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SJM AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score Alpha Factors

These AI Factors group the most impactful alpha signals used by Danelfin's AI to calculate the stock’s probability advantage. Positive factors (green) increase the probability of beating the market, while negative factors (red) reduce it.

  • Sentiment+3.96%
    How analysts and the market view the stock
  • Volatility+0.02%
    How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
  • Momentum-3.75%
    Direction and strength of recent price movements
  • Valuation-0.98%
    How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
  • Size & Liquidity-0.35%
    Company size and trading liquidity

SJM probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-1.11%

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

Alpha Signals show the individual signals used by Danelfin's AI to calculate a stock's probability of beating the market over the next 3 months. Each signal highlights its positive or negative impact on the probability advantage and helps explain what is driving the AI Score.

AI Score
Hold

JM Smucker (SJM) has an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -1.11% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of SJM (49.71%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

  • Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
  • SJM probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-1.11%
  • SJM probability of beating the market (3M)49.71%

SJM probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -1.11%

The AI-powered overall analysis of JM Smucker (SJM) is based on the 24 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of SJM:

Type
Alpha Signal
Current Value
Value Decile Position
Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical
Chart Pattern (504d)
figure_76
N/A
-2.94%
Sentiment
Industry (GICS)
Food Products
N/A
+2.18%
Fundamental
Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)
3.03K
+-
-1.79%
Fundamental
Tangible Shareholders' Equity
-5.34K
N/A
+1.20%
Sentiment
Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)
-
N/A
+1.15%
Technical
Chart Pattern (120d)
figure_99
N/A
-1.07%
Technical
Chart Pattern (60d)
figure_122
N/A
+1.05%
Fundamental
Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)
-
N/A
-1.02%
Technical
ATR (14d Volatility)
3.08
+-
+0.79%
Sentiment
Analyst Lowest Price Upside
-0.05%
+-
+0.76%
Sentiment
-0.69%
Technical
-0.65%
Sentiment
+0.65%
Fundamental
+0.63%
Technical
-0.58%
Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.80%
  • SJM probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-1.11%
  • SJM AI Score
Significant changes Vs previous day

SJM Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

  • Entry:$114.89
  • Horizon: 3 months
  • Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
  • Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX) or AI Score < 4/10

SJM Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1515 Hold signals since July 2026, SJM had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1515 Past SJM Hold Signals
1 Month Later
3 Months Later
6 Months Later
1 Year Later
Average Performance
-0.33%
Average Alpha
-15.30%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)
49.64%
% Positive Alpha
16.26%

SJM Frequently Asked Questions

J M Smucker Co Company Profile

Pros

Cons

  • SJM / US8326964058US Flag
  • Market Cap$12.28B
  • Short Float5.02%
  • Volume1.93M
  • Dividend %3.83%
Performance
  • Perf Week+2.92%
  • Perf Quarter+19.13%
  • Perf Year+16.99%
  • Perf YTD+17.46%
Technical Indicators
  • 52W High117.05 -1.85%
  • 52W Low89.53 28.33%
  • Avg Volume1.85M
  • Beta0.23
  • ATR3.08
  • Volatility2.85% - 2.26%

SJM Company Profile Summary

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