What is the SPHD ETF?

Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 Low Volatility High Dividend Index. It provides exposure to high dividend-yielding US equities.

Will the SPHD ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the SPHD ETF has today an AI Score of 5/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (62.35%) is -0.24% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the SPHD ETF right now?

The SPHD ETF has today a Hold rating (AI Score 5/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (62.35%) is -0.24% vs. the average probability (62.59%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the SPHD ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for SPHD ETF is 5/10, which is a Hold based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the SPHD ETF over the past 12 months?

The SPHD ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $46.96 - $52.63.

What is going on with the SPHD ETF in the last 3 months?

The SPHD ETF performance in the last quarter has been +5.44%.

Does the SPHD ETF offer dividend payments?

Yes, the SPHD ETF dividend yield is 4.47%.

What is the AUM of the SPHD ETF?

The SPHD ETF has 3.36B in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the SPHD ETF?

The SPHD ETF total expense ratio is 0.30%.

Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF SPHD ETF AI-powered analysis

Advanced Chart

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

Custom range

Jul 3, 2025

→

Jul 3, 2026

SPHD AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF today receives an AI Score of 5/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The ETF has a 62% probability of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, which is 9% higher than the average probability of any US-listed ETF (53%). The top positive contributors include the Technicals Impact (Long Tail) (boosting probability by +27.40%), the ETF Weighting Scheme (Dividends, +21.66%), and the ETF Strategy (Multi-factor, +10.37%). On the detractor side, the Flows to AUM YTD (weighing down by -22.83%), the Chart Pattern (180d) (-22.61%), and the Price/Book (MRQ) (-15.74%) are the most impactful negative signals. Notable data points include the Alpha 1M in the top 10% (value 0.072), indicating strong recent risk-adjusted performance, while the Dominant Cycle Period (Hilbert) sits in the bottom 10% (value 14.27), suggesting a short-term cycle that may be unfavorable. The Buy Success Rate (Past 12 Months) is 40.22%, which detracts from the probability. Overall, the ETF benefits from strong technical and strategic factors but faces headwinds from valuation metrics and recent flows, resulting in a balanced HOLD rating with a slightly above-average probability of outperformance.

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

We're getting the explanation ready so you can easily understand what's behind the AI Score. This may take a few seconds.

AI Score

Hold

Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility (SPHD) has a AI Score of 5/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -0.24% of beating the ETF universe (an equal-weight index of all US-listed ETFs) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed ETF (62.59%) and the probability of SPHD (62.35%) of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI's comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed ETF of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.59%
SPHD probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)-0.24%
SPHD probability of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.35%

SPHD probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M): -0.24%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility (SPHD) is based on the 33 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on ETF performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of SPHD:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+27.40%
Fundamental	Flows to AUM YTD	2.83%		-22.83%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_186	N/A	-22.62%
Sentiment	ETF Weighting Scheme	-	N/A	+21.66%
Fundamental	Price/Book (MRQ)	1.89		-15.74%
Technical	Dominant Cycle Period (Hilbert)	14.27	N/A	-11.45%
Sentiment	ETF Investment Segment	-	N/A	-10.64%
Sentiment	ETF Strategy	-	N/A	+10.37%
Technical	Alpha YTD	-0.01%		+9.49%
Technical	Deca-Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_4	N/A	+9.39%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			-8.56%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+8.32%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+8.06%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+6.53%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-6.25%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -3.38%

SPHD probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)Total:-0.24%
SPHD AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

SPHD Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$52.12
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

SPHD Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for SPHD from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 72 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

Unlock AI-powered forecast

Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

SPHD Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1106 Hold signals since July 2026, SPHD had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1106 Past SPHD Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+3.15%
Average Alpha				-8.54%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				59.96%
% Positive Alpha				22.80%

SPHD Frequently Asked Questions

What is the SPHD ETF?
Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P 500 Low Volatility High Dividend Index. It provides exposure to high dividend-yielding US equities.
Will the SPHD ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the SPHD ETF right now?
Is the SPHD ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the SPHD ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the SPHD ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the SPHD ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the SPHD ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the SPHD ETF?

SPHD ETF Profile

Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF (SPHD) is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the investment results of the S&P 500 Low Volatility High Dividend Index. This investment vehicle offers investors exposure to a concentrated portfolio of equity securities drawn from the broader S&P 500 Index. The fund's objective is to provide a combination of consistent dividend income and reduced price fluctuations compared to the overall market. It aims to appeal to those seeking both yield and stability within their equity allocations. The fund's underlying index employs a systematic investment strategy to select its constituents. It focuses on identifying companies within the S&P 500 universe that demonstrate two key characteristics: a high dividend yield and historically low price volatility. This dual-factor approach is central to the fund's design. It seeks to construct a defensive equity portfolio that aims to mitigate potential downside risk during market downturns. Concurrently, it strives to capture attractive income opportunities through its emphasis on dividend-paying stocks. SPHD tracks an index that first screens the S&P 500 for the 50 least volatile stocks. This initial screening process identifies companies with a history of stable price movements. From this group of low-volatility securities, the index then selects those with the highest dividend yields. The methodology evaluates historical price movements and dividend payouts over specific look-back periods to determine eligibility. Selected securities are weighted to reflect their relative dividend yield, thereby emphasizing income generation within the portfolio. The index undergoes periodic rebalancing to ensure its composition consistently adheres to its defined criteria and investment objectives. This disciplined approach maintains the fund's focus on its core attributes. This exchange-traded fund serves a diverse range of market participants, including individual investors, financial advisors, and institutional clients. It is readily accessible through various brokerage platforms and investment channels, facilitating broad market access. The fund generates revenue primarily from a management fee charged on its assets under management, distributed globally through direct and channel investment platforms.

Asset ClassEquity
Asset Class StyleBlend
FocusLarge Cap
General RegionNorth America
Specific RegionUnited States

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

	ETF	AI Score
1	AIAiShares Asia 50 ETF
2

ETF

AI Score

AIAiShares Asia 50 ETF

ETF

AI Score

SPHD ETF AI Analysis