Will Victory Capital stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Victory Capital has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.18%) is -4.63% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Victory Capital stock?

The Victory Capital target price is $90.45 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Victory Capital stock right now?

Victory Capital has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.18%) is -4.63% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Victory Capital stock is a good buy .

Is Victory Capital undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Victory Capital is +5.48% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Victory Capital has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of Victory Capital stock over the past 12 months?

The Victory Capital stock price range over the past 12 months has been $60.76 - $89.12.

What is going on with Victory Capital stock in the last 3 months?

The Victory Capital stock performance in the last quarter has been +30.95%.

Does Victory Capital offer dividend payments?

Yes, Victory Capital stock dividend yield is 2.30%.

What is the current market capitalization of Victory Capital?

Victory Capital's market cap is $5.36B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next VCTR earnings report date?

VCTR will publish its next earnings report on 2026-05-06.

Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR) AI Stock Analysis

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VCTR AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Victory Capital Holdings Inc today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 46% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 5% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The top positive contributors include the Chart Pattern (90d) and Chart Pattern (504d), each boosting the probability by +0.55% and +0.54% respectively, while the Technicals Impact (Long Tail) adds +0.33%. On the negative side, the Industry (GICS) being Capital Markets detracts -1.90%, the Fear & Greed Index at 31 (extreme fear) reduces probability by -0.90%, and the ATR (14d Volatility) in the top 20% (high volatility) subtracts -0.59%. Notable data points include the Tangible Shareholders' Equity in the bottom 10% at -1,335.6 (negative equity), which weighs on the stock's outlook. The Net Property, Plant & Equipment is in the bottom 40% at 22.4, indicating limited fixed assets. On the positive side, the Chart Pattern (90d) and Chart Pattern (504d) show favorable technical formations. However, the Performance (YTD) is in the top 20% at +35.9%, yet this strong past performance does not translate into a positive edge, suggesting potential mean reversion. Overall, the combination of a weak industry, high volatility, and negative equity outweighs the positive technical patterns, resulting in a Sell rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Momentum+0.53%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Growth+0.22%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Sentiment-3.73%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Valuation-1.33%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Volatility-0.32%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

VCTR probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-4.63%

AI Score

Sell

Victory Capital (VCTR) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -4.63% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of VCTR (46.18%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
VCTR probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-4.63%
VCTR probability of beating the market (3M)46.18%

VCTR probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -4.63%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Victory Capital (VCTR) is based on the 24 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of VCTR:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Capital Markets	N/A	-1.90%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.94%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.90%
Technical	ATR (14d Volatility)	2.7		-0.59%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.57%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	0.01%		-0.55%
Technical	Chart Pattern (90d)	figure_141	N/A	+0.55%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_9	N/A	+0.54%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	22.41		-0.52%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_62	N/A	-0.51%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.43%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.34%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.33%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.33%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.32%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +1.16%

VCTR probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-4.63%
VCTR AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

VCTR Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$85.75
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

VCTR Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for VCTR from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 29 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

VCTR Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 342 Sell signals since July 2026, VCTR had an average performance of xxxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

342 Past VCTR Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+33.05%
Average Alpha				+20.27%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				22.33%
% Negative Alpha				32.70%

VCTR Frequently Asked Questions

Will Victory Capital stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Victory Capital has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.18%) is -4.63% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Victory Capital stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Victory Capital stock right now?
Is Victory Capital undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Victory Capital stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Victory Capital stock in the last 3 months?
Does Victory Capital offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Victory Capital?
When is the next VCTR earnings report date?

Victory Capital Holdings Inc Company Profile

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc., in conjunction with its subsidiaries, functions as a preeminent asset management enterprise both locally and globally. It proffers a comprehensive suite of services encompassing investment advisory, fund administration and compliance, along with various other management offerings. The company caters to an extensive clientele including institutions, intermediaries, individual investors and retirement platforms by providing specialized investment strategies.

Their diversified product portfolio entails actively managed and passively managed mutual funds; rule-oriented and dynamic exchange-traded products; separate accounts for institutional clients; variable insurance offerings; alternative investments as well as exclusive closed-end funds. Accompanying these is a 529 Education Savings Plan designed to facilitate educational expenditures.

Furthermore, Victory Capital Holdings extends its strategies across a range of third-party investment platforms – from mutual funds and ETF model strategies to retail-managed accounts under independent supervision. They also offer unified managed account via wrap programs and Collective Investment Trusts together with undertakings for common investment in transferable securities.

Prominently established in the realm of financial assets since its inception in 2013, the company operates out of its head office located in San Antonio, Texas.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:15935 La Cantera Parkway, San Antonio
Employees:699
Website:vcm.com

Pros

Diversified investment product offerings and client segments

Operating leverage from scalable asset management platform

High client switching costs for institutional mandates

Strategic acquisitions for AUM and product expansion

Recurring fee-based revenue model tied to assets under management

Cons

Revenue sensitivity to capital market performance and AUM changes

Industry-wide pressure on management fee compression

Key investment professional retention risk

Extensive regulatory compliance burden and evolving requirements

Structural competition from low-cost passive investment vehicles

VCTR Stock AI Analysis