Will Yara stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Yara has today an AI Score of 9/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (58.39%) is +8.80% vs. the average probability (49.60%) of all European stocks.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Yara stock right now?

Yara has today a Buy rating (AI Score 9/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (58.39%) is +8.80% vs. the average probability (49.60%) of all European stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Yara stock is a good buy .

What is going on with Yara stock in the last 3 months?

The Yara stock performance in the last quarter has been -22.81%.

Does Yara offer dividend payments?

Yes, Yara stock dividend yield is 5.08%.

What is the current market capitalization of Yara?

Yara's market cap is NOK 110.02B, as of 2026-07-03 08:00.

Yara International ASA (YAR.OL) AI Stock Analysis

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YAR.OL AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Buy

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Yara International ASA today receives an AI Score of 9/10, which translates to a Buy rating. The stock has a 58% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 8% higher than the average probability of any stock (50%). The top positive contributors include the Distance from KAMA (100d) (bottom 10%, +1.41%), Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail) (+1.18%), Chart Pattern (252d) (+1.09%), Technicals Impact (Long Tail) (+1.09%), Consolidated Net Income / Loss (top 20%, +1.01%), Diluted EPS (top 20%, +0.96%), Fear & Greed Index (CNN) (+0.89%), Chart Pattern (120d) (+0.88%), Chart Pattern (60d) (+0.83%), Provision For Income Taxes YoY Growth (top 30%, +0.69%), Cash & Short-Term Investments QoQ Growth (top 30%, +0.58%), Cash & Short-Term Investments YoY Growth (top 10%, +0.45%), and Gross Income YoY Growth (top 30%, +0.41%). The top detractors are ATR (180d Volatility) (top 10%, -2.04%), Industry (GICS) (Chemicals, -1.85%), and Avg. Last Decile Drawdown (1Y) (bottom 40%, -1.44%). Notable data points include the Consolidated Net Income of $327 million (top 20%), Diluted EPS of $1.28 (top 20%), and Cash & Short-Term Investments YoY Growth of 273.6% (top 10%), all indicating strong profitability and liquidity. However, the ATR (180d Volatility) is in the top 10%, signaling high price swings that weigh on the probability. The Fear & Greed Index at 31 suggests fear in the market, which historically can be a contrarian positive. Overall, the strong fundamental signals and technical patterns outweigh the volatility and industry headwinds, supporting the Buy rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Momentum+4.98%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Profitability+3.12%
Profitability and operating efficiency metrics
Financial Strength+1.47%
Balance sheet strength and financial resilience
Earnings Quality+1.21%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Valuation+1.18%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Growth+0.96%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Volatility-3.76%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Sentiment-0.37%
How analysts and the market view the stock

YAR.OL probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

+8.80%

AI Score

Buy

Yara (YAR.OL) has an AI Score of 9/10 (Buy) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +8.80% of beating the market (STOXX 600) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any European stock (49.60%) and the probability of YAR.OL (58.39%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any European stock of beating the market (3M)49.60%
YAR.OL probability advantage of beating the market (3M)+8.80%
YAR.OL probability of beating the market (3M)58.39%

YAR.OL probability advantage of beating the market (3M): +8.80%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Yara (YAR.OL) is based on the 31 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 24 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of YAR.OL:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	ATR (180d Volatility)	11.26		-2.04%
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Chemicals	N/A	-1.85%
Technical	Avg. Last Decile Drawdown (1Y)	-0.06		-1.44%
Technical	Distance from KAMA (100d)	-0.17%	N/A	+1.41%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.18%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_67	N/A	+1.09%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+1.09%
Fundamental	Consolidated Net Income / Loss	327M		+1.01%
Fundamental	Diluted EPS	1.28		+0.96%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	+0.89%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.88%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.83%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.69%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.58%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.45%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +2.31%

YAR.OL probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:+8.80%
YAR.OL AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

YAR.OL Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:NOK 433
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:NOKXXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 7/10
Take Profit:NOKXXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 7/10

YAR.OL Proven Buy Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for YAR.OL from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in green, the 28 days when the stock received a Buy/Strong Buy rating (buy signals, AI Score 7 to 10).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Buy signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Buy signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

YAR.OL Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 878 Buy signals since May 2026, YAR.OL had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

878 Past YAR.OL Buy Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+2.95%
Average Alpha				+5.69%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				52.39%
% Positive Alpha				72.97%

YAR.OL Past Buy Signals Performance

Performance and alpha after 1, 3, 6 months, and 1 year, for each of the 862 days that YAR.OL was rated a Strong Buy/Buy (AI Score 7 to 10) since May 2026.

Date	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y
2018-01-08	-8.26%	-16.41%	-15.40%	-15.02%	-	-	-	-
2018-01-09				-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Showing 1 to 10 of 862 days 1 2 3 4 5 ... 87
-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Date	AI Score	Perf. 1M	Perf. 3M	Perf. 6M	Perf. 1Y	Alpha. 1M	Alpha. 3M	Alpha. 6M	Alpha. 1Y

YAR.OL Frequently Asked Questions

Will Yara stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Yara has today an AI Score of 9/10 (Buy rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (58.39%) is +8.80% vs. the average probability (49.60%) of all European stocks.
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Yara stock right now?
What is going on with Yara stock in the last 3 months?
Does Yara offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Yara?

Yara International ASA Company Profile

Yara International ASA (YAR.OL) develops and provides crop nutrition solutions and industrial nitrogen products. The company serves agricultural producers, food companies, and various industrial sectors globally. Its offerings aim to enhance food production, support industrial processes, and contribute to environmental solutions for a more sustainable future.

Yara's core business involves the production and distribution of mineral fertilizers. These essential crop nutrition products include nitrogen, phosphate, and potash-based fertilizers, which are fundamental for plant growth and development across diverse crops. They are crucial for improving soil health, maximizing crop yields, and ensuring global food security. The company also offers a comprehensive range of specialty crop nutrition products. These tailored solutions address specific plant requirements, optimize nutrient uptake, and improve crop quality and resilience against environmental stressors. This segment focuses on delivering precise nutrient management for diverse farming systems worldwide, adapting to local conditions and crop types.

Beyond agriculture, Yara supplies industrial nitrogen products for diverse applications. These products find use in environmental protection, such as reducing harmful air pollution from industrial sources and treating wastewater effectively. They also serve other critical industrial processes, including mining, construction, and the production of various chemicals and materials. Furthermore, the company develops and offers advanced digital farming tools and precision agriculture platforms. These solutions provide data-driven insights, helping farmers optimize resource management, improve operational efficiency, and make informed decisions for more sustainable agricultural practices across their operations, from field planning to harvest.

Yara's customer base spans agricultural enterprises of all sizes, food processors, and industrial manufacturers across various industries. The company distributes its products and services through a direct sales force and an extensive network of distributors and partners. Revenue is generated from product sales and digital services, with recurring elements from subscriptions and maintenance contracts, delivered through direct and channel sales to a global customer base.

Sector:Materials
Country:Norway
Industry:
Address:Drammensveien 131, Oslo
Employees:15,543
Website:yara.com

Pros

Essential input for global food security

High capital expenditure for new production capacity

Extensive global distribution and logistics infrastructure

Diversified portfolio of nitrogen, phosphate, and potash products

Pricing power due to essential commodity status

Cons

Exposure to volatile natural gas feedstock prices

Demand cyclicality tied to agricultural commodity markets

Increasing environmental regulations on nitrogen emissions

Geopolitical risks impacting raw material and energy supply

High capital intensity for plant maintenance and upgrades

Pros

Cons

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YAR.OL Stock AI Analysis