Will Origin Agritech stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Origin Agritech has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.35%) is -3.47% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Origin Agritech stock?

The Origin Agritech target price is $1.06 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Origin Agritech stock right now?

Origin Agritech has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.35%) is -3.47% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Origin Agritech stock is a good buy .

Is Origin Agritech undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Origin Agritech is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Origin Agritech has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Origin Agritech stock over the past 12 months?

The Origin Agritech stock price range over the past 12 months has been $0.83 - $2.

What is going on with Origin Agritech stock in the last 3 months?

The Origin Agritech stock performance in the last quarter has been -13.82%.

Does Origin Agritech offer dividend payments?

No, Origin Agritech does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Origin Agritech?

Origin Agritech's market cap is $12.63M, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Origin Agritech Ltd (SEED) AI Stock Analysis

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SEED AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Origin Agritech Ltd today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 47% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 4% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the long tail of technical signals (Technicals Impact (Long Tail), +1.64%), low volatility as measured by ATR (90d) in the bottom 10% (+1.07%), and ATR (14d) also in the bottom 10% (+0.98%), along with Alpha 1Y in the top 50% (+0.61%). The top detractors are the Food Products industry (-1.12%), the China country (-0.99%), the Chart Pattern (504d) (-0.94%), the Fear & Greed Index at 31 (-0.80%), and the Chart Pattern (120d) (-0.68%). Notable data points include the stock's low volatility (ATR 90d in the bottom 10% and ATR 14d in the bottom 10%), which positively influences the probability, while the low institutional ownership (bottom 10%) and negative tangible shareholders' equity (bottom 20%) weigh on the outlook. The Fear & Greed Index at 31 indicates fear in the market, which detracts from the probability. Overall, the negative net effect of signals (-3%) and the low AI Score reflect a bearish outlook, with the stock facing headwinds from industry, country, and fundamental factors despite some technical support from low volatility and positive alpha.

AI Score Explanation

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Volatility+2.27%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Momentum+0.25%
Direction and strength of recent price movements

Sentiment-3.68%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Valuation-1.96%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Size & Liquidity-0.18%
Company size and trading liquidity
Financial Strength-0.17%
Balance sheet strength and financial resilience

SEED probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-3.47%

AI Score

Sell

Origin Agritech (SEED) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -3.47% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of SEED (47.35%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
SEED probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-3.47%
SEED probability of beating the market (3M)47.35%

SEED probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -3.47%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Origin Agritech (SEED) is based on the 24 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of SEED:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.64%
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Food Products	N/A	-1.12%
Technical	ATR (90d Volatility)	0.1	N/A	+1.07%
Sentiment	Country	China	N/A	-0.99%
Technical	ATR (14d Volatility)	0.06	N/A	+0.98%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_38	N/A	-0.94%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.80%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_185	N/A	-0.68%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	4.17		-0.67%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.65%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.62%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.61%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.42%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.39%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.39%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.09%

SEED probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-3.47%
SEED AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

SEED Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$1.06
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

SEED Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for SEED from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 38 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

SEED Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 1175 Sell signals since July 2026, SEED had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

1175 Past SEED Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-19.49%
Average Alpha				-31.45%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				74.47%
% Negative Alpha				77.66%

SEED Frequently Asked Questions

Will Origin Agritech stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Origin Agritech has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.35%) is -3.47% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Origin Agritech stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Origin Agritech stock right now?
Is Origin Agritech undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Origin Agritech stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Origin Agritech stock in the last 3 months?
Does Origin Agritech offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Origin Agritech?

Origin Agritech Ltd Company Profile

With its roots embedded in Chinese soil, Origin Agritech Limited and its subsidiaries form a notable presence in the agricultural biotechnology landscape of the People's Republic of China. Actively involved in crafting seed products, the company dives into research on genetically improved breeding technologies targeted at enhancing agricultural crops. Their diverse product range spans across corn, soybean, canola, and rice seeds.

Beyond this, there is also a potent arm of the business dedicated to the development, production, and distribution of hybrid crop seeds; furthermore, they spearhead advancements in hybrid seed technology. Marking their footprints in the digital age, they also operate a virtual e-commerce platform for better reach and effectiveness.

In their journey towards genetic enhancements and biotechnologies related to seeds, Origin Agritech Limited has collaborated with renowned institutions such as the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, National Maize Improvement Centre, Henan Agriculture University, China Agricultural University and Zhejiang University.

Tracing back their origins to 1997 when it was founded, this bionetwork powerhouse has been proudly headquartered in Beijing within the People's Republic of China.

Sector:
Country:China
Industry:
Address:No. 21 Sheng Ming Yuan Road Changping, Beijing
Employees:97
Website:originseed.com.cn

Pros

Farmer switching costs for established seed varieties

Proprietary germplasm and genetic modification traits

Increasing regulatory support for biotech crops

Non-discretionary input for food security

Operating leverage from seed R&D amortization

Cons

Lengthy and uncertain regulatory approval processes

Exposure to agricultural commodity price fluctuations

Intellectual property enforcement challenges

Demand cyclicality from specific crop focus

High capital intensity for breeding programs

Pros

Cons

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