Will Italgas stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Italgas has today an AI Score of 10/10 (Strong Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (61.57%) is +11.88% vs. the average probability (49.69%) of all European stocks.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Italgas stock right now?

Italgas has today a Strong Buy rating (AI Score 10/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (61.57%) is +11.88% vs. the average probability (49.69%) of all European stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Italgas stock is a good buy .

What is going on with Italgas stock in the last 3 months?

The Italgas stock performance in the last quarter has been -3.82%.

Does Italgas offer dividend payments?

Yes, Italgas stock dividend yield is 4.33%.

What is the current market capitalization of Italgas?

Italgas's market cap is €10.3B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

Italgas SpA (IG.MI) AI Stock Analysis

Advanced Chart

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

IG.MI AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Strong Buy

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Italgas SpA today receives an AI Score of 10/10, which translates to a Strong Buy rating. The stock has a 60% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 10% higher than the average probability of any stock (50%). The top positive contributors include the Gas Utilities industry (boosting probability by +5.50%), the Chart Pattern (252d) (+1.23%), and Consolidated Net Income / Loss in the top 10% (+1.16%). On the detractor side, Alpha YTD in the bottom 50% reduces probability by -0.66%, the Chart Pattern (504d) by -0.58%, and Cash & Short-Term Investments QoQ Growth in the bottom 10% by -0.51%. Notable data points include Consolidated Net Income / Loss in the top 10% (€190.7M), Long-Term Investments in the top 20% (€506.4M), and Cash & Short-Term Investments YoY Growth in the top 40% (+13.35%). However, Alpha YTD is in the bottom 50% (-4.55%), and Cash & Short-Term Investments QoQ Growth is in the bottom 10% (-85.21%). The Fear & Greed Index at 31 (fear) adds a slight positive (+0.47%). Overall, the strong industry tailwind, solid profitability, and favorable long-term investment position outweigh the short-term cash and alpha weaknesses, supporting the Strong Buy rating.

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

We're getting the explanation ready so you can easily understand what's behind the AI Score. This may take a few seconds.

Sentiment+5.69%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Momentum+2.28%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Growth+1.18%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion
Volatility+0.87%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Financial Strength+0.85%
Balance sheet strength and financial resilience
Earnings Quality+0.73%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Valuation+0.34%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Size & Liquidity+0.21%
Company size and trading liquidity

Profitability-0.27%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics

IG.MI probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+11.88%

AI Score

Strong Buy

Italgas (IG.MI) has an AI Score of 10/10 (Strong Buy) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +11.88% of beating the market (STOXX 600) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any European stock (49.69%) and the probability of IG.MI (61.57%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any European stock of beating the market (3M)49.69%
IG.MI probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+11.88%
IG.MI probability of beating the market (3M)61.57%

IG.MI probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +11.88%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Italgas (IG.MI) is based on the 32 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 24 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of IG.MI:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Gas Utilities	N/A	+5.50%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_72	N/A	+1.23%
Fundamental	Consolidated Net Income / Loss	190.7M		+1.16%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.03%
Technical	Alpha YTD	-0.05%		-0.66%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_72	N/A	-0.58%
Fundamental	Cash & Short-Term Investments QoQ Growth	-0.85%	N/A	-0.51%
Fundamental	Cash & Short-Term Investments YoY Growth	0.13%		+0.50%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	+0.47%
Sentiment	Hold Success Rate (Past 12 Months)	-	N/A	-0.45%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.44%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.43%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-0.43%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.42%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.39%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +1.75%

IG.MI probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+11.88%
IG.MI AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

IG.MI Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:€9.97
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:€XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:€XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

IG.MI Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for IG.MI from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 117 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Buy signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

IG.MI Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1155 Buy signals since June 2026, IG.MI had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1155 Past IG.MI Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+9.34%
Average Alpha				+52.06%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				53.64%
% Positive Alpha				100.00%

IG.MI Past Buy Signals Performance

Performance and alpha after 1, 3, 6 months, and 1 year, for each of the 1,138 days that IG.MI was rated a Strong Buy/Buy (AI Score 7 to 10) since June 2026.

Date	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y
2018-01-01	-4.32%	-4.60%	-7.05%	+0.83%	-	-	-	-
2018-01-02				-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Showing 1 to 10 of 1138 days 1 2 3 4 5 ... 114
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Date	AI Score	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y

IG.MI Frequently Asked Questions

Will Italgas stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Italgas has today an AI Score of 10/10 (Strong Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (61.57%) is +11.88% vs. the average probability (49.69%) of all European stocks.
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Italgas stock right now?
What is going on with Italgas stock in the last 3 months?
Does Italgas offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Italgas?

