What is the FBTC ETF?

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is an investment fund. It provides investors with direct exposure to Bitcoin.

Will the FBTC ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the FBTC ETF has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (60.34%) is -2.25% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the FBTC ETF right now?

The FBTC ETF has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (60.34%) is -2.25% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the FBTC ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for FBTC ETF is 2/10, which is a Strong Sell based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the FBTC ETF over the past 12 months?

The FBTC ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $51.05 - $109.44.

What is going on with the FBTC ETF in the last 3 months?

The FBTC ETF performance in the last quarter has been -9.80%.

Does the FBTC ETF offer dividend payments?

No, the FBTC ETF does not currently pay dividends.

What is the AUM of the FBTC ETF?

The FBTC ETF has 10.53B in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the FBTC ETF?

The FBTC ETF total expense ratio is 0.25%.

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund FBTC ETF AI-powered analysis

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FBTC AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score

Sell

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) has a AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -2.25% of beating the ETF universe (an equal-weight index of all US-listed ETFs) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed ETF (62.59%) and the probability of FBTC (60.34%) of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI's comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed ETF of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.59%
FBTC probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)-2.25%
FBTC probability of beating the ETF universe (3M)60.34%

FBTC probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M): -2.25%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) is based on the 32 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on ETF performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of FBTC:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	ETF Investment Segment	-	N/A	-1.57%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_12	N/A	-1.19%
Technical	Alpha 6M	-0.38%	N/A	-0.85%
Technical	Performance (YTD)	-0.30%	N/A	+0.84%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_157	N/A	-0.61%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-0.48%
Fundamental	Flows to AUM YTD	-14.13%	N/A	+0.45%
Sentiment	ETF Focus	-	N/A	+0.42%
Technical	Chart Pattern (30d)	figure_80	N/A	-0.34%
Technical	Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_141	N/A	+0.34%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.33%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.31%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.26%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.26%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.25%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.06%

FBTC probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)Total:-2.25%
FBTC AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

FBTC Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$53.54
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

FBTC Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for FBTC from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 8 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

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FBTC Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 108 Sell signals since July 2026, FBTC had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

108 Past FBTC Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+14.94%
Average Alpha				+0.08%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				63.49%
% Negative Alpha				68.25%

FBTC Frequently Asked Questions

What is the FBTC ETF?
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is an investment fund. It provides investors with direct exposure to Bitcoin.
Will the FBTC ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the FBTC ETF right now?
Is the FBTC ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the FBTC ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the FBTC ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the FBTC ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the FBTC ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the FBTC ETF?

FBTC ETF Profile

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Beneficial Interest (FBTC) provides investors with indirect exposure to the price of Bitcoin. It operates as an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that holds actual Bitcoin. This structure allows investors to gain exposure to the digital asset through traditional brokerage accounts. The fund aims to simplify the process of investing in cryptocurrency for a broad range of market participants. The fund's primary objective is to reflect the performance of Bitcoin, less the fund's expenses. It seeks to track the spot price of Bitcoin by holding the underlying asset directly. This approach offers a direct correlation to Bitcoin's market value. The fund manages complexities associated with direct cryptocurrency ownership. These include private key management, secure storage, and regulatory compliance. FBTC provides a regulated investment vehicle for Bitcoin exposure within established financial markets. Its shares are listed and traded on a national securities exchange, offering daily liquidity and price transparency. This structure integrates digital asset investment into conventional financial frameworks. It makes Bitcoin accessible alongside traditional equities and bonds. The fund holds its Bitcoin in cold storage with qualified custodians. This enhances security and reduces counterparty risk for investors. It aims to mitigate operational challenges often associated with direct digital asset management. These challenges include cybersecurity concerns and transfer risks. The fund serves individual and institutional investors seeking exposure to digital assets. It provides a convenient way to integrate Bitcoin into diversified investment portfolios. This avoids the need for specialized crypto wallets or exchanges. Its shares are distributed through various brokerage platforms and financial advisors, reaching a broad investor base. The fund generates revenue through a recurring management fee charged on its assets under management, distributed via direct and channel partners, and is available to investors globally.

Asset ClassCurrency
Asset Class Style-
FocusLong BTC, Short USD
General RegionGlobal
Specific RegionBroad

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

FBTC Top 10 Focus ETFs

Long BTC, Short USD

	ETF	AI Score
1	BTCINEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF
2	BTCGrayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
3	BITBBitwise Bitcoin ETF Trust
4	ARKBARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF
5	IBITiShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
6	GBTCGrayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
7	HODLVanEck Bitcoin ETF
8	BTCOInvesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF
9	BITUProShares Ultra Bitcoin ETF
10	FBTCFidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund

	ETF	AI Score

FBTC ETF AI Analysis