Will Super Micro Computer stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Super Micro Computer has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.04%) is -3.78% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Super Micro Computer stock?

The Super Micro Computer target price is $32.4 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Super Micro Computer stock right now?

Super Micro Computer has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.04%) is -3.78% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Super Micro Computer stock is a good buy .

Is Super Micro Computer undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Super Micro Computer is +17.11% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Super Micro Computer has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Super Micro Computer stock over the past 12 months?

The Super Micro Computer stock price range over the past 12 months has been $20.53 - $60.71.

What is going on with Super Micro Computer stock in the last 3 months?

The Super Micro Computer stock performance in the last quarter has been +21.51%.

Does Super Micro Computer offer dividend payments?

No, Super Micro Computer does not currently pay dividends.

What is the current market capitalization of Super Micro Computer?

Super Micro Computer's market cap is $17.89B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next SMCI earnings report date?

SMCI will publish its next earnings report on 2026-05-05.

Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) AI Stock Analysis

Advanced Chart

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

SMCI AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Super Micro Computer Inc today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 48% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 3% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The probability is weighed down most significantly by a negative chart pattern over a 2-year horizon, which detracts -3.49%. Other detractors include high maximum volatility (-1.62%) and a negative 1-year chart pattern (-1.35%). On the positive side, the probability is boosted by the company's high Net Property, Plant & Equipment (+1.95%) and a positive 180-day chart pattern (+1.38%). Notable data points include Net PP&E ranking in the top 30%, Income (TTM) in the top 10%, and Gross Profit in the top 20%, all of which are positive fundamental strengths. However, these are offset by significant technical and risk headwinds: Stock-Based Compensation and the Sloan Ratio are both in the top 10%, which negatively impacts earnings quality, while Beta and ATR (14d Volatility) are in the top 20%, indicating high volatility. The overall picture is one where strong fundamental metrics are overshadowed by concerning technical patterns and elevated risk signals, resulting in a below-average probability of market outperformance.

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

We're getting the explanation ready so you can easily understand what's behind the AI Score. This may take a few seconds.

Valuation+3.27%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Sentiment+0.77%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Profitability+0.68%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics
Growth+0.47%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Volatility-4.36%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Momentum-2.74%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Earnings Quality-1.87%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings

SMCI probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-3.78%

AI Score

Sell

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -3.78% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of SMCI (47.04%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
SMCI probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-3.78%
SMCI probability of beating the market (3M)47.04%

SMCI probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -3.78%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of SMCI:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_83	N/A	-3.49%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	607.66		+1.95%
Technical	Maximum Volatility	7.86%		-1.62%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_72	N/A	+1.38%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_92	N/A	-1.35%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-1.05%
Fundamental	Stock-Based Compensation (Millions)	305.56		-1.02%
Technical	Beta	1.97		-0.90%
Sentiment	Institutional Ownership	57.54%		+0.87%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.87%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.85%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.84%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.80%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.78%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.69%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +2.23%

SMCI probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-3.78%
SMCI AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

SMCI Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$27.67
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

SMCI Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for SMCI from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 20 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

SMCI Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 476 Sell signals since July 2026, SMCI had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

476 Past SMCI Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+88.11%
Average Alpha				+70.08%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				23.24%
% Negative Alpha				23.73%

SMCI Frequently Asked Questions

Will Super Micro Computer stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Super Micro Computer has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (47.04%) is -3.78% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Super Micro Computer stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Super Micro Computer stock right now?
Is Super Micro Computer undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Super Micro Computer stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Super Micro Computer stock in the last 3 months?
Does Super Micro Computer offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Super Micro Computer?
When is the next SMCI earnings report date?

Super Micro Computer Inc Company Profile

Super Micro Computer, Inc., and its subsidiaries are engaged in the development and production of high-performance server and storage solutions, with a presence spanning across America, Europe, Asia, and further afield. The company's offerings include comprehensive server systems, standalone storage devices, modular blade servers, workstations, specialized network tools along with server subsystems and sophisticated security software.

Under its umbrella of advanced solutions feature application-specific server networks, rack-mounted units and blade servers supplemented by requisite storage and add-on components. Including software that can handle all aspects of server management such as the Supermicro Server Manager and Power Management software or SuperMicro Update Manager. Addition of tools like SuperCloud Composer and SuperDoctor 5 ensure continuous integration and configuration support.

Also included within their extensive product lineup are server accessories ranging from server boards to power supplies. In addition to offering products themselves, it provides system integration services for both servers and storage systems while also offering configuration updates and software upgrades. The deliverables from Super Micro Computer go beyond the products as they include technical documentation creation aids along with devised verifications tests.

Their services extend to help desk support on-site for their product lines while also providing continuous maintenance along with expert technical guidance post your purchase. Their enterprise-ready solutions cater to a wide array of markets encompassing enterprise data centers, cloud computing platforms, hubs focusing on artificial intelligence advancement along with 5G & edge computing environments.

Sales channels remain expansive including direct sales teams working in tandem with indirect partners consisting mainly of distributors and value-added resellers alongside system integrators as well at times even original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Founded in 1993, the company today operates out of their headquarters based in San Jose California.

Sector:Information Technology
Country:United States
Industry:Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Address:980 Rock Avenue, San Jose
Employees:6,238
Website:supermicro.com

Pros

Modular architecture enabling application-optimized server solutions

Rack-scale integration capabilities for large data center deployments

Direct engagement model with enterprise and cloud customers

Agile adoption of next-generation processor and cooling technologies

Diversified component sourcing strategy for supply chain resilience

Cons

Exposure to commoditization pressures in server hardware market

Company	AI Score	Compare
SPCBSupercom Ltd

Company	AI Score	Compare
SPCBSupercom Ltd

SMCI Stock AI Analysis High Risk