Will PulteGroup stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, PulteGroup has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.29%) is -4.53% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for PulteGroup stock?

The PulteGroup target price is $133.07 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold PulteGroup stock right now?

PulteGroup has today a Sell rating (AI Score 3/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.29%) is -4.53% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether PulteGroup stock is a good buy .

Is PulteGroup undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for PulteGroup is +0.34% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, PulteGroup has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell Rating).

What was the price range of PulteGroup stock over the past 12 months?

The PulteGroup stock price range over the past 12 months has been $99.14 - $142.56.

What is going on with PulteGroup stock in the last 3 months?

The PulteGroup stock performance in the last quarter has been +12.76%.

Does PulteGroup offer dividend payments?

Yes, PulteGroup stock dividend yield is 0.75%.

What is the current market capitalization of PulteGroup?

PulteGroup's market cap is $25.26B, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next PHM earnings report date?

PHM will publish its next earnings report on 2026-04-23.

Pultegroup Inc (PHM) AI Stock Analysis

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PHM AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Sell

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Pultegroup Inc today receives an AI Score of 3/10, which translates to a Sell rating. The stock has a 46% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 5% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). This lower probability is driven by several detractors, most significantly its classification in the Household Durables industry, which reduces the probability by -7.47%. The stock's current chart patterns over 252 and 120 days also detract, with impacts of -1.24% and -1.21%, respectively. On the positive side, the aggregated impact of fundamental signals not detailed in this report boosts the probability by +2.93%, and the company's high Net Property, Plant & Equipment value, ranking in the top 10%, adds +2.11%. Notable data points include a strong asset base, with both Net PP&E and Tangible Shareholders' Equity in the top 10%, providing a solid fundamental foundation. However, the stock's year-to-date performance is in the top 30%, which paradoxically detracts from the near-term outlook with a -1.07% impact, and the current market sentiment, as measured by the Fear & Greed Index, also weighs down the probability. The overall picture is one where significant industry headwinds and negative technical patterns outweigh strong asset metrics, resulting in a below-average probability of market outperformance and a Sell rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Valuation+6.45%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Growth+0.65%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

Sentiment-9.13%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Volatility-1.11%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate
Earnings Quality-0.70%
Stability and reliability of reported earnings
Momentum-0.69%
Direction and strength of recent price movements

PHM probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-4.53%

AI Score

Sell

PulteGroup (PHM) has an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -4.53% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of PHM (46.29%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
PHM probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-4.53%
PHM probability of beating the market (3M)46.29%

PHM probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -4.53%

The AI-powered overall analysis of PulteGroup (PHM) is based on the 27 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of PHM:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Household Durables	N/A	-7.47%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+2.93%
Fundamental	Net Property, Plant & Equipment (Net PP&E)	13.3K		+2.11%
Technical	Chart Pattern (252d)	figure_77	N/A	-1.24%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_64	N/A	-1.21%
Technical	Performance (YTD)	0.13%		-1.07%
Sentiment	Earnings Countdown	-64		+1.01%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.99%
Sentiment	Analyst Lowest Price Upside	-0.18%		-0.94%
Technical	ATR (14d Volatility)	4.19		-0.89%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.88%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.79%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.77%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.73%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.70%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +0.84%

PHM probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-4.53%
PHM AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

PHM Short Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$132.62
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro)
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
)

PHM Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for PHM from January 1, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in red, the 19 days when the stock received a Sell/Strong Sell rating (sell signals, AI Score 1 to 3).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Sell signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Sell signals

Forecast:

1 Month
3 Months
6 Months
1 Year

PHM Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

Three months after its 312 Sell signals since July 2026, PHM had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Loss rate (negative performance).

312 Past PHM Sell Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+35.40%
Average Alpha				+21.40%
Loss Rate (% Negative Perf.)				22.57%
% Negative Alpha				28.79%

PHM Frequently Asked Questions

Will PulteGroup stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, PulteGroup has today an AI Score of 3/10 (Sell rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (46.29%) is -4.53% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for PulteGroup stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold PulteGroup stock right now?
Is PulteGroup undervalued right now?
What was the price range of PulteGroup stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with PulteGroup stock in the last 3 months?
Does PulteGroup offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of PulteGroup?
When is the next PHM earnings report date?

Pultegroup Inc Company Profile

Specializing in the homebuilding sector in the United States, PulteGroup, Inc. and its subsidiaries are principally immersed in the acquisition and development of lands for predominantly residential utilities. The company's skilled team continues to erect various housing projects on these acquired lands, demonstrating a diverse range of aesthetic and functional home designs. This includes single-family detached dwellings, convenient townhomes, luxurious condominiums, and comfortable duplexes.

Showcasing their variety and quality-driven approach to construction, PulteGroup extends its offerings under well-regarded brand names such as Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods, and American West.

Going beyond foundations and walls in addressing the needs of customers, the company further provides assistance in navigating financing arrangements. This includes originating mortgage loans primarily for potential homeowners—a service that goes hand-in-hand with selling servicing rights for these loans.

To ensure a seamless home buying journey that secures interests at every stage of purchasing a property—PulteGroup also offers title insurance policies and extends services for closing deals whilst undertaking meticulous examinations.

Tracing their roots back to 1950 when they planted their first flag in the industry—today PulteGroup proudly headquarters itself amidst Atlanta's vibrant cityscape located in Georgia.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:3350 Peachtree Road Northeast, Suite 1500, Atlanta
Employees:6,506
Website:pultegroupinc.com

Pros

Strategic land acquisition and entitlement process

Economies of scale in material procurement

Established brand equity in target markets

Operating leverage from fixed land development costs

Product diversification across buyer demographics

Cons

Capital intensive land acquisition and development

High sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations

Exposure to local regulatory and permitting delays

Volatility in labor and building material costs

Cyclical demand for new residential construction

Pros

Cons

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PHM Stock AI Analysis

Pultegroup Inc

PHM Stock AI Analysis

Pultegroup Inc

PHM AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score Explanation

Generating AI Score explanation

AI Score Alpha Factors

Alpha Signals: What Drives the AI Score

PHM probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -4.53%

PHM Short Trading Parameters

PHM Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast

PHM Average Past Performance & Loss Rate

PHM Frequently Asked Questions

Will PulteGroup stock go up?

What is the target price for PulteGroup stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold PulteGroup stock right now?

Is PulteGroup undervalued right now?

What was the price range of PulteGroup stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with PulteGroup stock in the last 3 months?

Does PulteGroup offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of PulteGroup?

When is the next PHM earnings report date?

Pultegroup Inc Company Profile

Pros

Cons

Pros

Cons

PHM Company Profile Summary

PHM Related Investment Themes

PHM Related Stocks

PHM Top 10 Industry Stocks

Household Durables

PHM Top 10 Sector Stocks

Consumer Discretionary

PHM Stock AI Analysis

Pultegroup Inc

NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC.

Will PulteGroup stock go up?

What is the target price for PulteGroup stock?

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold PulteGroup stock right now?

Is PulteGroup undervalued right now?

What was the price range of PulteGroup stock over the past 12 months?

What is going on with PulteGroup stock in the last 3 months?

Does PulteGroup offer dividend payments?

What is the current market capitalization of PulteGroup?

When is the next PHM earnings report date?

NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC.

Pros

Cons

AI Score Explanation

PHM Proven Sell Signal & Price Forecast