Will Ralph Lauren stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Ralph Lauren has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.50%) is -2.33% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Ralph Lauren stock?

The Ralph Lauren target price is $398.26 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Ralph Lauren stock right now?

Ralph Lauren has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.50%) is -2.33% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Ralph Lauren stock is a good buy .

Is Ralph Lauren undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Ralph Lauren is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Ralph Lauren has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Ralph Lauren stock over the past 12 months?

The Ralph Lauren stock price range over the past 12 months has been $264.16 - $414.25.

What is going on with Ralph Lauren stock in the last 3 months?

The Ralph Lauren stock performance in the last quarter has been +12.81%.

Does Ralph Lauren offer dividend payments?

Yes, Ralph Lauren stock dividend yield is 0.94%.

What is the current market capitalization of Ralph Lauren?

Ralph Lauren's market cap is $23.71B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Ralph Lauren Corp (RL) AI Stock Analysis

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RL AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Ralph Lauren Corp today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 48% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 3% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). Among the top positive contributors, the Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail) adds +1.83% to the probability, the Technicals Impact (Long Tail) adds +1.08%, and Net Property, Plant & Equipment in the top 30% adds +1.03%. On the negative side, the Industry (GICS) being Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods detracts -2.47%, the Fear & Greed Index at 31 (extreme fear) detracts -0.86%, and the Analyst Lowest Price Upside in the bottom 40% detracts -0.82%. Notable data points include Cash per Share in the top 10% at $34.71, which positively influences the probability, while Short Float (%) in the top 20% at 9.28% and Stock-Based Compensation in the top 10% at $111M are detractors. The ATR (180d Volatility) in the top 10% indicates high volatility, weighing on the outlook. Overall, the stock’s probability is slightly below average, with positive fundamentals and cash position offset by industry headwinds, elevated short interest, and high volatility, resulting in a Hold rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+3.36%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Growth+0.36%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Size & Liquidity+0.36%
Company size and trading liquidity

Sentiment-4.46%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Volatility-0.73%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Earnings Quality-0.56%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Momentum-0.33%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Profitability-0.32%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics

RL probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-2.33%

Technical

Ralph Lauren (RL) has a Technical Score of 5/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of -0.74% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.73%) and the probability of RL (49.98%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.73%
RL probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)-0.74%
RL probability of beating the market (3M)49.98%

RL probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): -0.74%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Ralph Lauren (RL) is only based on the 29 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of RL:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-1.24%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.23%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.88%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.80%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.80%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.72%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.67%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.53%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.50%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.49%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.47%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+0.47%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.45%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.40%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-0.40%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.72%

RL probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:-0.74%
RL Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

RL Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$398.26
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

RL Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for RL from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 105 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

RL Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1501 Hold signals since July 2026, RL had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1501 Past RL Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+23.21%
Average Alpha				+11.08%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				66.69%
% Positive Alpha				65.18%

RL Frequently Asked Questions

Will Ralph Lauren stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Ralph Lauren has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.50%) is -2.33% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Ralph Lauren stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Ralph Lauren stock right now?
Is Ralph Lauren undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Ralph Lauren stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Ralph Lauren stock in the last 3 months?
Does Ralph Lauren offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Ralph Lauren?

Ralph Lauren Corp Company Profile

Ralph Lauren Corporation is a global designer, marketer, and distributor of lifestyle products. It offers a robust portfolio across North America, Europe, Asia, and various international markets. The company's product offerings span industries from fashion to homeware including men’s, women’s, and children's clothing; casual shoes to fine jewelry; and bed linens to ornamental lighting.

Known for its iconic brands such as Ralph Lauren Collection, Ralph Lauren Purple Label, Polo Ralph Lauren among others, the enterprise covers not only apparel but also an array of footwear and accessories. These encompass everything from fashionable eyewear and timepieces to scarves, gloves, umbrellas alongside refined leather merchandise like handbags and belts.

Venturing beyond fashion wears into home decor sector Ralph Lauren Corporation provides an assortment of products including but not limited to bed and bath collections, furniture lines as well as other ancillaries such as wallcoverings and floor coverings.

In matters related to fragrances the company caters its clients with several lines of men’s fragrances under distinguished brand names such as Polo Blue or Safari while its women's fragrances include acclaimed names like Ralph Lauren Collection among others.

Adding more flavor to their product lineup is the corporation's restaurant collection that features esteemed establishments like The Polo Bar in New York City or The Bar at Ralph Lauren based in Milan.

Their sales channels encompass department stores, boutiques along with golfing and professional outlets. Direct consumer engagement is facilitated through retail stores including concession-based shop-within-shops both offline and online on their digital retail platforms

Historically operated under licensing partners working across factory stores the company currently directly runs retail locations alongside their unique store-inside-a-store concept. This impressive conglomerate was established back in 1967 with its headquarters now nestled in New York City.

Sector:Consumer Discretionary
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:650 Madison Ave, New York City
Employees:15,000
Website:investor.ralphlauren.com

Pros

Established brand heritage and consumer recognition

Extensive global multi-channel distribution network

Pricing power derived from brand perception

Diversified product categories across apparel and lifestyle

Recurring revenue from brand licensing agreements

Cons

Demand cyclicality tied to fashion trends

Capital intensity of physical retail footprint

Exposure to global supply chain disruptions

Intense competition in aspirational luxury market

Sensitivity to discretionary consumer spending fluctuations

Pros

Cons

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