What is the NDEC ETF?

NDEC is an Invesco buffered ETF designed to provide investors with growth potential linked to the S&P 100 index, while offering a level of downside protection over a defined outcome period ending in December.

Will the NDEC ETF go up?

According to Danelfin AI, the NDEC ETF has today an AI Score of 6/10 (Hold rating), because its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (63.47%) is +0.81% vs. the average probability (62.67%) of all US-listed ETFs.

Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the NDEC ETF right now?

The NDEC ETF has today a Hold rating (AI Score 6/10), according to Danelfin AI. Its probability of beating the ETF universe in 3 months (63.47%) is +0.81% vs. the average probability (62.67%) of all US-listed ETFs, based on our AI-powered analysis.

Is the NDEC ETF overbought?

The Danelfin AI Technical Score for NDEC ETF is 6/10, which is a Hold based solely on technical indicators.

What was the price range of the NDEC ETF over the past 12 months?

The NDEC ETF price range over the past 12 months has been $25.19 - $30.06.

What is going on with the NDEC ETF in the last 3 months?

The NDEC ETF performance in the last quarter has been +11.03%.

Does the NDEC ETF offer dividend payments?

No, the NDEC ETF does not currently pay dividends.

What is the AUM of the NDEC ETF?

The NDEC ETF has 77.06M in total assets under management (AUM).

How much does it cost to invest in the NDEC ETF?

The NDEC ETF total expense ratio is 0.79%.

Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - December NDEC ETF AI-powered analysis

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NDEC AI-Powered ETFs Analysis

AI Score Explanation

AI Score

Hold

Fundamental
Technical
Sentiment
Low Risk

According to Danelfin’s proprietary AI model, Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - December today receives an AI Score of 6/10, which translates to a Hold rating. The ETF has a 63% probability of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, which is 9% higher than the average probability of any US-listed ETF (54%). The top positive contributors include the ETF Focus (Downside Hedge, +0.43%), ETF Investment Segment (Downside Hedge, +0.36%), and Flows to AUM YTD (bottom 50%, +0.30%). On the detractor side, the 52-Week Low vs Close (top 50%, -0.18%), ETF Strategy (Buy-write, -0.17%), and Chart Pattern (180d, -0.13%) weigh down the probability. Notable data points include a Buy Success Rate of 77.8% over the past 12 months, indicating strong historical consistency of Danelfin Buy signals for this ETF. The Distance from Midpoint (90d) is in the top 30%, suggesting the ETF is trading near the upper end of its recent range, while the RSI 90 is in the top 20% at 58, indicating neutral momentum. The Alpha 6M is in the top 40% despite a negative value, showing relative strength. Overall, the ETF's focus on downside hedging and positive flows support its above-average probability, but technical factors like the 52-week low proximity and strategy type temper the outlook, resulting in a HOLD rating.

AI Score Explanation

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AI Score

Hold

IN GRO-100 PWR BUF (NDEC) has a AI Score of 6/10 (Hold) because, according to an overall analysis, it has a probability advantage of +0.81% of beating the ETF universe (an equal-weight index of all US-listed ETFs) in the next 3 months. This advantage is calculated as the difference between the average probability of any US-listed ETF (62.67%) and the probability of NDEC (63.47%) of outperforming the ETF universe in the next 3 months, as determined by Danelfin AI's comprehensive analysis.

Average probability of any US-listed ETF of beating the ETF universe (3M)62.67%
NDEC probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)+0.81%
NDEC probability of beating the ETF universe (3M)63.47%

NDEC probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M): +0.81%

The AI-powered overall analysis of IN GRO-100 PWR BUF (NDEC) is based on the 31 fundamental, technical, and sentiment features that had the greatest impact on ETF performance during the last 12 months (alpha signals). These alpha signals explain the probability advantage of NDEC:

Type	Alpha Signal	Current Value	Value Decile Position	Probability Advantage Impact (3M)
Sentiment	ETF Focus	-	N/A	+0.43%
Sentiment	ETF Investment Segment	-	N/A	+0.36%
Fundamental	Flows to AUM YTD	3.24%		+0.30%
Sentiment	ETF Brand	-	N/A	+0.24%
Technical	52-Week Low vs Close (%)	0.19%		-0.18%
Sentiment	ETF Strategy	-	N/A	-0.17%
Fundamental	Fundamentals Impact (Long Tail)	-	N/A	+0.17%
Technical	Alpha 6M	-0.01%		+0.17%
Technical	Deca-Chart Pattern (60d)	figure_5	N/A	+0.15%
Technical	Chart Pattern (180d)	figure_3	N/A	-0.13%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.10%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			+0.09%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			+0.08%
Technical	Upgrade to unlock			-0.08%
Sentiment	Upgrade to unlock			-0.08%

Rest of Alpha Signals: -0.43%

NDEC probability advantage of beating the ETF universe (3M)Total:+0.81%
NDEC AI Score

Significant changes Vs previous day

NDEC Trading Parameters

These suggested trading parameters for a 3-month horizon help improve risk management and decision-making.

