Will OReilly stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, OReilly has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (50.21%) is -0.61% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for OReilly stock?

The OReilly target price is $90.27 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold OReilly stock right now?

OReilly has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (50.21%) is -0.61% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether OReilly stock is a good buy .

Is OReilly undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for OReilly is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, OReilly has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of OReilly stock over the past 12 months?

The OReilly stock price range over the past 12 months has been $85.63 - $107.82.

What is going on with OReilly stock in the last 3 months?

The OReilly stock performance in the last quarter has been -1.98%.

Does OReilly offer dividend payments?

No, OReilly does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of OReilly?

OReilly's market cap is $74.79B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) AI Stock Analysis

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ORLY AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, O'Reilly Automotive Inc today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 50% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 1% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). Among the top positive contributors, Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E) (in the top 10%) boosts the probability by +27.43%, while Chart Pattern (60d) adds +19.99% and Alpha 1Y (in the bottom 50%) contributes +19.18%. On the negative side, the Industry (GICS) being Specialty Retail detracts -46.43%, Chart Pattern (90d) reduces probability by -16.40%, and the Fear & Greed Index at 31 (extreme fear) subtracts -15.00%. Notable data points include Tangible Shareholders' Equity at -$2,020.09 million (in the bottom 10%), which weighs on the stock, and Cash per Share (MRQ) at $0.30 (in the bottom 20%), also a detractor. On the positive side, Maximum Volatility is in the bottom 20%, indicating low extreme risk, contributing +11.49%. The Analyst Lowest Price Upside is -3.42% (in the top 50%), suggesting bearish analyst sentiment. Overall, the stock’s probability is slightly below average, with strong fundamental assets like Net PP&E offset by industry headwinds and negative sentiment, resulting in a Hold rating.

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

We're getting the explanation ready so you can easily understand what's behind the AI Score. This may take a few seconds.

Momentum+22.54%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation+17.57%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Growth+9.26%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Volatility+7.58%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Size & Liquidity+6.80%
Company size and trading liquidity

Sentiment-58.22%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Financial Strength-6.15%
Balance sheet strength and financial resilience

ORLY probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-0.61%

AI Score

Hold

OReilly (ORLY) has an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -0.61% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of ORLY (50.21%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
ORLY probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-0.61%
ORLY probability of beating the market (3M)50.21%

ORLY probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -0.61%

The AI-powered overall analysis of OReilly (ORLY) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of ORLY:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Specialty Retail	N/A	-46.43%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	6.37K		+27.43%
Technical	Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_33	N/A	+19.99%
Technical	Alpha 1Y	-0.21%		+19.18%
Technical	Alpha Last Day	-0.02%		+16.70%
Technical	Chart Pattern (90d)	figure_111	N/A	-16.40%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-15.00%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	-0.03%		-13.91%
Fundamental	Tangible Shareholders' Equity	-2.02K	N/A	-13.78%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+12.84%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-12.25%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-11.83%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-11.55%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+11.49%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-11.14%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +44.05%

ORLY probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-0.61%
ORLY AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

ORLY Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$90.27
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

ORLY Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for ORLY from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 99 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

ORLY Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1006 Hold signals since July 2026, ORLY had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1006 Past ORLY Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+26.55%
Average Alpha				+14.64%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				93.84%
% Positive Alpha				68.84%

ORLY Frequently Asked Questions

Will OReilly stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, OReilly has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (50.21%) is -0.61% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for OReilly stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold OReilly stock right now?
Is OReilly undervalued right now?
What was the price range of OReilly stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with OReilly stock in the last 3 months?
Does OReilly offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of OReilly?

O'Reilly Automotive Inc Company Profile

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., accompanied by its subsidiaries, stands as a prominent distributor and merchandiser of automotive aftermarket pieces, tools, supplies, apparatuses and accessories in locales such as the United States, Puerto Rico, and Mexico. The enterprise caters an array of new and revamped vehicular hard parts alongside general maintenance items like alternators, batteries, braking system constituents, belts amongst other integral components. In its extensive catalog you'll find items ranging from engine additives to filters, fluids to lighting products-- all the way down to oil and wiper blades.

Moreover, it exhibits a variety of accessories like floor mats and seat covers complemented by distinct truck accessories. Adding to their repertoire they also proffer auto body paint together with related materials; they offer specific automotive tools along with competent service provider equipment.

Complementing its broad product offering is an array of enhanced services. They include recycling programs for used oil, oil filters and batteries; replacement services for battery wipers; diagnostic testing for batteries; testing of electrical systems and modules; code extraction for check engine lights; loaner tool program; plus drum and rotor resurfacing.

One will also find exceptional services such as custom hydraulic hoses fitting service along with professional paint shop mixing coupled with related substances. Furthermore catering to both DIY enthusiasts and professionals alike they ensure top-notch service provision for domestic & imported automobiles inclusive of vans & trucks.

Established in 1957 this renowned firm operates from its headquarters nestled in Springfield Missouri providing excellence throughout the automotive domain.

Sector:Consumer Discretionary
Country:United States
Industry:Specialty Retail
Address:233 S Patterson Ave, Springfield
Employees:93,072
Website:corporate.oreillyauto.com

Pros

High switching costs for professional repair shops

Counter-cyclical demand from aging vehicle fleet

Extensive distribution network for rapid parts delivery

Diversified revenue stream across DIY and professional segments

Operating leverage from established store infrastructure

Cons

Price competition from online and discount retailers

Long-term demand risk from electric vehicle adoption

Exposure to economic cycles impacting discretionary maintenance

High inventory carrying costs across extensive product range

Labor market pressure for skilled automotive parts specialists

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ORLY Stock AI Analysis