Italgas SpA Company Profile

Italgas SpA (IG.MI) is a leading Italian company in the distribution of natural gas and integrated water services. It serves a broad customer base across Italy, focusing on essential utility infrastructure. The company operates primarily in two key domains: gas distribution and water services. In gas distribution, Italgas manages and maintains extensive networks for the delivery of natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial users. This includes the operation of over 74,000 kilometers of gas distribution network. The integrated water services domain involves the management of the entire water cycle, from aqueduct services to sewage and wastewater treatment. Italgas aims to ensure efficient and sustainable water resource management for its customers. The company's revenue model is based on regulated tariffs for its distribution services and fees for water management. Italgas primarily utilizes a direct sales approach, complemented by partnerships, to reach consumers and public entities across its operational territories.

Sector:Utilities
Country:Italy
Industry:Gas Utilities
Address:VIA CARLO BO, 11, Milan
Employees:6,289
Website:italgas.it

Pros

Regulated asset base provides predictable cash flows

Natural monopoly status within concession areas

High barriers to entry for new infrastructure

Essential utility service with inelastic demand

Long-term concession agreements ensure revenue visibility

Cons

Exposure to adverse changes in regulatory framework

High capital expenditure requirements for network maintenance

Long-term demand erosion risk from decarbonization policies

Geographic concentration in a single national market

Concession renewal uncertainty and potential for unfavorable terms

Company	AI Score	Compare
ASC.MIAscopiave SpA
SRG.MISnam SpA
ENEL.MIEnel SpA
AC5.MIAcinque SpA
HER.MIHera SpA

	Company	AI Score	Compare
1	AMG1L.VSAmber Grid AB
2	RUI.PARubis SCA
3	AYGAZ.E.ISAygaz AS
4	SRG.MISnam SpA
5	IG.MIItalgas SpA
6	ENG.MCEnagas SA
7	AC5.MIAcinque SpA
8	ASC.MIAscopiave SpA
9	ENERY.E.ISEnerya Enerji AS
10	INF1T.TLInfortar AS

	Company	AI Score	Compare
1	EDP.LSEDP SA
2	AMG1L.VSAmber Grid AB
3	RUI.PARubis SCA
4	MVV1.DEMVV Energie AG
5	ELEC.PAElectricite de Strasbourg SA
6	KGN.WAZespol Elektrocieplowni Wroclawskich Kogeneracja SA
7	AYGAZ.E.ISAygaz AS
8	LGD1L.VSLitgrid AB
9	RENE.LSREN Redes Energeticas Nacionais SGPS SA
10	SRG.MISnam SpA

Company	AI Score	Compare
ASC.MIAscopiave SpA
SRG.MISnam SpA
ENEL.MIEnel SpA
AC5.MIAcinque SpA
HER.MIHera SpA

	Company	AI Score	Compare
1	AMG1L.VSAmber Grid AB
2	RUI.PARubis SCA
3	AYGAZ.E.ISAygaz AS
4	SRG.MISnam SpA
5	IG.MIItalgas SpA
6	ENG.MCEnagas SA
7	AC5.MIAcinque SpA
8	ASC.MIAscopiave SpA
9	ENERY.E.ISEnerya Enerji AS
10	INF1T.TLInfortar AS

IG.MI Stock AI Analysis

Italgas SpA

AIM ITALIA - MERCATO ALTERNATIVO DEL CAPITALE

IG.MI Stock AI Analysis

Italgas SpA

IG.MI AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

IG.MI probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +11.88%

IG.MI Trading Parameters

IG.MI Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

IG.MI Average Past Performance & Win Rate

IG.MI Past Buy Signals Performance

IG.MI Frequently Asked Questions

Will Italgas stock go up?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Italgas stock right now?

What is going on with Italgas stock in the last 3 months?

Does Italgas offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Italgas?

Italgas SpA Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

IG.MI Company Profile Summary

IG.MI Related Stocks

IG.MI Top 10 Industry Stocks

Gas Utilities

IG.MI Top 10 Sector Stocks

Utilities

IG.MI Stock AI Analysis

Italgas SpA

AIM ITALIA - MERCATO ALTERNATIVO DEL CAPITALE

AI Score Explanation

Will Italgas stock go up?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Italgas stock right now?

What is going on with Italgas stock in the last 3 months?

Does Italgas offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of Italgas?

Pros

Cons

IG.MI Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast