Estate target price is $5.3 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock right now?

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (45.16%) is -5.65% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock is a good buy .

Is NexPoint Diversified Real Estate undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for NexPoint Diversified Real Estate is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock over the past 12 months?

The NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock price range over the past 12 months has been $2.66 - $5.47.

What is going on with NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock in the last 3 months?

The NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock performance in the last quarter has been +13.49%.

Does NexPoint Diversified Real Estate offer dividend payments?

Yes, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock dividend yield is 11.34%.

What is the current market capitalization of NexPoint Diversified Real Estate?

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate's market cap is $273.62M, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) AI Stock Analysis

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NXDT AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 45% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 6% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the Technicals Impact (Long Tail) (+0.54%), Alpha 1Y (+0.53%), and Plus Directional Indicator (+DI, 90d) (+0.33%), all boosting the probability. The top detractors are the Industry (GICS) (-2.28%), Chart Pattern (504d) (-1.36%), and Chart Pattern (180d) (-1.21%), which weigh heavily on the outlook. Notable data points include a top 10% ranking for Distance from KAMA (20d) (current value 0.087), indicating the stock is far above its adaptive moving average, but this detracts from the probability. The Fear & Greed Index is at 31 (extreme fear), also a negative factor. On the positive side, Alpha 1Y is in the top 30% with a value of 0.058, and Institutional Ownership at 53.5% is in the bottom 50%, yet both contribute positively. The overall picture is dominated by negative industry and chart pattern signals, resulting in a low AI Score and a probability below the market average.

AI Score Explanation

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Volatility+0.79%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

Sentiment-3.30%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum-2.47%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation-0.68%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals

NXDT probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-5.65%

AI Score

Sell

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate (NXDT) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -5.65% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of NXDT (45.16%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
NXDT probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-5.65%
NXDT probability of beating the market (3M)45.16%

NXDT probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -5.65%

The AI-powered overall analysis of NexPoint Diversified Real Estate (NXDT) is based on the 21 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of NXDT:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Diversified REITs	N/A	-2.28%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_56	N/A	-1.36%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_45	N/A	-1.21%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.68%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_99	N/A	-0.65%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.65%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.54%
Technical	Alpha 1Y	0.06%		+0.53%
Technical	Distance from KAMA (20d)	0.09%		-0.50%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.42%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.33%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.33%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.29%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.24%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.23%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +1.21%

NXDT probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-5.65%
NXDT AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

NXDT Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$5.30
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

NXDT Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for NXDT from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 99 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

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1 Year

NXDT Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 722 Sell signals since July 2026, NXDT had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

722 Past NXDT Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+1.34%
Average Alpha				-13.83%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				45.88%
% Negative Alpha				48.84%

NXDT Frequently Asked Questions

Will NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (45.16%) is -5.65% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock right now?
Is NexPoint Diversified Real Estate undervalued right now?
What was the price range of NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with NexPoint Diversified Real Estate stock in the last 3 months?
Does NexPoint Diversified Real Estate offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of NexPoint Diversified Real Estate?

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust Company Profile

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) serves as a broadly invested real estate investment trust (REIT), externally guided and with its stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Common Stock, alongside 5.50% Series A Cumulative Preferred Shares, fall under the symbols NXDT and NXDT-PA on the exchange respectively.

As a diverse REIT, NXDT's chief investment goal spans both regular income and capital growth. The trust seeks to fulfill these objectives through investments in multiple types of commercial real estate properties and various points in the capital structure. This includes mortgage debt, mezzanine debt and both common and preferred equity.

Target properties primarily comprise industries such as hospitality, industrial sector, net lease, retail spaces, office locations, storage facilities as well as healthcare establishments. To an extent already owned are multifamily residences and single-family rentals as well. Moreover, NXDT may occasionally engage in transactions involving non-real estate securities or even acquire or hold onto them to a limited degree.

Sector:Real Estate
Country:United States
Industry:Diversified REITs
Address:300 Crescent Court, Suite 700, Dallas
Employees:0
Website:nxdt.nexpoint.com

Pros

Diversification across multiple real estate asset classes

Potential for long-term asset value appreciation

Inflation hedging characteristics of real property assets

Consistent income distribution due to REIT structure

Operating leverage from fixed property costs

Cons

Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and borrowing costs

Cyclical demand patterns in various real estate sectors

High capital expenditure requirements for property maintenance

Exposure to local zoning and environmental regulations

Potential for tenant default and vacancy rate increases

NXDT Stock AI Analysis