Entry:$29.92
Horizon: 3 months
Stop Loss:$XXXXXPro (XXXXXPro) or AI Score < 4/10
Take Profit:$XXXXXPro (XXXXX
Pro
) or AI Score < 4/10

NDEC Proven Hold Signal & Price Forecast

This is the price chart for NDEC from January 2, 2026 until today. The chart indicates, in yellow, the 55 days when the stock received a Hold rating (hold signals, AI Score 4 to 6).

Forecast: In the section below, the central dotted line represents the most expected path, while the shaded area indicates the anticipated price range. This is based on previous Hold signals with a 90% confidence level.

Full Track Record

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Closing price (USD)
Hold signals

Forecast:

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1 Year

NDEC Average Past Performance & Win Rate

Three months after its 240 Hold signals since July 2026, NDEC had an average performance of xxxxxx and a xxxxxx Win rate (positive performance).

240 Past NDEC Hold Signals	1 Month Later	3 Months Later	6 Months Later	1 Year Later
Average Performance				+12.53%
Average Alpha				-2.22%
Win Rate (% Positive Perf.)				100.00%
% Positive Alpha				7.41%

NDEC Frequently Asked Questions

What is the NDEC ETF?
NDEC is an Invesco buffered ETF designed to provide investors with growth potential linked to the S&P 100 index, while offering a level of downside protection over a defined outcome period ending in December.
Will the NDEC ETF go up?
Is it a good time to buy, sell, or hold the NDEC ETF right now?
Is the NDEC ETF overbought?
What was the price range of the NDEC ETF over the past 12 months?
What is going on with the NDEC ETF in the last 3 months?
Does the NDEC ETF offer dividend payments?
What is the AUM of the NDEC ETF?
How much does it cost to invest in the NDEC ETF?

NDEC ETF Profile

IN GRO-100 PWR BUF ETF - DEC (NDEC) is an innovative exchange-traded fund meticulously designed to offer investors a unique blend of market participation and risk management. This ETF provides buffered exposure to the performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index, a benchmark for large-cap U.S. growth companies, while simultaneously incorporating a defined cap on potential gains over a specific outcome period that concludes in December. This structure aims to provide a more predictable investment experience by setting clear parameters for both potential upside and downside. The core appeal of NDEC lies in its sophisticated buffer mechanism, which is engineered to absorb a predetermined percentage of losses in the underlying Nasdaq-100 Index. This feature is particularly attractive for investors seeking to mitigate downside risk and protect capital during periods of market volatility, without completely sacrificing the opportunity for growth. The buffer is reset annually, initiating a new outcome period each December. This annual reset allows investors to reassess and manage their risk exposure on a recurring basis, adapting their strategy to evolving market conditions and personal financial goals. NDEC is strategically positioned for investors who desire exposure to the dynamic growth potential of leading U.S. technology and innovation-driven companies, but with an integrated layer of risk management. It serves as a compelling option for those looking to participate in the long-term appreciation of the Nasdaq-100 Index while benefiting from a defined level of protection against significant drawdowns. This makes NDEC a valuable component for a diversified investment portfolio, offering a thoughtful approach to balancing growth aspirations with capital preservation objectives. The fund's structure provides a transparent framework for potential returns and losses, which can be particularly beneficial in uncertain market environments. By offering a defined buffer and cap, NDEC empowers investors to make more informed decisions about their market exposure, fostering a sense of predictability in their investment outcomes. This approach caters to both conservative investors seeking some market upside with limited risk, and growth-oriented investors looking to temper volatility. The fund's revenue mix is derived from its asset under management fees, its go-to-market strategy is primarily through online brokerage platforms and financial advisor partnerships, and it maintains a global presence through its listing on major exchanges.

Asset ClassAlternatives
Asset Class Style-
FocusDownside Hedge
General Region-
Specific Region-

Asset Class
Asset Class Style
Focus
General Region
Specific Region

NDEC Top 10 Focus ETFs

Downside Hedge

	ETF	AI Score
1	EJANInnovator Emerging Markets Power Buffer ETF January
2	JULZTrueShares Structured Outcome (July) ETF
3	EJULInnovator Emerging Markets Power Buffer ETF - July
4	SFLRInnovator Equity Managed Floor ETF
5	KJULInnovator U.S. Small Cap Power Buffer ETF - July
6	MARZTrueShares Structured Outcome (March) ETF
7	QJUNFT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - June
8	IMARInnovator International Developed Power Buffer ETF March
9	NDECInnovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - December
10	IJUNInnovator International Developed Power Buffer ETF- June

	ETF	AI Score

NDEC ETF AI Analysis