Will Orchid Island Capital stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Orchid Island Capital has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.82%) is -1.99% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Orchid Island Capital stock?

The Orchid Island Capital target price is $7.48 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Orchid Island Capital stock right now?

Orchid Island Capital has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.82%) is -1.99% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Orchid Island Capital stock is a good buy .

Is Orchid Island Capital undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Orchid Island Capital is +7.91% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Orchid Island Capital has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Orchid Island Capital stock over the past 12 months?

The Orchid Island Capital stock price range over the past 12 months has been $6.45 - $8.35.

What is going on with Orchid Island Capital stock in the last 3 months?

The Orchid Island Capital stock performance in the last quarter has been -1.42%.

Does Orchid Island Capital offer dividend payments?

Yes, Orchid Island Capital stock dividend yield is 18.21%.

What is the current market capitalization of Orchid Island Capital?

Orchid Island Capital's market cap is $1.39B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next ORC earnings report date?

ORC will publish its next earnings report on 2026-04-23.

Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) AI Stock Analysis

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ORC AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+1.07%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Momentum+1.00%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Volatility+0.83%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Earnings Quality+0.31%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings

Sentiment-5.20%
How analysts and the market view the stock

ORC probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-1.99%

AI Score

Hold

Orchid Island Capital (ORC) has an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -1.99% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of ORC (48.82%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
ORC probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-1.99%
ORC probability of beating the market (3M)48.82%

ORC probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -1.99%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Orchid Island Capital (ORC) is based on the 26 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of ORC:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)	N/A	-3.43%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_75	N/A	+0.85%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.79%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.78%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_21	N/A	+0.68%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_96	N/A	-0.62%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.58%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	-0.10%		-0.54%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.52%
Technical	Maximum Volatility	1.90%		+0.44%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.40%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.37%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.35%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.32%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.31%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.28%

ORC probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-1.99%
ORC AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

ORC Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$6.93
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

ORC Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for ORC from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 71 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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6 Months
1 Year

ORC Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1273 Hold signals since July 2026, ORC had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1273 Past ORC Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-15.82%
Average Alpha				-29.66%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				10.24%
% Positive Alpha				2.32%

ORC Frequently Asked Questions

Will Orchid Island Capital stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Orchid Island Capital has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.82%) is -1.99% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Orchid Island Capital stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Orchid Island Capital stock right now?
Is Orchid Island Capital undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Orchid Island Capital stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Orchid Island Capital stock in the last 3 months?
Does Orchid Island Capital offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Orchid Island Capital?
When is the next ORC earnings report date?

Orchid Island Capital Inc Company Profile

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialized financial firm with a core focus on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) investments within the United States market. The RMBS assets managed by the company are sustained by single-family residential mortgages and classified as Agency RMBS. Their extensive portfolio constitutes traditional pass-through Agency RMBS such as collateralized mortgage obligations and mortgage pass through certificates, along with structured Agency RMBS which include interest-only securities, inverse interest only securities, and principal only securities.

For United States federal income tax considerations, Orchid Island Capital, Inc. has made the strategic decision to adopt taxation under the real estate investment trust (REIT) regulations. Consequently, it incurs no corporate income tax if it distributes dividends equivalent to at least 90% of its REIT taxable income annually to shareholders. This system allows shareholders to directly benefit from the company's net income distribution.

Incepted in 2010, Orchid Island Capital firmly anchors itself in Vero Beach, Florida, where it has established its headquarters. As a distinguished player in asset management with a niche in residential mortgages, the company navigates the complex landscape of financial markets with both agility and precision for over a decade.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:3305 Flamingo Drive,, Vero Beach
Employees:0
Website:orchidislandcapital.com

Pros

Mandatory distribution of taxable income to shareholders

Exposure to agency mortgage-backed securities market

Liquidity of agency mortgage-backed securities

Credit risk mitigation from government agency guarantees

Operating leverage from fixed management infrastructure

Cons

Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and yield curve shape

Prepayment risk from mortgage refinancing activity

Extension risk from slower mortgage prepayments

Amplified risk and return from high financial leverage

Vulnerability to changes in housing finance regulation

ORC Stock AI Analysis