Will Royal Gold stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Royal Gold has today an AI Score of 7/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (60.03%) is +9.21% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Royal Gold stock?

The Royal Gold target price is $204.17 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Royal Gold stock right now?

Royal Gold has today a Buy rating (AI Score 7/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (60.03%) is +9.21% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Royal Gold stock is a good buy .

Is Royal Gold undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Royal Gold is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Royal Gold has today an AI Score of 7/10 (Buy Rating).

What was the price range of Royal Gold stock over the past 12 months?

The Royal Gold stock price range over the past 12 months has been $151.42 - $304.29.

What is going on with Royal Gold stock in the last 3 months?

The Royal Gold stock performance in the last quarter has been -22.76%.

Does Royal Gold offer dividend payments?

Yes, Royal Gold stock dividend yield is 0.92%.

What is the current market capitalization of Royal Gold?

Royal Gold's market cap is $17.32B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) AI Stock Analysis

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RGLD AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Buy

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Royal Gold Inc today receives an AI Score of 7/10, which translates to a Buy rating. The stock has a 60% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 9% higher than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the Metals & Mining industry (+5.24%), the Chart Pattern (252d) (+0.92%), and Basic EPS Consolidated in the top 10% (+0.41%). On the detractor side, ATR (180d Volatility) in the top 10% (-0.50%), Analyst Lowest Price Upside in the bottom 40% (-0.45%), and Tangible Shareholders' Equity in the bottom 10% (-0.36%) weigh on the probability. Notable data points include a Basic EPS of 3.33 in the top 10%, signaling strong profitability, while Tangible Shareholders' Equity is deeply negative at -$1,077 million in the bottom 10%, indicating significant intangible assets or liabilities. The Fear & Greed Index at 31 suggests fear in the market, which can sometimes present contrarian opportunities. Overall, the stock's strong industry tailwind and solid earnings are partially offset by high volatility and weak equity position, resulting in a Buy rating with a favorable probability edge over the average stock.

AI Score Explanation

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Sentiment+6.08%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum+1.74%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Valuation+0.56%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Growth+0.41%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Size & Liquidity+0.29%
Company size and trading liquidity
Volatility+0.14%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

RGLD probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+9.21%

Technical

Royal Gold (RGLD) has a Technical Score of 7/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of +4.14% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.73%) and the probability of RGLD (54.86%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.73%
RGLD probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)+4.14%
RGLD probability of beating the market (3M)54.86%

RGLD probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): +4.14%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Royal Gold (RGLD) is only based on the 30 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of RGLD:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-2.69%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.37%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.16%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.96%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.91%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.81%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.79%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.73%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.72%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.71%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.51%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.48%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.48%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.46%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.46%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.76%

RGLD probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:+4.14%
RGLD Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

RGLD Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$204.17
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

RGLD Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for RGLD from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 103 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Buy signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

RGLD Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 725 Buy signals since June 2026, RGLD had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

725 Past RGLD Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+14.25%
Average Alpha				-3.90%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				73.97%
% Positive Alpha				43.60%

RGLD Past Buy Signals Performance

Performance and alpha after 1, 3, 6 months, and 1 year, for each of the 708 days that RGLD was rated a Strong Buy/Buy (AI Score 7 to 10) since June 2026.

Date	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y
2017-02-28	+4.92%	+21.57%	+39.45%	+22.29%	+5.31%	+19.45%	+36.03%	+7.41%
2017-03-07				-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
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-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Showing 1 to 10 of 708 days 1 2 3 4 5 ... 71
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Date	AI Score	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y

RGLD Frequently Asked Questions

Will Royal Gold stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Royal Gold has today an AI Score of 7/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (60.03%) is +9.21% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Royal Gold stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Royal Gold stock right now?
Is Royal Gold undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Royal Gold stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Royal Gold stock in the last 3 months?
Does Royal Gold offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Royal Gold?

Royal Gold Inc Company Profile

Royal Gold, Inc., along with its associated entities, specializes in the acquisition and administration of streams and royalties related to precious metals. The company primarily focuses on procuring stream and royalty interests or extending financial support to projects at different stages – active production, development, or exploration – in return for a stake in royalties or streams that mainly include gold, silver, copper, nickel, zinc, lead among other metals. The geographic reach of Royal Gold's interests extends from properties based domestically in the United States to international vicinities such as Canada, Chile, the Dominican Republic, Australia,and Africa as well as Mexico and Botswana. Established in 1981 with its principal headquarters situated in Denver, Colorado; Royal Gold continues to consolidate its global presence across diverse regions around the world.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:1144 15th Street, Suite 2500, Denver
Employees:39
Website:royalgold.com

Pros

Low capital intensity business model

Diversified portfolio of global mining assets

Direct leverage to precious metals price increases

Upside exposure to reserve expansion at no cost

Reduced exposure to direct mining operational risks

Cons

Reliance on third-party mine operator performance

Exposure to geopolitical and regulatory risks in mining jurisdictions

Sensitivity to volatility in underlying commodity prices

Counterparty credit risk from mine operators

Limited organic growth without new stream acquisitions

Pros

Cons

Company

AI Score

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RGLD Top 10 Industry Stocks

Metals & Mining

	Company	AI Score	Compare
1	FSMFortuna Mining Corp
2	IAUXI-80 Gold Corp
3	AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Ltd
4	TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp
5	AGIAlamos Gold Inc
6	PAASPan American Silver Corp
7	ORLAOrla Mining Ltd
8	GAUGaliano Gold Inc
9	EGOEldorado Gold Corp
10	OROsisko Gold Royalties Ltd

	Company	AI Score	Compare

RGLD Top 10 Sector Stocks

Materials

	Company	AI Score	Compare
1	FSMFortuna Mining Corp
2	IAUXI-80 Gold Corp
3	AEMAgnico Eagle Mines Ltd
4	TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp
5	AGIAlamos Gold Inc
6	PAASPan American Silver Corp
7	ORLAOrla Mining Ltd
8	GAUGaliano Gold Inc
9	EGOEldorado Gold Corp
10	OROsisko Gold Royalties Ltd

	Company	AI Score	Compare

RGLD Stock AI Analysis

Royal Gold Inc

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

RGLD Stock AI Analysis

Royal Gold Inc

RGLD AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

RGLD probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): +4.14%

RGLD Trading Parameters

RGLD Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

RGLD Average Past Performance & Win Rate

RGLD Past Buy Signals Performance

RGLD Frequently Asked Questions

Will Royal Gold stock go up?

What is the target price for Royal Gold stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Royal Gold stock right now?

Is Royal Gold undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Royal Gold stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Royal Gold stock in the last 3 months?

Does Royal Gold offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Royal Gold?

Royal Gold Inc Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

RGLD Company Profile Summary

RGLD Related Investment Themes

RGLD Related Stocks

RGLD Top 10 Industry Stocks

Metals & Mining

RGLD Top 10 Sector Stocks

Materials

RGLD Stock AI Analysis

Royal Gold Inc

NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

RGLD Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

Will Royal Gold stock go up?

What is the target price for Royal Gold stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Royal Gold stock right now?

Is Royal Gold undervalued right now?

What was the price range of Royal Gold stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with Royal Gold stock in the last 3 months?

Does Royal Gold offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Royal Gold?

Pros

Cons

AI Score Explanation