Will Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (60.92%) is +10.10% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock?

The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing target price is $434.2 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock right now?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has today a Buy rating (AI Score 8/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (60.92%) is +10.10% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock is a good buy .

Is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target downside for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is 0.00% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy Rating).

What was the price range of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock over the past 12 months?

The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock price range over the past 12 months has been $209.51 - $477.57.

What is going on with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock in the last 3 months?

The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock performance in the last quarter has been +27.14%.

Does Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing offer dividend payments?

Yes, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock dividend yield is 0.81%.

What is the current market capitalization of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's market cap is $2.25T, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSM AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Buy

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing ADR today receives an AI Score of 8/10, which translates to a Buy rating. The stock has a 61% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 10% higher than the average probability of any stock (51%). This elevated probability is driven by several positive contributors: the long tail of fundamentals signals adds +4.47%, the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry adds +4.15%, and strong balance sheet metrics like Net PP&E (top 10%) add +1.27%, Operating Cash Flow (top 10%) adds +0.73%, and Tangible Shareholders' Equity (top 10%) adds +0.55%. Additionally, the Earnings Countdown (bottom 10%) contributes +0.93%, and the long tail of sentiment signals adds +0.55%. On the negative side, the long tail of technicals detracts -0.83%, the Fear & Greed Index (value 31) detracts -0.80%, Chart Pattern (252d) detracts -0.63%, Analyst Lowest Price Upside (bottom 50%) detracts -0.60%, and other chart patterns (60d, 90d) and +DI (90d, top 20%) also weigh down the probability. Notable data points include the company's massive scale: Net PP&E of $124,968M (top 10%), Operating Cash Flow of $22,088M (top 10%), Tangible Shareholders' Equity of $186,682M (top 10%), and Beginning Cash of $87,464M (top 10%) — all indicating strong financial health. However, the Analyst Lowest Price Upside of -5.77% (bottom 50%) suggests bearish sentiment from some analysts, and the Fear & Greed Index at 31 signals fear in the market. The positive contributions from fundamentals and industry tailwinds outweigh the technical and sentiment detractors, resulting in a net positive effect of 10% and a Buy rating. Overall, the stock's strong fundamentals and industry positioning provide a solid foundation for outperformance, despite some short-term technical headwinds.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+6.56%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Sentiment+4.02%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Earnings Quality+0.73%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Size & Liquidity+0.50%
Company size and trading liquidity
Growth+0.21%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Momentum-1.56%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Volatility-0.35%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

TSM probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+10.10%

Technical

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) has a Technical Score of 6/10 because, according to only technical analysis, it has a probability advantage of +0.65% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.73%) and the probability of TSM (51.38%) of overperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s technical analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.73%
TSM probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)+0.65%
TSM probability of beating the market (3M)51.38%

TSM probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M): +0.65%

The AI-powered technical analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is only based on the 29 technical features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of TSM:

Type	Alpha Signal	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-11.17%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-9.60%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-8.81%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+7.38%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+5.25%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+4.32%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-3.58%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+3.14%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+2.95%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+2.85%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+2.57%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+2.45%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+2.01%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	+1.87%
Technical	Upgrade to Pro to unlock	-1.84%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.85%

TSM probability advantage of beating the market (only technical, 3M)Total:+0.65%
TSM Technical Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

TSM Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$434.20
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

TSM Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for TSM from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 98 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Buy signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

TSM Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 944 Buy signals since June 2026, TSM had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

944 Past TSM Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+19.57%
Average Alpha				+9.73%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				58.61%
% Positive Alpha				43.32%

TSM Past Buy Signals Performance

Performance and alpha after 1, 3, 6 months, and 1 year, for each of the 927 days that TSM was rated a Strong Buy/Buy (AI Score 7 to 10) since June 2026.

Date	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y
2016-12-30	+8.10%	+14.40%	+21.32%	+42.68%	+6.27%	+9.12%	+12.96%	+22.44%
2017-01-03				-	-	-	-	-
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Showing 1 to 10 of 927 days 1 2 3 4 5 ... 93
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Date	AI Score	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y

TSM Frequently Asked Questions

Will Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has today an AI Score of 8/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (60.92%) is +10.10% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock right now?
Is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing stock in the last 3 months?
Does Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd Company Profile

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, along with its subsidiaries, carries out the production, packaging, testing and distribution of integrated circuits and other semiconductor components across Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the US and other global regions. Known for its expertise in complementary metal oxide silicon wafer fabrication processes, the company specializes in manufacturing a range of semiconductors - from logic to mixed-signal; from radio frequency to embedded memory chips. The spectrum of its services also extends to customer support functions as well as engineering services. In addition to this comprehensive service portfolio is their Mask-making capability. Not contained within their home territory or industry alone; Taiwan Semiconductor's products have wide-reaching applications globally. These include high-performance computing hardware to smartphones; Internet-of-things devices to automotive systems; digital consumer electronics and beyond. This well-established entity was set up in 1987 and now commands operations from their central office located in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Sector:Information Technology
Country:-
Industry:Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Address:No.8, Li-Hsin 6th Road, Hsinchu Science Park, Hsinchu
Employees:52,045
Website:tsmc.com

Pros

Technological leadership in advanced process nodes

High capital barriers for foundry competitors

Deep customer integration and high switching costs

Diversified revenue across multiple end markets

Economies of scale in semiconductor manufacturing

Cons

Geopolitical risks from manufacturing concentration

Extreme capital expenditure requirements for new fabs

Customer concentration with major fabless designers

Foundry equipment dependency at advanced nodes

Cyclicality of global semiconductor demand

Pros

Cons

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TSM Stock AI Analysis