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SERA AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score Alpha Factors

These AI Factors group the most impactful alpha signals used by Danelfin's AI to calculate the stock’s probability advantage. Positive factors (green) increase the probability of beating the market, while negative factors (red) reduce it.

  • Earnings Quality+3.01%
    Stability and reliability of reported earnings
  • Momentum+1.83%
    Direction and strength of recent price movements
  • Sentiment+0.66%
    How analysts and the market view the stock
  • Valuation+0.65%
    How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
  • Profitability-1.35%
    Profitability and operating efficiency metrics
  • Size & Liquidity-1.06%
    Company size and trading liquidity
  • Volatility-0.11%
    How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

SERA probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+3.63%

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

Alpha Signals show the individual signals used by Danelfin's AI to calculate a stock's probability of beating the market over the next 3 months. Each signal highlights its positive or negative impact on the probability advantage and helps explain what is driving the AI Score.

AI Score
Hold

Sera Prognostics (SERA) has an AI Score of 6/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +3.63% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of SERA (54.45%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

  • Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
  • SERA probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+3.63%
  • SERA probability of beating the market (3M)54.45%

SERA probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +3.63%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Sera Prognostics (SERA) is based on the 28 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of SERA:

Type
Alpha Signal
Current Value
Value Decile Position
Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Fundamental
Operating Cash Flow (Qtr Discrete)
-8.77
+-
+2.72%
Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index (CNN)
31
N/A
-1.24%
Fundamental
Beginning Cash (Millions)
3.94
+-
-1.06%
Fundamental
Gross Profit
-0.03
N/A
-0.93%
Technical
Distance from KAMA (20d)
0.06%
+-
-0.90%
Technical
Technicals Impact (Long Tail)
-
N/A
+0.82%
Fundamental
Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)
-
N/A
+0.77%
Technical
Normalized Average True Range (50d)
9.61%
+-
-0.77%
Technical
Alpha 6M
-0.39%
+-
-0.71%
Sentiment
Industry (GICS)
Biotechnology
N/A
+0.69%
Technical
+0.65%
Technical
+0.65%
Fundamental
-0.64%
Sentiment
+0.64%
Technical
+0.58%
Rest of Alpha Signals: +2.35%
  • SERA probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+3.63%
  • SERA AI Score
Significant changes Vs previous day

SERA Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

  • Entry:$2.02
  • Horizon: 3 months
  • Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
  • Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX) or AI Score < 4/10

SERA Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 533 Hold signals since July 2026, SERA had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

533 Past SERA Hold Signals
1 Month Later
3 Months Later
6 Months Later
1 Year Later
Average Performance
+40.32%
Average Alpha
+24.57%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)
35.71%
% Positive Alpha
33.44%

SERA Frequently Asked Questions

Sera Prognostics Inc Company Profile

Pros

Cons

  • SERA / US81749D1072US Flag
  • Market Cap$78.32M
  • Short Float-
  • Volume25.95K
  • Dividend %-
Performance
  • Perf Week+12.22%
  • Perf Quarter-2.41%
  • Perf Year-22.00%
  • Perf YTD-31.52%
Technical Indicators
  • 52W High4.09 -50.61%
  • 52W Low1.59 27.04%
  • Avg Volume-
  • Beta-
  • ATR0.16
  • Volatility-

SERA Company Profile Summary

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