Will Redwood stock go up?

According to Danelfin AI, Redwood has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.83%) is -1.98% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.

What is the target price for Redwood stock?

The Redwood target price is $6.48 (1Y), according to the average price target offered by analysts.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Redwood stock right now?

Redwood has today a Hold rating (AI Score 4/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.83%) is -1.98% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks, based on our AI-powered analysis. You can find more details on whether Redwood stock is a good buy .

Is Redwood undervalued right now?

Based on analysts, the average price target upside for Redwood is +38.46% (1Y). According to Danelfin AI, Redwood has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold Rating).

What was the price range of Redwood stock over the past 12 months?

The Redwood stock price range over the past 12 months has been $4.68 - $6.68.

What is going on with Redwood stock in the last 3 months?

The Redwood stock performance in the last quarter has been -16.57%.

Does Redwood offer dividend payments?

Yes, Redwood stock dividend yield is 15.42%.

What is the current market capitalization of Redwood?

Redwood's market cap is $584.75M, as of 2026-07-02 08:00.

When is the next RWT earnings report date?

RWT will publish its next earnings report on 2026-04-29.

Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) AI Stock Analysis

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RWT AI-Powered Stock Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Redwood Trust Inc today receives an AI Score of 4/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The stock has a 49% probability of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, which is 2% lower than the average probability of any stock (51%). The probability is weighed down most significantly by its classification in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) industry, which detracts from the probability by -5.24%. This negative impact is partially offset by positive contributions from the aggregated long tail of technical signals (+2.45%) and a favorable 60-day chart pattern (+1.06%). Notable data points include a Forward Price-to-Earnings ratio of 4.43, which is in the bottom 10% of stocks and positively influences the probability by +0.63%, suggesting a relatively attractive valuation. However, the stock's Performance (YTD) is down approximately -15.4%, placing it in the bottom 40%. The overall picture is one of conflicting signals: while some technical and valuation metrics provide a modest boost, the significant headwind from its industry classification and a generally weak fundamental sentiment impact (-1.47%) result in a probability slightly below the market average, justifying the Hold rating.

AI Score Explanation

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Momentum+4.55%
Direction and strength of recent price movements
Volatility+0.39%
How much the stock price tends to fluctuate

Sentiment-6.72%
How analysts and the market view the stock
Valuation-0.18%
How the stock is priced relative to its fundamentals
Growth-0.02%
Expected pace of revenue and earnings expansion

RWT probability advantage of beating the market (3M):

-1.98%

AI Score

Hold

Redwood (RWT) has an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of -1.98% of beating the market (S&P500) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed stock (50.82%) and the probability of RWT (48.83%) of outperforming the market in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI’s comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed stock of beating the market (3M)50.82%
RWT probability advantage of beating the market (3M)-1.98%
RWT probability of beating the market (3M)48.83%

RWT probability advantage of beating the market (3M): -1.98%

The AI-powered overall analysis of Redwood (RWT) is based on the 26 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on stock performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of RWT:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	Industry (GICS)	Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)	N/A	-5.24%
Technical	Technicals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+2.45%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-1.47%
Technical	Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_18	N/A	+1.06%
Sentiment	Sentiment Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	-1.00%
Sentiment	Fear & Greed Index (CNN)	31	N/A	-0.87%
Technical	Chart Pattern (120d)	figure_168	N/A	-0.82%
Technical	Chart Pattern (504d)	figure_7	N/A	+0.79%
Technical	Performance (YTD)	-0.15%		+0.73%
Fundamental	Tangible Shareholders' Equity	957		+0.66%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.64%
Fundamental	Upgrade to unlock			+0.63%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.57%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.55%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.48%

Rest of Alpha Signals: +1.10%

RWT probability advantage of beating the market (3M)Total:-1.98%
RWT AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

RWT Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$4.68
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

RWT Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for RWT from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 54 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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6 Months
1 Year

RWT Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 1315 Hold signals since July 2026, RWT had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

1315 Past RWT Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				-4.74%
Average Alpha				-20.05%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				37.53%
% Positive Alpha				18.09%

RWT Frequently Asked Questions

Will Redwood stock go up?
According to Danelfin AI, Redwood has today an AI Score of 4/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the market in 3 months (48.83%) is -1.98% vs. the average probability (50.82%) of all US-listed stocks.
What is the target price for Redwood stock?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold Redwood stock right now?
Is Redwood undervalued right now?
What was the price range of Redwood stock over the past 12 months?
What is going on with Redwood stock in the last 3 months?
Does Redwood offer dividend payments?
What is the current market capitalization of Redwood?
When is the next RWT earnings report date?

Redwood Trust Inc Company Profile

Redwood Trust Inc., along with its subsidiaries, functions as a specialized financial service provider within the boundaries of the United States. It conducts operations in three primary sectors: Residential Consumer Mortgage Banking, Residential Investor Mortgage Banking, and Investment Portfolio. In its Residential Consumer Mortgage Banking sector, Redwood Trust manages a mortgage loan conduit that purchases residential loans from third-party founders, with the intent of future sale or securitization or shifting to its own investment portfolio. The provision of various financial instruments to mitigate risks related to residential loans is also a service this segment undertakes.

The company's Residential Investor Mortgage Banking segment controls a platform which originates business-related loans for investors involved in both single-family and multifamily residential properties along with bridge loans designated for forthcoming securitization, sale or transfer into their investment portfolio. Turning towards their Investment Portfolio segment, it involves investments in securities retained from both consumer and investor securitization activities as well as business purpose lending bridge loans. Moreover, it invests in other residential real-estate-backed security systems issued by external parties, alongside Freddie Mac K-Series multi-family loan securitizations and reperforming loan securitizations. Other housing-related investments include servicer advance investments and home equity investments.

As per federal income tax regulations, Redwood Trust has opted to be taxed under the category of Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). Redwood Trust was established in 1994 and currently has its headquarters stationed in Mill Valley, California.

Sector:
Country:United States
Industry:
Address:One Belvedere Place, Suite 300, Mill Valley
Employees:351
Website:redwoodtrust.com

Pros

Diversified investment portfolio across real estate credit

Securitization expertise in non-agency mortgage markets

Efficient access to capital markets as a REIT

Potential for interest rate spread income generation

Origination of agency-eligible residential loans

Cons

High sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations

RWT Stock AI Analysis